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Monday, July 02, 2007
McCain Reaches Rock Bottom?
Posted by: Patrick Ruffini at 2:51 PM

Two numbers and a startling fact that stand out from today's McCain news.

$2 million cash on hand.

$13 million spent for the quarter. (!!!) UPDATE: Actually, it's $14.4M.

They are considering taking public money.

Friends, this campaign is officially over. There is no way we are going to nominate someone who has to take public funding to take on Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama ($90M COH between them).

And on the spending... wha? Didn't they bring in Phil Gramm to tighten the reins after spending $8 million? It's true -- they had $2-3 million in debt after last quarter, so you could argue they spent evenly over both quarters, but the number is just eye-popping -- twice what I expected. Senator McCain's quip about drunken sailors comes to mind.

Senator McCain is (was?) a lousy candidate but he had a terrific staff, many of whom I worked with at Bush-Cheney and the RNC and have the highest respect for. It's for that reason alone that I won't join the dancing on the grave.

But wow, just wow...



View in ascending order View in descending order
US Air Force: Above and Beyond writes: Tuesday, July, 03, 2007 2:39 PM
agree with bg
Rudy has a chance to take most of McCain's supporters since really the only thing going for the Senator was his war record, support for the global war on terror and his maverick status. That is all Giuliani more than Thompson. And I do agree that McC will never be the POTUS..
BG writes: Tuesday, July, 03, 2007 10:26 AM
Death Watch
Taking public financing is the kiss of death. McCain will stay in as long as possible but if he opts for public financing he will kill any long shot chance he has. He has done a lot of things to kill his candidacy so taking public money would not surprise me. What a classic case of how not to run a campaign.

Thompson may get some McCain supporters but Rudy will probably get most of them. Thompson may be peaking, there seems to be a shift as he keeps blowing live TV performances. I hate to belabor this but he looks older than dirt.

I was rating Thompson as a second choice but am now moving Hunter into that spot.
SteveR writes: Tuesday, July, 03, 2007 3:21 AM
Good riddance to bad rubbish!
Anyone who tries to shove that evil amnesty bill down the throats of Americans, like McCain did, needs to have his presidential campaign blasted out of the water.
McCain is finished as a presidential candidate.
But like any dying elephant, his campaign is going to kick out and trash about a bit before it's sent forcibly to it's grave.
Good riddance to bad rubbish!
Sammy writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 11:54 PM
Thompson Bandwagon
I'm trying really really hard to like Fred Thompson -- I swear I am! But the fact that McCain staffers would naturally migrate to Fred's campaign as McCain shrinks from the field is but one more reason for concern. Throw in all the ex Jorge Bush money men and campaign staffers that have reportedly joined the Thompson bandwagon and I am starting to feel real shaky about this courtship. I really don't want to hit the replay button after Jorge rides off into the sunset.
Sammy writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 11:42 PM
McCain Math Lesson
Should anyone be surprised that someone who supported adding 2.6 Trillion dollars via the Amnesty Bill to our welfare/entitlement liabilities is a little fast, loose, and irresponsible with their own campaign finances?
Virginia Patriot writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 11:38 PM
The Money
The Money that is accrueing to the front runners comes from the same people who paid for the Spanish language phone lines to our Senators. The same people who had also paid for those Senators and the bill they crafted in that back room. If we decide to let money be the determining factor in who we nominate, then we have all lost. The cheap labor lobby can buy the nomination.
Voters can still select a Presidential candidate who will secure the borders, stand up for the rule of law, and defend American sovereignty. So far, the only believable one is Duncan Hunter.
BG writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 9:26 PM
Obituary
McCain's obituary is very premature. He will pare staff and focus on congressional districts and states that allow independents to vote. He will not drop out. He may eventually be forced out but not before Super T. He has enough money to run up to Super T if he stops spending it unwisely.

His biggest weakness now was his strength. He had a great staff (ground attack) that is withering now in most states.

He has to hope that Thompson peaks and then loses altitude (Survey USA is suggesting that Thompson has already peaked). He also has to hope that Rudy makes a big error and craters.

McCain is a fighter and a skilled debater. He can gain back some support and he will do well in congressional districts and states with a lot of voting independents.

We have a long way to go. Thompson keeps making bad speeches (NH, all nine minutes of it is the latest).

McCain should have dodged the immigration fight. Now he needs to focus on getting terrorism votes away from Rudy. Thompson is McCain lite and McCain can pick up votes from him. In fact both Rudy and Thompson have a lot of soft votes that can be moved.

I would not count McCain out just yet.
richard mcenroe writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 8:50 PM
Of course...
...once he does cash it in, we'll NEVER get him off CNN and the Sunday talk shows...

er, just like now...


never mind.
richard mcenroe writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 8:48 PM
That's step one...
...now let's get to work on that Arizona recall.
DC writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 8:37 PM
Perfect Staff?
A perfect staff would not let him make so many errors in judgement. They would have showm him the polls or tattooed them on his buns.

Sounds like his staff were followers and he browbeat them into deciding what he wanted to hear.

Look at the recent Amnesty Bill - 80% of his voters were against it yet he climbed into bed with "Suds" Kennedy, La Raza and the King of Korruption, Harry Reid.

Talk about being incompetent, arrogant and careless!

I gather the great John McCaine is now toast.

He and Edwards will now have enough time to chase down cameras.

Pasadena Phil writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 8:03 PM
McCain is not at rock bottom
Yet... Rock bottom is Ron Paul, Tommy Thompson and Happy Gilmoar. I think McCain has a third cratering in him if he focuses. It is really hard to lose that final 7%.
Rubberduck Crusader writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 7:58 PM
I love Duncan Hunter!
I truly hope Fred strongly considers him for the second slot on the ticket!

RC
Rubberduck Crusader writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 7:56 PM
Look for McCain staffers
to abandon ship and join Fred's campaign. Fred will be even more formidable than he is already. Also, I believe a number of the second tier candidates will, in all likeliness, begin to abandon their candidacies shortly, with the most conservative of the lot endorsing Thompson.

I'm waiting for Ron Paul to jump from the Republican party and rejoin the Libertarians (where he should have remained in the first place).

The nomination is now Fred Thompson's to lose.

RC
Pasadena Phil writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 7:53 PM
Jon
Now you're being cynical. It's just a coincidence. I would have wanted McCain to stay in the race until then in any case.
smith writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 7:52 PM
duncan?
enough with the if you don't support hunter you are a sheep already. since when do republicans diss on other republicans for thinking money is important? It is part of the game. if he can't raise money, he can't win an election. you can't nominate someone who can't raise money.
Arby writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 7:45 PM
McCain WAS a maverick
at one time. But that was a long time ago when GWB was first running. Eight years ago might as well have been the 19th century.

McCain did this to himself. Others here have written about his arrogance, anger, stubbornness and collusion with Democrats far better than I can -- but those are exactly the factors he used to cripple himself. I don't feel sorry for him, and I hope he DOES drop out soon. I think Hunter looks better and better every day.
paddy o'furniture writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 7:10 PM
I'm with ....
the Patriot on Duncan Hunter. It would be so nice if just once we elected the best man for the job.....
paddy o'furniture writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 7:08 PM
Wiseone....
That's a reasonable guess/prediction. The percentages are with you considering where his numbers are now.....they almost HAVE to go up.

As for McCain, I regard him (and all Navy veterans) as my shipmate and a genuine hero, but that is all. Politically, he is from another planet. For years I have wanted so badly to like him.....but I have realized for some time now it's never going to happen.
Virginia Patriot writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 7:06 PM
HUNTER FOR AMERICA

Republican voters still get to decide who their nominee will be. Money only buys elections when people act like sheep. If 80% of Republicans are indeed seeking a conservative, we can nominate one. We can nominate Duncan Hunter. The money players won't like it and are trying to convince us only Rudy, Romney, or McCain can win. Hogwash. They want an open borders candidate. Give Americans a chance to vote for a candidate who WILL secure the border and watch turnout soar. Americans want their government to fulfill it's most basic responsibility.

The primary responsibility of the U.S. government is to protect the territorial integrity and people of this country. They have completely abdicated this responsibility. Both parties have been complicit in this. We are being told it is not possible to control our borders, enforce our laws, and thereby control our destiny as a nation. Hogwash. We are being sold out by corporations intent on importing workers for jobs that can't be exported with the taxpayers paying the true costs, financial and human. If we act like sheep and don't stop the inundation across our borders, we will lose our country without a bleat.

http://www.gohunter08.com
wiseone writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 7:05 PM
For abugbabe
"He stopped representing Arizona when he started thinking about being President."

Funny how that happens, isn't it?

Just ask Tennesseans about Al Gore. By the time he actually ran for Prez he couldn't even carry his home state and it cost him the election.
ClearCommentary.com writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 7:01 PM
From McCain-Feingold to McCain-Kennedy..
...it is an ignoble legacy, his laudable war record notwithstanding.

The "maverick" moniker is just a euphemism for a press panderer beneath which lurked a vitriolic personality.

To get to the essence of it, juxtapose in your mind the sunny visage of Ronald Reagan with the dyspeptic John McCain. End of story.

Phil Mella
ClearCommentary.com
wiseone writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 7:00 PM
paddy
I caught the news about Libby. I predict Bush's approval will go UP.
wiseone writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 6:58 PM
What's missing
The only thing missing from this story is an accompanying piece about how the eventual Democrat nominee should choose McCain as his VP to "unite the country", the way the lib media speculated that Kerry would in 2004.

McCain-Feingold, Gang of 14, jury trials for terrorists at Gitmo, "unite the country" by playing second fiddle to Kerry, and Amnesty. And this ego still thought the base would nominate him?

What a drip!
Jon.nine writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 6:57 PM
Phil
You wouldn't have chosen Sept. 25 in the McCain pool would you?
Pasadena Phil writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 6:08 PM
This is a disturbing development
It is absolutely essential that John McCain hangs in there until Sept. 25. Take alot of vacations to conserve cash and it should last. Besides, Joe doesn't have a plan B yet and there are other candidates who will crater before this is over. Too many eggs in one basket Joe.
paddy o'furniture writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 6:07 PM
Bush commutes Libby's term!
Get ready for some serious Bush bashing.....
ShiningCity writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 6:00 PM
Joe
It's time to update your blog. Come on....you know you want to.
Joe writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 5:29 PM
I love the guy
And I knew his campaign was in big trouble when he started cratering over immigration reform. No surprise.
exDemo writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 5:27 PM
As an Arizona Republican...
As an Arizonan I think John McCain doesn't have the personal temperament to be a President. I thank him for his service to the country. Now Please retire from the senate at the end of your term.

Arizona and the GOP faithful needs a genuine Republican, not a triangulating fool. You were chasing the phonies of the MSM media. Those clowns give you coverage every time you stick your finger in the Elephant's eye.

Only a fool believed that there was any genuine admiration there.

Take your Gang of Fourteen Elephant killers and just... Go Home.
manfred writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 5:07 PM
Ugh
I hardly think McCain is terrible candidate -- he represents views, however unpopular, and the people, it appears, have spoken (well, the money people). That is democracy at work (as it is in America these days). He is, however, a pretty good candidate. He is -- compared to too many candidates -- clear about where he stands, well spoken, and open to real dialogue with voters. I don't mean he changes his mind -- I just mean he will actually allow people who disagree with him to speak to him.
I am interested in how shocked people are at how much money he has blown through. Where were you all in 19992000? Remeber, Bush raised a record amount of money and spent it ALL before he even got to SC -- the first sign that he could not manage a budget.
Winston C. writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 5:06 PM
No way......
should anyone as unhinged as McQueeg be anywhere near the office of POTUS.

He's been destructive enough as a senator these last 6 years.

Just think of the havoc and mayhem he could cause if he had the real reins of power.
ShiningCity writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 4:58 PM
I don't care who has the $$
I forgot to add this:

I don't care who has the $$.

This is how we need to think it:

Hunter, Romney, Thompson.
ShiningCity writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 4:57 PM
IMO
Thompson shouldn't necessarily be considered the 3rd of the "big 3" once McCain moves out. We need to think: Romney, Guiliani, and Hunter, with Thompson sort of running along the side.

Guiliani is soon to follow. He's too liberal to catch the nomination.

Then we need to think: Hunter, Romney, Thompson.

TJ writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 4:53 PM
arrogance.....
The arrogance of this man IS frightening. How can I be expected to consider this man a viable candidate for President?

Jim is right, these actions are not the actions of a balanced mental state. He attacks those he expects to elect him. He does appear to have a tendancy towards exacting revenge; and revenge upon those he expects to put him into the Office of the President. These are clear indications, that this man has no business being in a position of leadership.

What is more frightening? He actually thinks he will get the nomination. If he didn't would he continue to run? He actually thinks that even after his vengeance upon the base, his allegiance to Ted/Democrats, and the gang of 14 he will win.

That tells me he is extremely unstable in his reasoning capacity.
Dwilkers writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 4:51 PM
Jeez.
Why would he be going through money so quickly this far from any actual voting going down? Man that's very poor management.
Dustoff-507 writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 4:42 PM
Mccain
McCain.

Put a fork in it John. Your done and YOU did it to yourself.
abugbabe writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 4:35 PM
datroy
McCain must not be YOUR senator. He's not being unfairly trashed. Good man? Sure. I have no complaints about his virtue. Shoudl he be president? Definately not. I prefer he not be my senator much longer. He stopped representing Arizona when he decided to become President McCain. Now he represents whatever he thinks will get him good press.
Diogenes Lamp writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 4:13 PM
thompson
Thompson easily picks up the staff from McCain and probably the donations that would have gone to McCain are heading to Thompson.

Personally, I think Fred waited a little too long.
Pasadena Phil writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 4:00 PM
Where did the money go?
I realize I live in CA and not a target for his campaign but did the spending accomplish anything? I'd be interested in hearing from people in NH, IA, SC and FL in particularly.
RASHUM writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 3:59 PM
They way he is spending
Matching funds are not going to matter. The way he is spending, his matching funds will be depleted before year end. He is not going to be able to raise close to the amount Romney, Guiliani or Thompson will.
Thaale writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 3:50 PM
If he starts taking public funds...
...he’ll be even less likely to drop out than he was when he was self-funded. No one’s going to take taxpayer money then drop out even before the first vote.

With New Hampshire likely to vote in late 2007, there’s not much point in dropping out now anyway. It’s already July. If you’ve made it this far, why not at least see what happens in December?
jim writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 3:49 PM
What would one expect.
He joins forces with Kennedy and the left crowd almost from day one when he lost to Bush. He is not a well balanced individual seeking to get even at every chance against the Republican party in fact I would almost lay money that when he does drop out he'll turn again on the conservatives and blame those folks for all his short comings. There is a psychosis here that is not good. This war hero has been over exposed and held up way to long much to his detriment his fragility is for all to see.
RASHUM writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 3:44 PM
Done!
Agree with KGK - he is out of race before Iowa!

Two questions - 1) Anyone know how Fred Thomspon's fundraising has gone so far? and 2) Where would his support go?

Unlike the Democratic primary - where it is either Hillary or anyone but Hillary; I am not sure where the McCain supporters would go when he drops out. My best guess would be Fred Thompson, but I am not certain.
KGK writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 3:34 PM
Dean
OK, I will be the fool who starts. John drops out at the end of Sept, this one not '08.
datroy writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 3:31 PM
Umm
Maybe you shouldn't join in in dancing on the campaign's grave because McCain is a good man who was unfairly trashed by too many Republicans. Just a thought.
KGK writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 3:31 PM
Stubborn McCain
The same stubborness and arrogance that tricked Bush and McCain into supporting the horrid illegal immigration travesty, is at work here. It will take weeks of real falling numbers before St. John drops out. Then it will interesting to which candidate his supporters go. His staff is just he first to be axed. His supporters will realize that he is not going to get far with the BASE and then the real fun will begin. Will he jump ship? Will he waffle on some Dem candidate like he did with Kerry? Finally, will the Pubs who support this guy finally realize that he is a great patriot but a lousy Pub Senator? I hope it comes sooner rather than later so we pare down the candidates for reasonable debate and support.
Dean writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 3:28 PM
So....
Do you wish to revisit your reluctance to enter the Dead Pool?
SC 937-0176 CEC writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 3:24 PM
hum
Well he has no one to blame but himself, but I'm sure he'll have a list of folks he will blame.
smittyhere writes: Monday, July, 02, 2007 3:16 PM
The problem with them all
I mean Laura Ingrahanm who always tells what a great guy Chris Matthews is, Hugh woh praises all the looser RINO's, Andrew MCCarthy(NRO) who tells us what a great prosecuter Fitzgerald is, and Ruffinin who tells us "a lousy candidate but he had a terrific staff".

So the staff was so terriffic they jumped on board with a looser?
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