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Sunday, October 29, 2006
Just The Numbers, Please: The Bush-Rove-Mehlman Political Legacy
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 11:35 PM

The Washington Post continues its election eve blitz, but again goes over the cliff with this story: "Midterm Vote May Define Rove's Legacy: Big Losses Could Dim Aura of Bush Advisor."

First, some very basic political history:

In the 1986 election, Ronald Reagan saw the Democrats gained a net eight seats in the Senate and take control from the Republicans with a 55-45 majority. The Dems added 5 House seats to increase their majority to a 258 to 177 margin in the lower chamber. For the math challenged, that is an 81 seat majority for the Dems.

In the 1974 election, the sixth year of eight Republican presidential years, the Watergate/pardon election saw Democrats add four seats in the Senate, for a total of 60 Democrats.  Democrats crushed the GOP in the House, adding picking up 49 seats for a post-election day margin of 291 to 144 --a 147 seat edge!

In the 1958 election, Ike saw the democrats add 14 senators (including two from Hawaii) for a 65-35 Democratic-GOP split.  The Democrats added 48 seats in the House and controlled that body by a margin of 283 to 153.  Again, math fans, that's a 130 seat edge!

Now, with some facts in hand, go back and read the Post's agenda journalism.  President Bush's unique electoral record is matched only by FDR's, and FDR's Democrats lost 76 House in 1938, and six Senate seats.

The Bush-Rove political legacy is already established, and even a narrow loss of both the Senate and the House would not dent it.  If neither body's GOP majority is held, but the margins remain narrow, the Bush-Rove record becomes the most potent political performance in modern times for an eight year presidency, and if either or especially both are held, retire the laurels.

I am used to MSM's almost maniacal determination to diminish the Bush Presidency and especially its political skill.

But facts are stubborn things.  If Bush and his policies in Iraq were as unpopular as the left (including MSM) says they are, the GOP would be facing numbers like those in '86, '74, and '58, or even '38.

That the GOP's candidates and operations are in fact in reach of holding both bodies 10 days out speaks volumes about the president, Karl Rove, and the MSM's ignorance of history.

Election night is going to be much fun.  I'll ne broadcasting until late in the evening.  And remember, the early exit polls will show every Republican losing.  It is just the way MSM works.

 





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