Dear Mr. President:
You have just received the report of the bipartisan Iraq Study Group (ISG) with its 79 recommendations for policy changes, force redeployments and other course corrections with respect to the conflict in Iraq. We believe you have responded properly in welcoming this product -- but reserving judgment as to whether you will accept its suggestions.
This is especially important because of the argument being made in some quarters that, in light of the unanimity exhibited by the distinguished Republican and Democratic members of this commission, the advice offered must be accepted in toto. As leaders of the bipartisan National Security Advisory Council of the Center for Security Policy, we would respectfully suggest that people of good will and expertise from both parties can – and in many cases do – come to very different conclusions than those offered by the ISG.
In particular, members of our Council on both sides of the aisle strongly disagree with what is, arguably, the Baker-Hamilton commission’s most strategically portentous recommendation:
The United States should immediately launch a New Diplomatic Offensive to build an international consensus for stability in Iraq and the region….Iraq’s neighbors and key states in and outside the region should form a support group to reinforce security and national reconciliation within Iraq, neither of which Iraq can achieve on its own. Given the ability of Iran and Syria to influence events within Iraq and their interest in avoiding chaos in Iraq, the United States should try to engage them constructively.
As the ISG’s own report documents, far from being proponents of stability, the Islamic Republic of Iran and its de facto colony, Syria, have gone to great lengths to destabilize the Middle East and, in particular, to prevent Iraq from becoming a free, democratic and peaceful nation.
Americans have been murdered for nearly three decades by Iranian operatives and Tehran’s proxies. U.S. and coalition personnel and civilians in Iraq are being slaughtered today by deadly Iranian I.E.D.s (Improvised Explosive Devices) and other weapons provided to like-minded Islamofascist groups.
At the same time, the Iranian regime is working to acquire nuclear arms and long-range ballistic missiles with which to deliver them. When combined with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s repeated threats to “wipe Israel off the map” and bring about “a world without America,” we face the prospect that, in due course, the mullahs running Iran will have the means to carry out their apocalyptic intentions.
In our view, opening negotiations with Iran (and Syria) as suggested by the ISG will have several undesirable effects.
• First, such negotiations will legitimate that increasingly dangerous regime and reward its violent and hostile actions against us and our allies. We should rather endeavor to discredit and undermine this regime.
• Second, such a course will embolden our enemies who already believe they are sapping our will to resist them.
• Third, such an initiative would buy further time for the Iranian mullahs to obtain and prepare to wield weapons of mass destruction.
• Fourth, entering into negotiations with Tehran’s theocrats will create the illusion that we are taking useful steps to contend with the threat from Iran – when, in fact, we would not be. As a result, other, more effective actions – specifically, steps aimed at encouraging regime change in Iran – will not be pursued.
Finally, we trust that you will recognize the necessity of including Israel in any regional conference in which its security and other equities might be a subject of negotiations and that, in such settings and elsewhere, you will continue to adhere to the principle that America supports fellow democracies and eschews appeasement of terrorists and aggressors.
In short, Mr. President, we encourage you to follow your better instincts. By all means, review, assess and, as appropriate, adopt the recommendations of the Iraq Study Group and those of the executive branch agencies you have commissioned. We urge you, however, to continue to reject any course of action that would signal that America has become a country that, to quote thescholar Bernard Lewis, is “harmless as an enemy and treacherous as a friend.”
Sincerely,
Senator Jon Kyl R. James Woolsey
The laughing commenced on the day of the Report's release and has not died down. But I am certain that the serious people maintain their esteem for the careers of many of the participants on the ISG, and share my belief that as the weeks pass, some of them will shake off commissionitis and regain their bearings about the war. The temptation on the Commission members' part will be to double down --Senator Simpson's pre-emptive "seethers" comment from the press conference comes to mind. That truly would be folly. The gang misfired and produced a folly of historic proportions. Future commissions --please let the next one be years off-- will begin with some admonition to avoid the fate of the ISG via genuine diversity of views and extended outreach to differing views.
But for now, every serious contender for the GOP nomination will have to gently or brusquely push this mess aside, and find a way to avoid the ISG members at D.C. parties.