Friday, October 31, 2008
|
|
Rasmussen: Obama Up 4; Battleground: Obama Up 4: Will The Undecideds Help McCain Close This Gap?
|
|
Posted by:
Hugh Hewitt at
10:40 AM
|
Yes. It is a long shot of course, (Intrade ticked a couple of points in McCain's direction the past two days and it is still 83-17 Obama), a long but not impossible shot.
Here are the Rasmussen numbers. Here's Battleground.
McCain needs the undecideds to break for him decisively, and that's what worries some Democrats. (Here's an article on who the undecideds are.)
They should be worried, especially in Pennsylvania, where the contempt for the Keystone State's suburban and rural voters has been on periodic display from Obama and Democratic icon Jack Murtha for months.
The attempt to demoralize the GOP through the gigged polling and the triumphalism of Obama hasn't worked as the counter-theme of the volatility of the polls and the overwhelming bias of the MSM --now cemented in beyond argument by the Los Angeles Times' censorship of the Obama-Khalidi (and Ayers?) video-- has kept McCain's supporters focused on the 96 hour effort to turn out voters. Having just returned from three key states --Colorado, Minnesota and Ohio-- I know from first hand experience that the McCain effort is well staffed and very enthusiastic. The effort to set up "exit polls" as decisive is already being blunted and though we will be treated to the standard "massive turnout" and "Obama wave" stories on CNN election day, the GOP is poised to get its people to the polls, and to ignore the effort to stomp on turnout as MSM's early and erroneous call of Florida for Gore did in 2000.
(See, btw, Geraghty's explanation of why exit polls are guaranteed to skew Obama. HT: RobinsonandLong.com.)
The question is whether the real doubts over Obama's experience and judgment will prevail over the standard Americanimpulse to roll the dice. Great Britain's The Economist counsels that "America should take a chance," and does so after a great speculative bubble has triggered a massive financial crisis. The Wall Street Journal by contrast reminds us of Obama's deep roots in a Chicago machine under investigation and Sean Hannity's reported last night on Obama colleague Bill Ayer's 1974 book dedicated to "all political prisoners" in the U.S. --including by name Robert Kennedy assassin Sirhan Sirhan! The reasons to entertain doubt go far beyond Ayers-Khalidi-Rezko-Wright-Acorn and they came from Joe Biden, as Senator McCain noted in my interview with him yesterday. The Economist wants us to gamble on Obama's ability to handle the most serious of crises, but Biden has warned us we won't like what we get from Obama.
Mark his words. Mark his words.
The only thing now is to work to get the vote out, especially in the east coast states where any early sign of Obama strength will be manipulated by MSM on Tuesday night in an attempt to crush GOP turnout out west.
Do you part especially in PA. Think of anyone you know in the state and send them a link to Perry Nunley's Redneck Date from www.amaze.fm along with a note telling them that given the Obama/Murtha view of Pennsylvania, they should enjoy the song very much.

|
|
|
No, and neither will McLazarus. |
|
...Who in America, besides Biden, even speaks like that?
If the American people have become so foolish that we elect Barack Hussein Obama, then we well and truly deserve the self-inflicted demise we will receive.
May it please the LORD that our country might receive a spirit od repentance, that we might turn to the LORD and pray for Him to forgive our sins. May the wrath of God (Romans 1:18-32) be turned away from us. http://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=rom%201:18-32& version=31
|
|
|
|
Hugh, what happened to touting the RCP poll averages? The one that still has Obama remaining at +6.
Have you looked at this morning's poll of Pennsylvania? Obama +13.
Hugh, why are you fixating on the national polls this year? I recall you lecturing Democrats in 2000 that popular vote totals are irrelevant in the United States and any complaint about winning the popular vote was sour grapes. You chastised Democrats that the Electoral College was all that matters. So why are you now ignoring the individual state polls, Hugh? Maybe this is why:
State Obama (D) McCain (R) RCP Average RCP Status 2004 2000 Florida (27) 48.5 45.0 Obama +3.5 Toss Up Bush +5.0 Bush +0.1 North Carolina (15) 48.9 46.3 Obama +2.6 Toss Up Bush +12.4 Bush +12.8 Missouri (11) 47.8 48.2 McCain +0.4 Toss Up Bush +7.2 Bush +3.3 Indiana (11) 45.6 47.6 McCain +2.0 Toss Up Bush +20.7 Bush +15.7 Montana (3) 44.8 46.8 McCain +2.0 Toss Up Bush +20.5 Bush +25.0 Georgia (15) 45.8 50.0 McCain +4.2 Toss Up Bush +16.6 Bush +11.7 Ohio (20) 49.2 43.4 Obama +5.8 Leaning Bush +2.1 Bush +3.5 Arizona (10) 44.2 49.4 McCain +5.2 Leaning Bush +10.5 Bush +6.3 Colorado (9) 50.8 44.3 Obama +6.5 Leaning Bush +4.7 Bush +8.4 Nevada (5) 50.3 43.3 Obama +7.0 Leaning Bush +2.6 Bush +3.5 Virginia (13) 51.0 44.5 Obama +6.5 Leaning Bush +8.2 Bush +8.1 New Mexico (5) 50.3 43.0 Obama +7.3 Leaning Bush +0.7 Gore +0.1 Pennsylvania (21) 52.5 42.7 Obama +9.8 Leaning Kerry +2.5 Gore +4.2 |
|
|
McCain is closing. The problem with the Real Clear averages is they include EVERY poll including the fringe polls that take bad samples. The majority of polls seem to take a large Democratic sample. Obama should be worried that he is not above 50% in most battleground state polls (excluding the fringe polls). The independent voters have started to break towards McCain and there is a good chance we will see a "Bradley" effect. Although campaigns do not release their internal poll numbers, from what I hear the McCain polling data has shown encouraging signs! |
|
Hugh, no comment on Lawrence Eagleburger? For those that only get their news from Hugh, Lawrence Eageleburger was Secretary of State under George H.W. Bush, prominent supporter of McCain and whose endorsement is often trumpeted by him. Here is what Eagleburger said yesterday:
"The remarks took place during an interview on National Public Radio that was, ironically, billed as "making the case" for a McCain presidency. Asked by the host whether Palin could step in during a time of crisis, Eagleburger reverted to sarcasm before leveling the harsh blow.
"It is a very good question," he said, pausing a few seconds, then adding with a chuckle: "I'm being facetious here. Look, of course not."
Eagleburger explained: "I don't think at the moment she is prepared to take over the reins of the presidency. I can name for you any number of other vice presidents who were not particularly up to it either. So the question, I think, is can she learn and would she be tough enough under the circumstances if she were asked to become president, heaven forbid that that ever takes place?
"Give her some time in the office and I think the answer would be, she will be [pause] adequate. I can't say that she would be a genius in the job. But I think she would be enough to get us through a four year... well I hope not... get us through whatever period of time was necessary. And I devoutly hope that it would never be tested."
OUCH!!!
P.S. Obama just went on the air with ads in Georgia and Arizona! Their internal polling must be showing some real movement to Obama.
P.P.S. Sarah Palin just publicly disagreed with John McCain on defense spending cuts. Talk about a campaign without a message and spinning out of control. Pretty much encapsulates the lats 8 years. |
|
LA Times will not release the tape. Smart, this is what is on it. The paper used the tape as the basis for its watered-down story about the event and has been suppressing ever since, despite massive appeals -- including an official request by the McCain campaign -- to release indisputably newsworthy evidence that could inform voters about where Barack Hussein Obama really stands.
The eyewitness source, who Ross calls "a person who has provided useful, accurate and unique data from LA before" writes:
Saw a clip from the tape. Reason we can't release it is because statements Obama said to rile audience up during toast. He congratulates Khalidi for his work saying "Israel has no God-given right to occupy Palestine" plus there's been "genocide against the Palestinian people by Israelis."
It would be really controversial if it got out. That's why they will not even let a transcript get out.
The eyewitness' use of the word "we" suggests that he is a Times staffer.
In a separate development, a European financier, cited by the Atlas Shrugs blog, has offered a $150,000 reward for provision of the tape.
After four days of hemming and hawing, and trying out other excuses for the suppression, the LA Times' editor Russ Stanton came up with the following "reason": "The Los Angeles Times did not publish the videotape because it was provided to us by a confidential source who did so on the condition that we not release it."
Ross retorts: "How frickin' stupid do they think we are?" Someone gave the Times a videotape so it wouldn't be released? And they can't publish a transcript?"
Now we may know why not. At the very least, the leak of the quotes may compel the paper to release a transcript, or the Obama campaign to confirm or deny their veracity. |
|
|
|
Reporters from three newspapers that endorsed John McCain have reportedly been told that they can't travel aboard Barack Obama's plane in the final days leading before Election Day.
Journalists from three major newspapers that endorsed John McCain have reportedly been booted from Barack Obama's campaign plane for the final leg of the presidential race.
The Washington Times reported Friday that it was notified of the Obama campaign's decision Thursday evening -- even though the paper has covered Obama from the start.
Executive Editor John Solomon told FOXNews.com that the Obama campaign said it didn't have enough seats on the plane, but "I don't think the explanation makes sense to us."
"We've been traveling since 2007 with him. ... We're a relevant newspaper -- every day we break news," Solomon said. "And to suddenly be kicked off the plane for people who haven't covered it as aggressively or thoroughly as we are ... it sort of feels unfair."
He said the newspaper protested but was turned down again by the campaign.
"I can only hope that the candidate who describes himself as wanting to unite the nation doesn't have some sort of litmus test for who he decides gets to cover the campaign," Solomon said, noting that the Obama campaign's decision came just two days after the paper endorsed McCain.
The New York Post and Dallas Morning News also have been kicked off Obama's plane, according to the Web site The Drudge Report. It said the three reporters were told to find alternative transportation by Sunday so that the plane could accommodate "network bigwigs" and reporters from two black magazines, Essence and Jet.
Representatives from the New York Post and Dallas Morning News could not be reached immediately for comment.
|
|
|
Check out this clip from the Obiden show in Sunrise yesterday. The payoff is at the :30 mark. They passed out plenty of kool-aide at this one. |
|
|
http://video.nbc6.net/player/?id=797441 |
|
I sure don't agree with McCain on some issues, but he sure is a scrappy fellow. Never Say Die. I like that.
If God smiles on him, maybe he'll show that same gutsy determination and optimism on getting things done in government with a Democrat majority. |
|
Any McCain supporter should get out and vote for him, send a few bucks in if you can....or should have already.
A miracle could happen. Voters could be withholding their feelings w/pollsters, or just hanging up on them. All very true.
From last week to today, McCain should have cut that to 2 points, and maybe I'd have more hope. He did not. It went up for Obama. Fact.
I think those are facts, the 'polls' tell me that.
However, John McCain waited until 2 weeks ago start his campaign in earnest....with the same vigor and tough talk he has used so often against fellow Republicans for years....against Barack Obama & Joe Biden. Results, well, you see it yourself......it helped.
Too little, too late.
You cannot beat a candidate who is outspending you in key states in advertising 5 to 1, 7 to 1...ouch.
The informercial was effective enough to maintain his solid (even if smaller) lead. The GOP & McCain supporters can't hide from that. Fluffy, pointless, and ego driven, yes it was. But, also a 30 minute puff piece hits the mark w/enough people...it did.
I do not anticipate a McCain victory....I do anticipate a closer race in some states. Not much more than that.
But, I'll say a prayer, and hope for a miracle. They do happen. |
|
Please take the time and look at the actual battleground state polls. There is no closing in places like Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Virginia and Pennsylvania. Take a look at Zogby who showed movement towards McCain earlier this week (though the trend is to Obama as he went from +2 to +8 over the last few days) and he will show any movement in the national polling came from pickups in the Northeast. As an example, McCain picked up 5% support in New York, meaning he is only down 27% now, yet that moved the national polls towards McCain.
Also, your claim that Obama is not over 50% is simply false. In fact, in every recent poll in Pennsylvania, Obama is over 50% with one exception:
NBC/Mason-Dixon 10/27 - 10/28 625 LV 4.0 47 43 Obama +4 Morning Call 10/25 - 10/29 602 LV 4.0 54 41 Obama +13 Rasmussen 10/27 - 10/27 500 LV 4.5 53 46 Obama +7 CNN/Time 10/23 - 10/28 768 LV 3.5 55 43 Obama +12 Marist 10/26 - 10/27 713 LV 4.0 55 41 Obama +14 InAdv/PollPosition 10/26 - 10/26 588 LV 3.8 51 42 Obama +9
Same for Virginia:
Marist 10/26 - 10/27 671 LV 4.0 51 47 Obama +4 FOX News/Rasmussen 10/26 - 10/26 1000 LV 3.0 51 47 Obama +4 CNN/Time 10/23 - 10/28 774 LV 3.5 53 44 Obama +9 National Journal/FD 10/23 - 10/27 404 RV 4.9 48 44 Obama +4 SurveyUSA 10/25 - 10/26 671 LV 3.9 52 43 Obama +9 Reuters/Zogby 10/23 - 10/26 600 LV 4.1 52 45 Obama +7 Associated Press/GfK 10/22 - 10/26 601 LV 4.0 49 42 Obama +7 Washington Post 10/22 - 10/25 784 LV 3.5 52 44 Obama +8
Ditto for Colorado:
Marist 10/27 - 10/28 682 LV 4.0 51 45 Obama +6 Politico/InAdv 10/26 - 10/26 636 LV 3.8 53 45 Obama +8 FOX News/Rasmussen 10/26 - 10/26 1000 LV 3.0 50 46 Obama +4 CNN/Time 10/23 - 10/28 774 LV 3.5 53 45 Obama +8 National Journal/FD 10/23 - 10/27 409 RV 4.9 48 44 Obama +4 Associated Press/GfK 10/22 - 10/26 626 LV 3.9 50 41 Obama +9
|
|
We will see on 11/4! But as I said most polls use a bad sample size that does not reflect the actual percent of registered voters by party affiliation in each state.
I trust McCain's and Obama's internal polling data over everything else. Those numbers are not released but all indications are McCain is closing!
It is going to be a close election!
|
|
You bag on Palin, yet somehow you can imagine Joe "Motormouth" Biden as President? *shudder*
Here's the bottom line: McCain was a *terrible* choice for the GOP. He was an also-ran candidate who just happened to stagger across the finish line first after the other contenders tripped each other up and went down in a tangle of bodies. With the economy being the #1 issue right now (and rightly so), Romney would have been the best choice, period. Despite the gnashing of teeth from many Evangelicals.
I don't see undecideds breaking decisively for McCain because McCain simply does not excite voters, and Obama fear is probably not great enough to get these people to the polls at all. I listen to McCain speeches at rallies and can't help but roll my eyes. It's nothing but tired out political babble with a distinct flavor of desperation.
I'm a solid conservative, yet I see McCain vs. Obama as a lose-lose situation. So if I (and many other conservatives) are blase about McCain, surely undecideds will be as well. My state will surely go for McCain, but me, I don't even care about voting this year. That's how unappealing McCain is to me. McCain is a dinosaur - figuratively and literally. The GOP blew it. Thank you, Mike Huckabee.
Me - I'm bracing for 4 years of Obama/Reid/Pelosi. Ugh. |
|
Too bad the BO campaign doesn't agree:
4 - The Bradley Effect. Don't believe these polls for a second. I just went over our numbers and found that we have next to no chance in the following states: Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina, Florida, New Hampshire and Nevada. Ohio leans heavily to McCain, but is too close to call it for him. Virginia, Pennsylvania, Colorado, New Mexico and Iowa are the true "toss up states". The only two of these the campaign feels "confident" in are Iowa and New Mexico. The reason for such polling discrepancy is the Bradley Effect, and this is a subject of much discussion in the campaign. In general, we tend to take a -10 point percentage in allowing for this, and are not comfortable until the polls give us a spread well over this mark. This is why we are still campaigning in Virginia and Pennsylvania! This is why Ohio is such a desperate hope for us! What truly bothers this campaign is the fact that some pollsters get up to an 80% "refuse to respond" result. You can't possibly include these into the polls. The truth is, people are afraid to let people know who they are voting for. The vast majority of these respondents are McCain supporters. Obama is the "hip" choice, and we all know it. |
|
Bill Clinton: Obama Didn't Have a Clue What to Do About the Economy
Barack Obama cultivated the image of a cool and collected leader during the height of the economic crisis last month, when lawmakers on Capitol Hill scrambled to draft a workable bailout package after a meltdown on Wall Street.
And when John McCain suspended his campaign to dive head first into the fray, Obama's campaign accused the Republican of being "unsteady."
But to hear Bill Clinton tell it, the Democratic nominee didn't quite have a handle on the situation himself.
"I haven't cleared this with him and he may even be mad at me for saying this so close to the election, but I know what else he said to his economic advisers (during the crisis)," Clinton told the crowd at a Wednesday night rally with Obama in Florida. "He said, 'Tell me what the right thing to do is. What's the right thing for America? Don't tell me what's popular. You tell me what's right -- I'll figure out how to sell it.'"
Clinton said when the crisis broke, Obama called his own advisers as well as those of the former two-term president, Hillary Clinton, Warren Buffet and others.
"He called those people. You know why? Because he knew it was complicated and before he said anything he wanted to understand," Clinton said. "That's what a president does in a crisis."
The seeming praise may come off as a backhanded compliment, especially since Obama repeatedly accuses McCain of admitting he doesn't know much about the economy. McCain's campaign said Clinton's remark shows Obama was uncertain when Wall Street seemed to be on the verge of crumbling.
"Barack Obama had no idea what the right thing to do is or at least that's Bill Clinton's impression," McCain spokesman Michael Goldfarb said. |
|
sure spend a bunch of your time on Conservative Blogs pi mping a guy that is so far ahead in the DNC polls. I think the internals have you scared that this election is slipping away.
What are you so scared of? You have blown 600 million dollars of other peoples money and the DNC News Media have gifted you another five or six hundred million dollars in free adds every day.
Yet you socialist feel like you need to spend all day on Conservative Blogs to swing some votes away from McCain?
I would spend my time over at Hillbuzz and see if I could get some of the Hillary voters to move away from McCain.
http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/? ... Y5N2YxZDY=hotrod
|
|
Here are the marching orders of VoidOfReason and others like him.
Part I.
Ok, I want to clear my conscious a little. Hopefully you could make a blog post to help some fellow clinton supporters out.
I work for a campaign and can't wait for this week to be over.
I was doing it for a job. I was not a fan of any candidate but over time grew to love HRC.
The internal campaign idea is to twist, distort, humiliate and finally dispirit you.
We pay people and organize people to go to all the online sites and "play the part of a clinton or mccain supporter who just switched our support for obama"
We do this to stifle your motivation and to destroy your confidence.
We did this the whole primary and it worked.
Sprinkle in mass vote confusion and it becomes bewildering. Most people lose patience and just give up on their support of a candidate and decide to just block out tv, news, websites, etc.
This surprisingly has had a huge suppressing movement and vote turnout issues.
Next, we infiltrate all the blogs and all the youtube videos and overwhelm the voting, the comments, etc. All to continue this appearance of overwhelming world support.
People makes posts to the effect that the world has "gone mad"
Thats the intention. To make you feel stressed and crazy and feel like the world is ending.
We have also had quite a hand in skewing many many polls, some we couldn't control as much as we would have liked. But many we have spoiled over. Just enough to make real clear politics look scarey to a mccain supporter. Its worked, alough the goal was to appear 13-15 points ahead.
see, the results have been working. People tend to support a winner, go with the flow, become "sheeple"
The polls are roughly 3-5 points in favor of Barack. Thats due to our inflation of the polls and pulling in the sheeple.
|
|
Part II.
Our donors, are the same people who finance the MSM. Their interests are tied, Barack then tends to come across as teflon. Nothing sticks. And trust, there were meetings with Fox news. The goal was to blunt them as much as possible. Watch Bill Oreilly he has become much more diplomatic and "fair and balanced" and soft. Its because he wants to retain the #1 spot on cable news and to do that he has to have access to the Obama campaign and we worked hard at stringing him a long and keeping him soft for an interview swap. It worked and now he is anticipating more access. So he is playing it still soft.
This is why nothing sticks.
The operation is massive, the goal is to paint a picture that is that of a winner, regardless of the results.
There is no true inauguration draft or true grant park construction going on. There will be a party, but we are boasting beyond the truth to make it seem like the election is wrapped up.
Our goal is to continue to make you lose your moral. We worked hard at persuasion and paying off and timing and playing the right political numbers to get key republican endorsements to make it seem even more like it was over and the world was coming to an end for you all.
There is a huge staff of people working around the clock, watching every site, blogs, etc. We flood these sites. We have had a goal to overwhelm.
The truth is here. I could go on and on, but you get the picture.
|
|
Part III.
I am saying this because I know HRC was better for the country, and now realize this. I was too late by the time I connected to her. To me Barack was just a cool young dude that seemed like a star. I didn't know him or his policies, but now I understand more than I care to and I realize his interests are more for him, and the DNC and all working like puppets with dean. I always thought a president wanted the better good for the country. The end result I see is everyone dependent on the government, this means more and more people voting for the DNC. This means the future is forever altered. I don't see this as america, so I am now supporting John Mccain.
Sarah Palin is a huge threat, and our campaign has feared her like you can't imagine. If it seems unfair how she has been treated, well its because she has had a team working round the clock to make her look like a fool.
this is a big conspiracy and I am so shocked that its not realized.
We released a little blurb the other day that the Obama campaign was already working on reelection and now putting our efforts towards 2012. This was to make it seem like it was above us to continue caring about 2008. Trust me, its a lie. David is very smart, but its a sticky ugly not very truthful kind of intelligence.
Its not over yet, but I think the machine is working. And its a hill to climb.
I will be quitting my post on nov 5th and my vote will be for John Mccain. Fortunately, my position has been a marketing position and I don't feel I had any part of anything I would feel guilty for. But I look forward to getting out of this as the negativity and environment upsets me.
I wish you all well, and goodluck.
PS my name is not really sarah. but I am a female and I understand your plight. |
|
The thinking americans are not falling your the 'socialist' and 'commie' crap. RCP has Obama up another tick. 6.0. "undecideds" (as if there are any at this point) are breaking for Obama, because they KNOW that McCain is lying, and Palin is not ready for dog catcher.
President Obama. Start saying it. You bigots brought this one on yourselves! Next time, vote for issues, not religion. |
|
Why do even staunch anti-Obama pundits agree this is such a longshot? answered: it's impossible to not get depressed by the lying media. They permeate the culture...but remember, that is different from controlling the electorate.
It's 50-50 at the worst.
a) McCain has a built-in 5% edge via the Bradley effect. b) momentum is in McCain's favor. c) early voting results are surprisingly strong for McCain d) young voters have never fulfilled their promise to vote. e) undecided voters have decided already against Obama, or they would be swooning for him like the others with their hands-out. f) the weekend polls will have an additional 1 to 2% edge for Obama, because, as Karl Rove points out, weekend polls always lean against the party whose voters do things with their families on weekends, g) the anti-Obama turn-out will be nearly 100%. I don't know a single anti-Obama voter who isn't voting
If McCain is within 5 in the more objective polls that come out Monday, he will win. The more objective polls are IBD, Gallup, Rasmussen, Battleground. Zogby is somewhat objective, but his results swing too wildly to be believed. Even Fox isn't very reliable. Most of the rest are the propoganda division of the Obama campaign.
But be aware, the exit polls will trumpet an Obama landslide. The media will see to that. Don't let it discourage you. The only TV outlet that will be even passingly objective will be Fox. MSNBC will declare victory before noon. Don't believe it.
Vote. |
|
my2centsplus writes: " Her gang of bigots "
Can these guys say anything without calling someone who disagrees with them a bigot?
|
|
|
my2cents ..... you are overpriced. |
|
I believe that whoever wins will end up as a one term administration, seeing that the national and worldwide economy is going South. Next year particularly is going to be bad. A President McCain or Obama will pretty much have their hands tied by insane levels of debt.
Nouriel Roubini, the famed NYU economist and former advisor to the Treasury, has forecasted stag-deflation for the next few years. It's like Back to the Future; we're back in the 1970's, but with deflation instead of inflation plus stagnant growth. |
|
UCLA is a fine school even though the faculty is overwhelmingly liberal. Westwood is 99.99 % Democrat.
This is the school who had Bill Clinton scheduled as the commencement speaker, he bailed out the day before the ceremonies because he did not want to cross picket lines of the janitors who were striking for higher wages, a pathetic farce.
I suppose you are a scholarship athlete benefiting from the entitlements from title IX who got into UCLA based on athletic prowess.
I understand your naïve passion, I once was antiestablishment and anti-capitalism, then I grew up …your generation will ultimately pay for the folly of the socialist agenda, it will be you and your kids cleaning up the mess caused by the Obama regime.
So many variables can affect polling trends, history reflects polls can be dead wrong, even exit polls are inaccurate.
My gut feeling is this race will not be close, either Obama will win decisively or McCain will win decisively. Most Democrats made up their mind four years ago, it didn’t matter who the nominee was, so by default Obama gets 47% - 48% of the vote.
I don’t believe undecided voters, some moderate Democrats as well as some Republicans are being candid. Polling questions can be very skewed and misleading; they can bait people into the outcome they want, not necessarily a reflection of truth.
I do expect many of the undecided voters will look past the rhetoric and vote with their conscience, and vote for the safest choice, John McCain.
My instinct tells me our country is not ready for such a radical sweeping move to the left… |
|
Especially re the Bradley Effect (which, as we know, has NOTHING to do with actual racism and EVERYTHING to do with a PC culture that makes people terrified of being *perceived* as racist). Supposedly the Bradley Effect has lessened over the years, but the Obamatons have revived it with a vengeance. By portraying McCain voters as ipso facto racist, they have effectively silenced pro-McCain poll respondents. The Obama campaign claims that the terms "socialist," "community organizer," "the," and "and" are racist -- how could this possibly not trigger a Bradley Effect? I am scared to mention my support for McCain here at work, even though the loony-left lady in the cube next to mine delivers loud pro-Obama disquisitions over the phone in a voice that could carry across six counties. The leftards have effectively intimidated McCain supporters into not voicing their real views--except in hushed tones or among themselves when the loony-tunes are out of earshot. This plus the skewed / rigged polling and the under-polling of suburbia / exurbia translates into big-time Bradley Effect.
When people get inside the ballot booth, they are completely private; no leftard loonies peering over their shoulders ready to call them racists at the drop of a hat. The results should be interesting!
I for one cannot wait to se the stunned look on the MSM's collective face. This will spell the death of the biased leftwing media for sure! |
|
...that the Leftists' whining about Republicans "buying" elections has magically become a non-issue now that Obama is raking in (and spending) cash in record amounts.
Hypocrisy in liberalism knows no bounds. |
|
"This will spell the death of the biased leftwing media for sure!"
Death? Surely you jest. Don't you know that cockroaches can survive even an atomic blast?
These vermin aren't going anywhere anytime soon. |
|
Conservatives,
VOTE!
The polls, whether they say it's a big lead or close, are unreliable. Don't pay them any heed, just vote! Be encouraged!
Obama cannot win unless one of two things happens: his cheating provides huge numbers of bogus votes, or you fail to provide your legitimate vote. |
|
a "Literature Drop" walk for McCain/Palin tomorrow morning. I'M GOING.
ALL McCain/Palin supporters GET OUT this last few days and help GOTV! Get a list of registered Republicans in your neighborhood that have not voted from your local office. Make sure they VOTE. I've been here before. Absentee ballots get left on the TABLE. GET THEM TO VOTE!!!
It's all about turnout.
Next week, we all want to say ----- "Whew ----- that was close."
We DON'T want to say, "OH SH!T, I SHOULD HAVE DONE MORE!!!"
GET UP ..... MAKE A CALL ..... SIGN UP ON THE INTERNET ....... HELP OUT ....... COUNTRY FIRST. |
|
|
|
young men and women making sacrifices most of us cannot imagine, fighting TWO WARS in Iraq and Afghanistan. They volunteered and are sacrificing their time and, sometimes, their limbs and even their lives. How can anyone not take modest action on their own values and urge others to vote. When, in our lifetime, has there been a more distinct choice in presidential candidates?
We are at crossroads; do we turn on the socialist cul-de-sac or continue our journey on the road of capitalism and liberty that has given this country its great blessings?
Can Americans retain the freedoms that so many have fought and died for? |
|
|
Obama will take care of us, as he has for his Aunt Zeituni! |
|
McCain in tie with Obama in ARIZONA!!!
Newest poll out today which explains why Obama is now running ads in Arizona:
Research 2000 10/28-30. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)
McCain (R) 48 Obama (D) 47
Early voters (17 percent of sample)
McCain (R) 42 Obama (D) 54
OUCH! |
|
This man is shady. He is a liar. He is a fraud. He is arrogant. He is an angry man with an agenda of deceit.
And the libs will vote for this because they will get a $500 check from the government.
Trust me, $500 doesn't go far at Nieman Marcus. |
|
|
|
I'm in Arizona, McCain is ahead. McCain will win handily.
We will NOT ELECT a man who had his political career launched and funded by a 'friend' who wrote a book with a dedication to Sirhan Sirhan.
William Ayers wrote a book, Prarie Fire, that had a dedication to Sirhan Sirhan, the assassin of Robert F. Kennedy.
Barack Hussein Obama = TERRORIST GROUPIE. |
|
|
as OJ Simpson, loved his wife. |
|
Still resorting to name calling?
Regardless, the McCain campaign is now very worried about Arizona as they have changed their plans and McCain will now be campaigning in Arizona on Monday! I do not think you will see Obama campaigning in Illinois....do you? |
|
Terrible news from Gallup Hugh. Obama is now up 8 points in their traditional model!
The political landscape could be improving for Barack Obama in the waning days of the campaign. Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Oct. 28-30 shows him with an eight percentage point lead over John McCain among traditional likely voters -- 51% to 43% -- his largest margin to date using this historical Gallup Poll voter model.
Since Tuesday, McCain's support among traditional likely voters has dropped by four points (from 47% to 43%), Obama's has risen by two points (from 49% to 51%), and the percentage of undecided voters has increased from 4% to 6%.
Thursday night's interviews are the first conducted entirely after Obama's widely viewed 30-minute prime-time campaign ad, which ran on several television networks Wednesday evening. Obama held a substantial lead over McCain in last night's polling, however no greater than what Gallup found on Wednesday.
Obama's lead among expanded likely voters is only slightly greater than that seen among traditional likely voters. He now leads McCain by nine-points, 52% to 43%, using this looser definition that does not factor in whether respondents have voted in past elections, but strictly relies on their reported level of interest and intention to vote in the 2008 election.
Obama's current 11-point lead over McCain among all registered voters -- 52% to 41% -- is up from an eight-point lead in yesterday's report, and ties his highest advantage on this basis, last recorded 10 days ago.
|
|
Cockroaches do have those amazing survival skills.
Of course, to call the MSM cockroaches is an insult to cockroaches (like that kinda cute one in *Wall-E*).
LOL! |
|
"In the wee hours of this morning, Public Policy Polling released data from Colorado and New Mexico. The toplines are strong for Obama, giving him leads of 10 and 17 points, respectively in those states. What's worse for McCain, however, is that PPP estimates that nearly two-thirds of Coloradans have already cast their ballots, as have 55-60 percent of New Mexicans, with large majorities of those votes going to Barack Obama. This is backed up to some extent by Michael McDonald's turnout statistics. In Colorado, the state had already processed approximately 1.3 million ballots as of Thursday, around 60 percent of the total 2004 turnout. In Bernalillo County (Albuquerque), New Mexico (statewide figures are not available), 145,000 ballots had been cast as of Wednesday, equaling 55 percent of 2004's total.
Should New Mexico and Colorado become safe Obama states, McCain's only realistic path to victory runs through Pennsylvania. Even if McCain were to win the Keystone, however -- say that Philadelphia remains in a collective stupor from the Phillies' win and that there is some sort of Bradley Effect in the Alleghanies -- Obama has a pretty decent firewall in the form of Virginia and Nevada, which had already achieved 53 percent of its 2004 voting totals as of Wednesday, and where Democrats have a 23-point edge in ballots cast so far in Las Vegas's Clark County (and perhaps more impressively, a 15-point advantage in Reno's Washoe County, a traditionally Republican area). The Kerry states less Pennsylvania, but plus Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Iowa and Virginia, total 270 electoral votes: an ugly, nail-biter of a win for Obama, but still one that would get him to 1600 Pennsylvania all the same. "
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pppmain.asp?@spdT=B6B428 29136845A69B19 |
|
"I do not think you will see Obama campaigning in Illinois....do you?"
Why should he? His thugs have already locked all the Hillary PUMAs and McCain supporters in an underground cell somewhere... |
|
RV: O 52 (+2) M 41 (-1)
LV Expanded: O 52 (+1) M 43 (-1)
LV Traditional: O 51 (+1) M 43 (-2)
So much for a tightening race. Looks like the "socialism" and Khalidi attacks have worked about as well as the Ayers attacks have. Also it looks like the 30 minute infomercial is paying big dividends, even though Hugh panned it. |
|
I just ran across this while I was going through today's papers.
In the polls McCain is way down, but if these efforts of keeping people from voting are true, he could squeeze by.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FqlwhxZoulM
|
|
|
my family in PA has already voted too...for Obama, two siblings, their two spouses, my four nephews. |
|
That Arizona poll # you have posted is EXACTLY why most poll numbers should be ignored. I would love to see the Democratic sample for that poll! Do you honestly believe McCain is going to lose Arizona? Also the early voting is one story and the absentee voting is another. Most early voting exit poll samples are laughably small. Most early voting and absentee numbers are actually favorable to McCain if you look at the breakdown by party affiliation.
Also McCain is returning to Arizona Monday much like Obama will be returning to Illinois. Last time I checked Arizona is where McCain votes and is planning on having his election night celebration.
Go ahead and believe the RCP averages with irregular Democratic samples. I will take the McCain internal numbers instead.
|
|
... holding up that newspaper?
+ + + |
|
on the right, all the polls are wrong. Each and every one of them. Right?
Well, we Obama voters are taking nothing for granted. I'm flying to my home state (PA) to drive folks to the polls on Sen. Obama's behalf. My sons are in Nevada and New Mexico, taking folks to the polls. We intend to see this one through.
Even better will be the huge increase in the House and Senate for Dems because you GOP folks could not figure out that you needed someone who was not 20+ years in DC, combined with the village idiot who speaks in tongues and thinks that innocent women who get raped by their fathers deserve the punishment of becoming human incubators. Those of us who have voted GOP in the past can only hope that this will be the end of the religious right's influence on the GOP so that we can all work together as fellow citizens, and not as enemies. I don't make you get an abortion or marry someone who is gay, don't tell me and mine what to do based not on our constitution but on your view of the bible. |
|
With all due respect, Barack Obama will not be campaigning in Illinois on Monday. Obama will be spending Monday in Virginia.
McCain changed his plans likely given the internal polling he is getting from his home state. |
|
Vote McCain-Palin '08 !!!!!
Vote for tried and true leadership !!!! |
|
showing. You and Obama, Jr. see pregnant women as human incubators !!! Real nice!!!
You two sexists deserve the spanking you have coming Tuesday. |
|
in Hyde Park to be with his girls on Halloween.
A family man. His priorities in good order.
But his eyes are fixed on the prize. He will be attending a rally in Northwest Indiana after that. |
|
|
Not trying to start an unnecessary p-ssing match - but I just checked McCain schedule on his webpage, on Monday 11/3 I see a rally in Dubuque, IA, I do not see anything in Arizona. |
|
No p_ssing match. Actually, it is nice to have a respectful dialogue on this site with someone from the other side of the aisle! Anywhere, here is the link to the news report of McCain returning to Arizona on Monday:
http://www.dcourier.com/main.asp?SectionID=1&subsectionID=1 &articleID=60787
"Friday, October 31, 2008
Sen. John McCain will be in Prescott on election eve, according to the Yavapai County Republican Party." |
|
|
Beware Of Obama's Militia Plans!! |
|
I totally agree - I like intelligent debate, hate stupid debate. And there is way too much stupid debate on most political blogs. I can only imagine the "stupid debate" with is happening on the "Gay Marriage" post today, I have refused to look.
Thanks for the post and the link. People can read into that as they want. I do not think an evening rally in ones home state is a sign of weakness the day before Election Day. Had he cancelled the rally in Iowa to return to Arizona then I would have taken that as a sign of weakness.
|
|
should not be punished for being a victim of a crime. And I am a woman. Men who force women to bear children they conceived through NO FAULT of their own should be allowed to abort them. Otherwise, no different than how the Taliban treats women.
Had Palin, btw, said she was against abortion but ok for incest or rape, I wouldn't raise the issue.
And actually, McCain thinks he will get votes by going on SNL, so he's heading to NYC. That's a good use of his time...90% of SNL viewers despise him.
|
|
A pastor Obama chose for 20 years! A preacher he chose for his beloved family for 20 years. Are Obama's friends, and his world view relevant? In 1995, Bernardine Dohrn and Bill Ayers(unrepentant terrorists) hosted the event that launched Obama's political career. Obama and Ayers parternered, worked together on a six year, 160 million "education reform" known as the Chicago Annenberg Challenge. Obama chaired and approved millions of grants to Ayer's leftiest, maoist associate and ACORN group.
Maybe, the "Obama/Ayers" persue of "Social Justice", under Rev. Wright's Marxist "Black Liberation Theology", America an apartheid state (funded by Woods Foundation), plus Rashid Khalidi's Arab American Action network (pro-PLO ogranization, promoting Hamas causes). Obama and friends reflect a (troubling) message of "CHANGE", a radical new vision for this nation under God. |
|
Siminar Obama Bloggers! This is making sense now.
Be sure to continue posting this on new threads.
I can see many socialists posters here as being siminar posters. It did not make any sense that they would be here. |
|
Just get out and VOTE! The polls are B.S., and the trolls know it -- that's why they're so busy trolling. Check it out, all:
http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/2008/10/31/three-things-the-o bamedia-will-do-to-depress-republican-turnout-and-help-obam a/
It's funny, but you have to go to PUMA blogs these days to get levelheaded analysis of what's going on. Check out http://pumapac.org/, http://pumasunleashed.wordpress.com/, http://texasdarlin.wordpress.com/, http://www.justsaynodeal.com/index2.html -- check 'em all out.
The polls are just part of the Obama illusion. We're going to win, so quit worrying yourself and GOTV! |
|
Surely, you do not think that Obama is going to win Arizona, nor do you think that McCain would spend any time seriously campaigning there to try and win the state (if you can't win your own state, why bother)
McCain will get up early on the 4th and do the photo-op vote thing, and it is quite a flight from the other side of the nation where the campaigning is taking place. So he goes home the night of the 3rd, and yes, gives a campaign stop.
As to why Obama is buying ads there. Because he is so literally awash with cash he can't spend it all in the battlegrounds. There is only so much commercial time available - and so buying ads in Arizona works for a headline (as I saw on the MSN homepage) and apparently to fire up the nonthinking in our midst that Obama is fighting for Arizona.
You asked Hugh if he saw the recent PA state poll. Your question should be for Obama given how much time he is spending campaigning there the last week or so. And now he is going to Iowa!
The jig is up on the 'depress the GOP' strategery. Everyone recognizes the blind cheerleading for the propaganda it represents. But it does not seem to be working anymore.
The 4th will be a very interesting night indeed.
|
|
Thanks for the laugh. A one point move is a 'blip' when it goes to McCain but a two point move is a 'pronounced move' when it goes to Obama.
Glad to see no bias covers your analysis.
But as to that analysis, you forget the undecideds - you know, the ones that 2 years and more than half a billion dollars have failed to move towards Obama. If they break strongly for McCain you have your tie without the need for a 1.5 per day gain.
And given Obama's purchase of the airwaves in the infomercial, it is no wonder you see a little movement in the dailies. If you didn't in fact, your guy would be doomed indeed. |
|
Do I think Obama can win Arizona? Probably not, but then again I did not think he could win Georgia and he has a real shot there. One of the other items from the R2000 poll is that that McCain is behind by double digits to Governor Nepolitano for the AZ Senate seat in 2010. So there is obviously a lot of Arizonans who are dismayed with McCain. Couple that with a shifting demographic (huge influx of Latinos) and Arizona will likely become a blue state soon.
By the way, the only reason Obama is stopping off in Iowa today is that he is taking a 3 hour break from his campaign to take his daughters trick or treating in Chicago. His campaign decided to make the stop in Iowa because it was on his way home before he resumes campaigning later tonight in Indiana. |
|
I Call that a Moral Demise.
48,000,000 death of unborn, since Roe v. Wade. Some called it choice. I call it denial of basic Human Rights. |
|
This is going to sting:
"Former Reagan chief of staff Ken Duberstein told CNN's Fareed Zakaria this week he intends to vote for Democrat Barack Obama on Tuesday.
Duberstein said he was influenced by another prominent Reagan official - Colin Powell - in his decision.
"Well let's put it this way - I think Colin Powell's decision is in fact the good housekeeping seal of approval on Barack Obama." |
|
By the way, the only reason Obama is stopping off in Iowa today is that he is taking a 3 hour break from his campaign to take his daughters trick or treating in Chicago. His campaign decided to make the stop in Iowa because it was on his way home before he resumes campaigning later tonight in Indiana. -------------------------------- Somebody quick! Buy Obama a map of the nation he plans to run, or else maybe the guy was campaigning in Nebraska - (but it looks like he was East of Chicago all yesterday).
It also looks like this Iowa rally was scheduled for the morning - of course maybe Obama takes his kids trick or treating at two in the afternoon (he does have to be in Indiana by 7:30)
But it seems he could be with his kids (and I do commend that) and have fought in a true battleground state in the morning just about anywhere.
Of course, maybe Obama IS fighting in a true battleground state this morning - even if Obamanation can't handle the fact. The early voting models in Iowa are about equal with 2004, when Bush won in a squeeker.
But I do give an A for creativity in this answer by Voice of Reason. I would like to see where he/she read it.
It also doesn't answer the PA campaigning the last few days. |
|
|
Do not pay heed to the enemy. They are evil, and seek the destruction of the greatest nation in the history of the world. Don't listen to them. They do not deserve your time or attention. Ignore those liberals, and just get all the good people you know to vote. |
|
In effect BO has been saying from the beginning: "this is the greatest country in the world, and I want to completely change it".
To some, that seems to make sense. I can only shake my head and wonder what it is in those people's lives they feel is missing, and what they think they will receive to fill that void in this nebulous change? Misplaced hope is the precursor to a feeling of betrayal. Watching that unfold will make Hillary's treatment by these same folks look tame. |
|
Mark Hugh's words, as well as his stellar track record of electoral prediction.
McCain will win. HE WILL WIN!!!! |
|
I see Duberstein didn't even go a full year with Reagan? I wonder why that was? Wasn't good enough for the Reagan Administration?
Big Whoop on his Obama endorsement eh? |
|
You say 'a million Obama voters' in 4 days as if this is a huge number in a nation as large as ours, and as if these 'Obama voters' are all the sorts that have given the 2000 bucks and volunteered for the campaign.
There are a lot of votes, besides the 5 percent or so declaring undecided in these polls, that are open to movement - to either candidate. Surely you concede that. That is why we see the swings we see the last couple weeks. That is why it is possible for Obama to win in a landslide too. And it is POSSIBLE for him (and you) to receive the shock of your lives next week.
I will concede that Obama will win the huge population states (except Texas and battlegrounds) by large majorities of 20 points or so. Therefore, how on earth is he only up 5-8 points nationwide - if in fact he also is going to win all these battleground states too.
And finally, you clearly are discounting any 'Bradley effect' in public polling declarations - if you think Obama's 50% in these polls is a rock solid 50%.
Obama's campaign of course isn't - but a lot of his followers like yourself are.
|
|
|
Because he served as Chief of Staff in the final year of Reagan's presidency. |
|
|
Good one! They have to destroy people who think that McCain the Adulterer (doing that to family is 1000x worse than what Bin Laden did, or what you think Ayers wanted to do, and I mean that. What we do to those nearest and dearest to us is a pure indication of honor and honesty, not what we do to others. Dumping your disabled spouse (like Newt or McCain) is worse than a first-term abortion too. |
|
Don't you haters claim President Reagan was not thinking clearly during that final year in office? Could explain how he allowed someone like Duberstein in...
Of course, I don't buy your nonsense. But if you want it the way you say it, then live with the extrapolations therefrom... |
|
Nancy said, "What we do to those nearest and dearest to us is a pure indication of honor and honesty..."
Barack "I am my brother's keeper" Obama has a brother in a hut living on 12 dollars per year, and an aunt in a South Boston slum. He has used his incredible wealth to help them exactly zero. What does that indicate about Barack Obama's honor and honesty, Nancy? |
|
is totally delusional. She really believes that adultery (nobody dies), (that BTW, millions of Americans have committed), is truly worse than what Bin Laden has done (9/11 mass murders) and abortion (also murders).
Run Nancy run.....the next house for Oz is leaving shortly!!!!
|
|
than it is on many things. I thought you fundys believed in a literal bible? But you let McCain off the hook?
And since when are we responsible for someone who is a distant relative more than we are responsible to the woman who gave birth to our children and raised them while he was gone....then cheated on her openly with some young woman who had a drug problem?
You people are selective moralists. |
|
"The Bible is far harsher on adultery than it is on many things."
Um, how about murder?
You crazy troll scamps are such kidders.
|
|
covet thy neighbor's wife, is on the same plane as the commandment against murder. Both are venal sins.
And folks, check out the latest Gallup poll, both traditional (+8 for Obama) and expanded (+9)...
guess it is Romney rising.
Let's have a contest....will Obama have 325 or less EV?
|
|
|
Who are you speaking to? I voted for Reagan and George H.W. Bush twice. So no, I was and remain a fan of Ronald Reagan and have never questioned his mental state. |
|
Bush was up in RCP average 1.5%. Obama is up by 6.5%. Let's say that the Bradley effect is 5%--that means Obama is up by same that Bush was, 1.5%, same time frame. Now, none of you really think that the Bradley effect will be the same in 2008 as it was in 1982, so let's halve it...meaning Obama is up by 4%, beyond the MOA.
Taps.... |
|
1976- Carter beat Ford 50 percent to 48 percent, two points (The other American blunder) – Carter supposedly lead by 6 points.
1980 – Reagan beat Carter by 10 points – Gallup poll had Carter leading 45 percent to 42 percent.
1984 – Reagan beat Mondale by almost 19 points – Polls missed the Reagan landslide by 6 – 10 percentage points.
1988 – H. W. beat Dukakis by almost 8 points – some polls were showing a statistical tie up to a 5 point Bush advantage.
1992 – Clinton beat H. W. by 5.3 points – The polls had Clinton ahead by 12 – 15 points.
1996 – Clinton beat Dole by 9 points – The polls had Clinton winning by up to 22 points.
Let’s not overlook the exit polls in 2004 showing Kerry as winning, the Kerry voters were over surveyed, while the Bush voters did not want to respond to the pollsters (liberally biased networks)… hmmm...
Networks are saying Obama has already won – it is a landslide! Holly crap did I miss the election!!!
They are trying to give the appearance of hopelessness, discouraging the McCain supporters. It is the continuation of the campaign of deceit!
Every McCain supporter needs to get out and VOTE!
|
|
|
IS voting. Keep hope alive! LOL |
|
|
According to Pollster.com, Obama is 6 EV short of 270. He is about 6 points up in Colorado, and about the same in Nevada. Colorado puts him over the top, even without Ohio, Florida or Virginia. |
|
I am not sure about the ‘Bradley effect’, although some believe it could he as high as 8 – 10% (unrealistic).
I would be more worried about the Fantasyland effect, incorrect skewed polling data purposefully causing a false reality.
I do have hope; I had a very interesting day, four of my female Democrat friends (acquaintances) told me they were voting or had already voted for McCain (I hound them every day!).
One of the women is African American in her forties, she said she was very conflicted because she felt obligated to vote for Obama; however he went against every one of her Christian values and beliefs. This woman is a minister and a VERY proud black woman! So hope is alive!!! |
|
I know how hard Obama's campaign is working. Obama is a Christian man. She'll vote for him. She's just shining you on. They are lying to you to shut you up. |
|
I thought lying was a sin? So Obama can’t be a Christian!
You are telling me my African American friend who is a minister is a liar? If Obama had half the character and integrity of this woman I might have voted for him.
You are pathetic!
I am not an appeaser and I don’t need to be appeased like you and your foolish sheep. |
|
And that means? Now if Meese promoted Obama maybe, just maybe that would mean something. Guberstein meant nothing to the Reagan Administration and you know it! 10 months? it was at the end of the reagan era and he meant nothing to the party.
|
|
|
I do not know if what you say in your three-part post is true, but whether or not it is, I believe every bit of it. It makes me ill to think what lengths the left will go to deceive the masses to get their asses elected. That the tactics have worked so well is mind-boggling, but not really when you realize, as liberals do, you tell a lie often enough, and long enough that lie becomes the truth, and indeed, the "sheeples" surely do follow, because you are absolutely right, "sheeples" want to vote for the "winner," not what's best for the country. What a wicked mess this has created. Pure unadulterated evil. |
|
Nancy how much does Acorn pay you? Just Curious. Nancy what do you think about Obama's Militia being formed with farrakhans million man march? I bet Obama didn't tell you that did he? |
|
The Non-Profit sector of the U.S. economy is the SIXTH LARGEST ECONOMY IN THE WORLD according to the World Fact Book. It is larger than the economies of Brazil, Russia, Canada, Mexico and South Korea COMBINED. It is almost entirely dependent upon: Corporate Giving, which will take a huge hit if Corporate Income Taxes are raised, Foundation and Individual Philanthropy, which will do likewise if the Dividend Tax is raised. Also, bequests to non-profits will suffer if the Inheritance Tax is reinstated. That's BEFORE personal income taxes and Social Security taxes get raised, reducing individual small gifts and payroll deduction gifts, and percentage of purchase gifts. The schools and charities that will be affected are not just in America, but ones that rescue animals, feed the hungry, teach the illiterate, provide healthcare, environmental cleanup, land mine cleanup, disease research WORLDWIDE. Who will provide the millions for the next tsunami, earthquake, etc. relief around the world, a world that depends on America's generosity. I don't think the folks jumping on the Obama economic bandwagon, who know what the international effects of the "affordable housing" fiasco have been realize the incredible worldwide suffering his economic and tax plan will cause innocent people. Meaning well, and doing well, are two very different things. Obama's plan would have "unintended consequences" kind hearted humans cannot tolerate. |
|
InTrade is easy to manipulate when the warchest is $600M plus who knows how much undeclared booty. Obama's campaing is staffed by criminals after all.
It's all part of the propaganda plan. |
|
Gary writes: Friday, October, 31, 2008 6:57 PM Nancy you are pathetic... I thought lying was a sin? So Obama can’t be a Christian!
If Obama has any faith at all, that would bring the total number of Harvard law-school graduates who are believers up to the sum total of......1.
Anybody who thinks that guy is a Christian, Muslim, or any faith is a fool.
Every word that comes out of his mouth is a lie. |
|
|
Did you run out filthy repugnant lies and propaganda? Maybe you went trick or treating in your favorite costume of Karl Marx or Adolph Hitler. |
|
I heard the most merciful was masquerading as a proud American and was even wearing his American flag pin…not his red Chinese flag pin. Ayers and Dohrn went out as James and Dolly Madison, Jeremiah Wright as Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. and Khalidi as Golda Meir
What an inspiring night in little Moscow!
|
|
|
We definitely need to pray. I don't believe the Lord will punish so many good Americans and such a good and benevolent country by allowing such an abomination! Actually the election of McCain/Palin may be the Lord’s way of punishing the pro-death party. |
|
Hillbuzz and other blogs have some former disciples of the most merciful claiming that they were being used as tools for the left to dispirit the Republicans.
The trolls know the end is near and their cheating, lying, illegal voting, foreign money, obscuring of his past, and every other ploy known to man and they still can’t win. We will still see tools that infest this blog saying stupid things like “Romney Rising” and other brainless chants. The internals of the polls show the messiah with little more than 80% of the Democrats voting for him. Forest Gore has 92% and the Genghis Kahn of the Mekong Delta has 89% and both still lost. He has lost a number of the core constituents of the Democrat party due to his treatment of Hillary, his moveable goal line with respect to tax policy, and his most blatant blunder ‘we need to spread the wealth around’ comment. Even Kerry wasn’t that stupid…and that is really saying something. Hopefully, the secular Jews will see him as the anti-Semite and threat to Israel he is.
I am back in South Carolina and just got back from voting absentee with three hundred of my closest friends. Many of the black people I spoke with are not voting for the most merciful because of not being authentic. I think this is hilarious. Hey hey, ho ho BHO’s got to go!
Do not be complacent! Do not be deterred! VOTE!
|
|
A couple of neighbors and I were talking in our front yards yesterday and one said, "If Obama loses, the Blacks will riot because they're pissed". The other said, "If Obama wins the Blacks will riot because they're happy". I said, "too bad there isn't a stiffer penalty for the act of rioting for any reason in this country.
I wonder how many others believe the Blacks will riot either way??? Please post your opinions.
|
|
Yes, there will be riots either way. You can bet on it. Where in this election has there been anything that has been fair and equal. The blacks of this nation will clan together and riot because they are happy and can't contain themselves if Obama wins. If he losses they will clan together and say the whole vote was racist. There will be others that riot too, not just the blacks. We are so politically correct on everything that I don't know if black is the right word to label someone, or is it right to label someone. Oh this is still America, I can still say what I want as long as I try not to hurt anyone. So yes, there will be blacks that will riot. Louis Farakan, Al Sharpton, Jessie Jackson, just to name a few. Anyway they say we are all racist. But look who does most of the rioting. |
|
I think most people would agree with your assessment, and for me to call people of African descent 'Black people' is as politically correct as any other term, especially since they have been called negroes, blacks, people of color, African Americans, etc. etc. and somehow after a while, they decide they don't like the present term and demand to be called something else. Since they are known throughout the world as black people and I couldn't get it right (for some) anyway, I will call them what I believe them to be.
We causacian people are known as "white" and I am fine with that, and don't really understand why they have to throw such a hissy fit about what they're called.
Now let me say this. I do not say anyghing about them because they ARE black, I say it because they are a group of people who display some views and practices that are as different from (white) people as white people are from them. Althouh they are Americans, they have never lost sight of that black African heritage - although most have never been to Africa and would be completely out of their element there.
I do not bring attention to them because of the color of their skin, rather what they say and do which is sometimes just plain ignorant and wrong, and I would say it of any other race who acted in such a manner as they sometimes do. |
|
I will bet you the vast number of people that refer to themselves as African Americans couldn't name 10 countries in Africa without looking it up. I fail to understand why we need to be hyphenated Americans.
I am closer to Italy than most blacks are to Africa. Everyone should be proud of their heritage. However, beyond Egypt what has Africa given to the world? I am more proud to be an American than a decendent of ancient Rome.
I am an AMERICAN first and foremost!
|
|
|
More people who have originated from someplace else should feel blessed and priveleged and appreciate America. I say if anyone who is here does not want to BE AN AMERICAN, they should not be here. |
|
Bless You Too!
You are exactly right! |
|
|
|