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Tuesday, November 03, 2009

No Bellweathers Today

Posted by: Jillian Bandes at 11:53 AM

We're expected to win in New York and Virginia. New Jersey and Maine are a toss-ups, but we've got more than a fighting chance. How shall we read into the results? We shouldn't at all, says Charlie Cook.

Whatever the outcome of this year's New Jersey and Virginia governor's races, the results will depend on conflicting factors that are unlikely to be replicated in many contests next year. Beware, then, of drawing sweeping conclusions.

In New York...

Losing the seat would be a bit painful for the GOP but would not signal much about the party's 2010 prospects elsewhere. After all, how many states have a viable Conservative Party and how many times next year will the GOP nominate someone as liberal as Scozzafava?

That's not the first time I've heard that recently. "Why was Scozzy nominated in the first place?" seems to be a battle cry for those who are anticipating 2010.

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JimPVA writes:	Tuesday, November, 03, 2009 2:08 PM
WHO?
Pardon me for asking, but who is Charlie Cook? I'm sure I should know, but my cranial RAM is already full of 'experts'. What are Cook's bona fides?
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Origanalist writes:	Tuesday, November, 03, 2009 12:48 PM
vlad
Yeah, I,ll think your teacher for that. Ooops....
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AliveInHim writes:	Tuesday, November, 03, 2009 12:35 PM
Vlad
ya beat me to it. And normally I try very hard not to be a spelling/grammar nazi. Now if everyone would learn the difference between 'to', 'two' and 'too' as well as that of 'its' and 'it's', and 'their', 'there' and 'they're' we'll be set. :) I too had some very good teachers when in school-my ninth grade grammar teacher taught us the meanings of the Latin, old English and French root words etc. that make up so much of our language. That more than anything was crucial in learning the basis of true reading comprehension. He was the only one of my teachers who taught like that, and this over thirty years ago. I doubt there are any like that anywhere nowadays. :(
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vladimir estragon writes:	Tuesday, November, 03, 2009 12:27 PM
Even smaller correction
"thank" not "think."
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vladimir estragon writes:	Tuesday, November, 03, 2009 12:26 PM
Small correction
I don't like pointing out spelling errors, but you can think my fifth-grade teacher for beating this into us: a "wether" is the ram who leads the sheep back to the stable. He's the one who wears the bell. Thus, he's the bellwether. It was on her list of commonly misspelled words - the one that superceded all those seperate, wierd other ones.
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