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Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Super Tuesday Math: Far, Far From Over
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 9:39 AM
CNN puts McCain with 97 delegates and Romney at 74.

Let's look at the worst case for Romney on Super Tuesday.

Next Tuesday the winner-take-all states that lean McCain are New York (101), Missouri (58), Arizona (53), New Jersey (52) Connecticut (30), and Delaware (18) for a total of 312 delegates.  (Even though Missouri, another winner-take-all leans Huck right now, lets give its 58 delegates to McCain.) 

Romney is favored in winner-take-all Utah (36) and Montana (25), for a total of 51 delegates.

Thus before the sorting takes place in the other states, McCain's got 409 delegates and Romney's got 126.

Huckabee will certainly get the 34 Arkansas delegates to go with his 29, for a total of 63. 

States dividing delegates Tuesday on other-than-a-winner-take-all basis:

California          173
Georgia               72
Illinois                   70
Tennessee          55
Alabama              48
Colorado             46
Massachusetts    41
Minnesota            40
Oklahoma            41
West Virginia      30
Alaska                  29
North Dakota       26

Total                     671

If these divide 40-40-20,  McCain and Romney will add 269 delegates each, and Huck 133.  But since we are going worst case for Romney, make it 50-30-20, or 336 for McCain,  201 for Romney, and 134 for Huck.

Total at the end of Super Tuesday without a major reversal of fortune for Romney:

McCain 745, Romney 327, and Huck 197.

It takes 1,191 delegates to secure the nomination.  There are more than 900 delegates left to fight for after Super Tuesday.

Start looking hard at the numbers and put yourself in the discussions with Team Romney.  It isn't pretty, but it is far, far from over.

And if the Huckabee voters look at the reality and see they are voting for McCain when they vote for Huck, anything can happen.

View in ascending order View in descending order
flagwaiver writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 9:47 AM
Really Clever, Funny Limerick. Really.
Huck said to Mitt, "You're so lame."
Replied Mitt, "I'm an agent of change!"
But when the voters had spoken
Their hearts were both broken,
For the race had been won by McCain.
Brent  writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 9:48 AM
Get over it, Conservative Babies
Babies.

Every "major" complaint about John McCain can be countered with a similar complaint about Mitt Romney.

Note to Rush, et al: Get over it. Not one of the national candidates is, or ever was, in the Reagan mold. Whine all you want, but the only question that really matters is:

Do you really want the Supreme Court determined for the next 30 years by a Democrat? Just to spite John McCain? For what value? Deciding that it would be "good" to let the Republican nominee lose because it would show the American people the value of "true conservatism" is the deed of a selfish, thoughtless citizen.



PS Earlier today some one told me "there won't be any difference in Supreme Court nominees between Hillary and McCain." I just stared at him, wondering how someone could be so irrational - well, stupid - as to even think such a thing.
PC writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 9:48 AM
Is Romney is the turn-around expert?
He's done it before, I hope he will do it again. A brokered convention strongly favors Romney.

Hopefully conservatives will open their hearts and wallets to Romney this week. He is the only chance for sanity in the GOP.

Go Romney!
Pinto Man writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 9:51 AM
hughs math
I figured Hugh wrote this when I saw the title because I knew he had to come up with some way to twist things to make it look like Romney has a chance. Huckabee should drop out, his votes would go to McCain and Huckabee would probably be VP.
RASHUM writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 9:51 AM
Give up already!
McCain is our nominee! Romney has two chances, slim and none!

GOPsaver writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 9:52 AM
California
The problem with building a wall at the Boarder is you would have to build the wall north of Stockton California.
Aside from Newprot Beach and Beverly Hills. South of Stockton has been over run by Illegal Aliens.

If they find a way to vote then Mitt will have a tough road to hoe.
And/but/so writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 9:55 AM
Gotta hand it to you, Hugh
Your boundless enthusiasm, in the face of almost certain defeat, is impressive, even inspiring. I almost feel bad for you. ALMOST.

And then I remember your atrocious smear of Fred and his health, based on a second-hand analysis of his medical history. Then I remember your haughty dismissal of Huckabee, when he started to gather momentum, as a joke, laughing on air about the impossibility of him taking Iowa. I remember your ridiculous spin pieces, where down was up, white was black, and no news, of any kind, was anything but good for Romney. I remember you smugly promising us Mitt would win in Iowa, and in NH. Most recently, I hear you tell a caller he is hallucinating, yesterday, when he suggested Rudy would drop out and endorse McCain.

Fine. You are a Romney foot soldier, and foot soldiers do what their commander tells them, even if the battle is almost certainly lost. But your determination to bring the whole party down with you is more than sad, it is dangerous. If McCain wins, decisively, next Tuesday, the chance of Romney winning the nomination will fade from slim to none, and more thrashing about will only hurt McCain more, with no upside for the GOP. Please, take a step back, take a deep breath, and accept reality.
Virginia Patriot writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 9:56 AM
You Gotta Vote
Please do NOT stay home. You must vote. You do not have to vote for Hillybama or McAmnesty. There are always other parties and people on the ballot. You could write in Joe Oliva. The important votes are for House and Senate seats. Conservatives MUST win seats in the House. The House is where things get done. It was the passage of H.R. 4437 in Dec.05 that sparked the illegal alien protest marches and moved this issue to the front burner. It was the Senate that tried to jam amnesty down our throats. The D's that won seats in '06 were conservatives running on enforcement platforms. One of them, Heath Shuler D-NC, introduced the SAVE Act. Call, e-mail, or write your Congressman and urge support of this legislation. Enforcement is what Americans want, not amnesty.


I don't think Hillary is stupid enough to step in front of this bus. McCain is.
CDubber writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:03 AM
Huckabee's Holy Calling
"And if the Huckabee voters look at the reality and see they are voting for McCain when they vote for Huck, anything can happen."

Wrong. Many (most?) of the Huckabee die-hards still foolish enough to support this clown are the type that will not vote for a Mormon. Ever.

brianakira and the Bigot Brigade will make sure of it. Pathetic.

Hey brian, do you have anything smug to say about the Pope's hat or the Jews' yarmulkas? Ignorant jerk.
Brett writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:04 AM
Romney Should Bow Out Now
Don't you think it's a little generous assume that Romney is going to pick up 30% of the votes in the South and Midwest? Crazy... Romney should drop out. The only states he's going to win are those where is father lived and the Mormon vote is strong. He can't win the nomination and he can't win the presidency.

Vote for Huckabee, he's the only conservative that has a shot at this thing.
Sensei3KJ writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:05 AM
Straight Talk
If I think that McCain is going to win the nomination. I will write in a President and vote republican the rest of the way.
PC writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:06 AM
That's just not true, Brent
McCain would probably go for an easy confirmation for SCOTUS. His history is repleat with choosing to make dems happy, rather than conservatives.

McCain will lose the general because;

Some believe he is unstable, he's betrayed repubs time and again, some don't like his global warming views, his gang of 14, his McAmnesty, McCain-Feingold, his lying about Rommney, and of course, a lot more.

That's a lot to overcome, and the stay-home-in Nov bandwagon is growing.

dirLie writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:06 AM
Oh so a vote for Huckabee is a vote for
McCain? Wow, Hugh's twisted logic again. Someone ought to get a big posterboard and map out Hugh's logic model. In the end it would look like a spilled plate of spagetti with the sauce all over it.

Get real Mittbotts, the fat lady is warming up, taking a breath and the first note has already passed her lips. Maybe in your rage you can't hear her but trust me, the fat lady is singing....

dirL
melampus writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:06 AM
Mitt
Governor Romney will end up kicking McCain's treasonous BEHIND all over the world by the time super duper Tuesday is over, GUARENTEED!!!!!
PC writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:07 AM
Brett Gentz
delusional.
Jackson writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:08 AM
As water inevitably drips downward...
as flowers inevitably turn toward the sun...
as that sun rises in the east each day...
so does our man HH find a way to argue that victory for Mitt is just around the corner!
I can play too: On January 30 2009, VP resigns,
President McCain appoints private citizen Romney as VP, McCain resigns. Romney's strategy is rolling out!
Vorpal writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:12 AM
McCainiacs to conservatives:
"Get over it! You will vote for McCain and you will like it! McCain hates you and will kick you in the teeth, but he is better than Hillary."

That's the message that we have to look forward to for the next 9 months? Oh. Joy.

flagwaiver writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:13 AM
McCain A Traitor?
melampus:
Please tell us that when you call McCain a traitor you mean a traitor to the party, but not the nation.
PC writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:13 AM
dirlie
Of course a vote for Huck is a vote for McCain - it has been all along. That was Huck's useful idiot job first for Guiliani and then McCain.

It's a 2 man race now. Huck was never a serious candidate. He was only there to exploit anti-Mormon sentiment among evangelicals enough to hurt Romney. I guess it worked.

Yea, Huck! (What an embarrassing legacy.)
richard_223 writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:13 AM
Hate Radio
Instapundit has a warning about McCain Derangement Syndrome and links to Roger Simon, who writes:

'I heard two examples of it this evening - one from my friend Hugh Hewitt, whose rage against McCain today on Wolf Blitzer's CNN show made the hair curl on my bald head and later, on the Larry Elder Show, I listened in as a woman caller excoriated McCain as no war hero even though she knew the Senator had spent five years in a North Vietnamese prison camp, was tortured, had his bones broken yet stayed with the other troops when offered a chance to leave, etc. Even Elder was appalled at the woman, though Larry is no McCain supporter.'

No longer talk radio, but hate radio.
POLITRICKS writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:14 AM
ANTEDILUVIAN
The REAL educated and informed voters have rejected rush limpbaugh, laura ingraham, mark levin, sean hannity and the rest of the praetorian rightwing and conservative talk radio as ANTEDILUVIANS
That goes to show, to be effective, you don't need to KOWTOW to talk radio for approval from the REAL EDUCATED AMERICAN VOTERS.
GOOD CALL JOHN McCAIN.
inchdeep writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:17 AM
@ flagwaiver
Do you write stupid poems while fondling you McCain blow up doll. What will the poem be when he looses the general election if, heaven forbid, he wins the nomination. If he does I have my new bumper sticker on order now from http://www.makestickers.com/

It says "John (BOB DOLE)McCain for President."

Yep, that sums up the race. It's 1996 all over again. Off into the Clinton waste land again. Enjoy the Supreme Court McQueeg supporters.
Danbar writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:18 AM
I Have Seen A Vision - In My Vision
I see a mean little troll who will lead a once proud institution named Reaganism into oblivion. I bid the new moderate left leaning Republican Party, adieu.

As I say my goodbye’s to you the new moderate Republican Party, I suggest that you say hello to your future. Say hello to the new language of your future, Spanish. Say hello to open borders and amnesty for law breakers. Say hello to tax payer funded health care. Say hello to US taxpayer’s funding of the cost’s related to fighting a war against an imaginary foe by the name of “Global Warming”. Say hello to a flood of mentally ill Jihadist’s crossing our open borders and filling our land with death and destruction. Say hello to massive tax increases. Say hello to the end of the global fight for freedom and liberty. Say hello to the free and open murder of tiny helpless babies.

You asked for it you got it! Say hello to President Barrack Hussein Obama the republican’s choice in 2008.

Jsmith writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:18 AM
Hugh's Math
has been approved by Bain Consulting.

Bain also approved Karl Rove's math in 2006 elections.
Hawk writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:21 AM
Consequences if McCain wins the nod
http://ryanhawkins.townhall.com/g/a7b75236-71c2-48bc-84b9- 4fbb77caa3d8

MikeS writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:23 AM
CDubber-I think you're right
CDubber, I am a McCain supporter, and I detest Romney, not for his religion, but for what I consider his sleazy personality, BUT-

There is no doubt that anti-Mormon bigotry played a part in this election. How much of a part, I don't know. What we do know is that Mike Huckabee's performance has perhaps been the biggest obstacle to Mitt, beginning in Iowa, and that many of Huck's supporters will not vote for a Mormon under any circumstances.

I find this very depressing, just as I find depressing the fact that Latinos won't vote for Obama, also for bigoted reasons. It would be nice to think that America has gotten away from this sort of thing, but we apparently haven't...
richard_223 writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:23 AM
Closing the Deal
The RCP average for CA is McCain 32, Mitt 21%.

For NY it is McCain 31, Mitt 13%

And that was before last night's win for John in FL.

How, pray tell, it Mitt going to overcome this? He has already lost NH, IA, SC and FL. Whatever Mitt is selling, the voter's are not buying, that is obvious by now.

davecatbone writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:24 AM
the definition of RINOs
Has been changed. The RINOs are now conservatives. Rest in peace GOP.
whacker writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:25 AM
Fuzzy Math
Apparently, Hugh is getting math lessons from George W. Bush. If Hugh wants to blame someone for the state of the conservative movement he should look no further than George W Bush. This boob cut the heart out of conservatism and left it in shambles.
Thaale writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:26 AM
True, 800 isn't 1200
But if McCain comes out of Super Tuesday with a big lead, voters in later states will likely be resigned to the near inevitability of his winning. So although it’s true that even in the best-case scenario he won’t be close to mathematically clinching the nomination, an 803 to 326 lead would be very significant.

FWIW, Freddoso’s best-case, worst-case estimates for McCain after 2/5 are 700 / 900.

Anyway, it might be worth looking at the post-Super Tuesday phase. With 1,191 delegates needed to nominate and 988 awarded after Super Tuesday, a McCain who had 803 delegates would need another 388 delegates, or 39% of the remaining delegates. And in that scenario, McCain would already have won 58% of the available delegates to date through Super Tuesday, so getting 39% of the later states as the frontrunner would seem to be close to inevitable.

Under Freddoso’s best-case for McCain of having 900 delegates after ST (65% of those awarded to date), he would only need another 291, or 29% of the late-state delegates.

Under Freddoso’s worst-case for McCain of having 700 delegates after ST (50% of those awarded to date), he would only need another 491, or 50% of the late-state delegates. So this is the borderline case.

This is getting long, so I’ll post in the next part which states vote late and how large their delegations are.
Baby Con writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:26 AM
Grow up Brent Think bigger Vote Clinton
Brent,
It's not about spiting McCain. It's about getting pragmatic.
We won't just be staying home. Many of us will actually go out and vote for Hillary over McCain.
Every "major" complaint about Hillary can be countered with a more worrisome complaint about McCain.
Sure I'll go with McCain over the neophyte hoper Obama. Easy call. But I will go with Hillary over MC Anger any day. It is time for all conservatives to begin to take the next-best-thing logic to the next level.
She understands how to grow an economy better than this guy. And she actually won't regulate everything for the sake of the environment.
Remember, she has no principles. This is much better than having the wrong ones.
Under Hillary we will not face wrathful punishment for daring to question McCain's words. We might get a republican congress again.
There is actually a chance of campaign finance and the primary system that has given us MC Tantrum is more likely to get fixed.
Remember, she's ruthless and will do/say anything to protect us. Sometimes you need a little slime and lack of scruples in an executive, especially in the world we live in.
And she will be pressured to prove it (women aren't weak - they can kill too, dammit).
MC Attention will close Guantanamo and want to show how gentle and morally superior he is to his enemies.
I think on judges it's a toss up, but if Huck-voters don't care, if they'd rather be principled than vote for a Mormon, why should I care about their issues for them.
MC DemPartner will end up with about the same outcome on immigration, healthcare and taxes that Hill will; the loser will still be a friend and partner who will help the other in the Senate.
It's just a question of who's got more to prove and who is more stable.
It's time to get prudent and work with the situation we've got.
Come on Brent, vote for the less worse choice. You're not a baby are you?
GOPsaver writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:28 AM
Voting for a Loser.
Hillary and Obama will mop the floor with McShamnesty.

Should Mexico John win the nomination. The media will turn on him so fast in the general election that the Golden Boy John will be the deer in the head lights.

The votes you have cast for McShamnesty are nothing more then votes to put the DNC in the Whitehouse.

The Government of Mexico thanks you and the DNC thank you.
B2slim writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:30 AM
why we refuse to vote for McCain
if McCain is the nominee

we will NOT SUPPORT HIM:

the reasons:

--voted against the Bush tax cuts, one of only two Republican senators to do so;

--twice authored the McCain-Kennedy immigration bill with its Z Visas and path to citizenship;

--has done nothing to accelerate the construction of the border fence;

--stands behind McCain-Feingold even after the Supreme Court has struck down portions of it as unconstitutional;

--defends the Gang of 14 even though a long line of vacancies on the courts of appeal existed at the end of 1006 (and has only gotten longer in 2007);

--worked with Lindsey Graham to destroy the GOP's agenda in September of 2006 by grandstanding over the interrogation and treatment of terrorists bill;

--opposed drilling in ANWR; NOW supports kyoto treaty

--opposed the Federal Marriage Amendment, twice;

--advocates a massive energy tax; (he even dictates why type of light bulbs you can use)

--backed the law of the sea treaty ( which gives control over our SOVEREIGN NATION TO THE UN:

__Hates and punishes success: tells Corporate America to shove it: so Corporate America moves off shore

___supports GOVERNMENT PAID FOR EMBRYO Stem cell research

___Anti alternative energy, then pro alternative energy then anti alternative energy
GOPsaver writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:30 AM
Ask NOT
Ask NOT what you can do for your Counrty.
Ask what Government can do for you.

New slogan for the DNC and McShamnesty voters.
flagwaiver writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:32 AM
Inchdeep
Lighten up,amigo. I don't even like McCain, although I do have some respect for him. He wins the nomination in my poem because that's the way the rhyme worked. McCain rhymes with "lame" and "change," (sort of). Get it? It's really just a joke. And it's not a "stupid poem." It's really, really clever and funny.
B2slim writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:32 AM
We will HELP obama wipe out McCain
Obviously anyone can beat the Clintons

Obama proved that:

If the MSM and liberals shove McShame down our
throats

We can switch to Obama and support him
that will get rid of the Clintons:

McCain is a proven liar:
McCain is a prove flipper
Thaale writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:33 AM
Post-Super Tuesday states
It's hard to see McCain not doing well after ST, looking at the prizes available. In particular, Romney is very weak in most or all of the larger states that vote late.

Texas 140
Ohio 88
Pennsylvania 74
North Carolina 69
Virginia 63
Indiana 57
Kentucky 45
Wisconsin 40
Kansas 39
Mississippi 39
Maryland 37
Nebraska 33
Idaho 32
New Mexico 32
Oregon 30
South Dakota 27
Puerto Rico 23
Rhode Island 20
Louisiana 20
Washington 19
Dist. of Columbia 19
Washington 18
Vermont 17
Guam 9
U.S. Virgin Isl. 9
American Samoa 9
Jsmith writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:37 AM
So, Hugh
Huck is your best friend now, isn't he?..If i were you, I would erase all those Huckbust posts from pre-Iowa days. Start praising him and flip-flop on him. THat way you will have something in common with your boy Mittens.

McCain 3 Romney 1

YOUR.BOY.LOST.
B2slim writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:37 AM
NO NO NO NO MORE
We will no LONGER tolerate

the corruption the sleaze the liars

McCain
Larry Craig
Tom Foley

we have had enough: WE WILL NOT come together to reward sleaze liar McCain:;

we would rather start a new party:

WHY we cannot sink to sleazy McCains level:
--voted against the Bush tax cuts, one of only two Republican senators to do so;

--twice authored the McCain-Kennedy immigration bill with its Z Visas and path to citizenship;

--has done nothing to accelerate the construction of the border fence;

--stands behind McCain-Feingold even after the Supreme Court has struck down portions of it as unconstitutional;

--defends the Gang of 14 even though a long line of vacancies on the courts of appeal existed at the end of 1006 (and has only gotten longer in 2007);

--worked with Lindsey Graham to destroy the GOP's agenda in September of 2006 by grandstanding over the interrogation and treatment of terrorists bill;

--opposed drilling in ANWR; NOW supports kyoto treaty

--opposed the Federal Marriage Amendment, twice;

--advocates a massive energy tax; (he even dictates why type of light bulbs you can use)

--backed the law of the sea treaty ( which gives control over our SOVEREIGN NATION TO THE UN:

__Hates and punishes success: tells Corporate America to shove it: so Corporate America moves off shore

___supports GOVERNMENT PAID FOR EMBRYO Stem cell research

___Anti alternative energy, then pro alternative energy then anti alternative energy
Craig writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:37 AM
Hugh's approval
Mitt I think you have Hugh's approval. You can blow the rest of your money on the primary now.

Geez. Lets be honest. Romney should start playing nice now and try to get the vice president slot. Since I think McCain only wants to be a one termer, Romney can get the time in and position himself for a run in 2012. And if McCain loses, same thing.

This scorched earth nonsense is crazy. If Romney keeps spending a ton of his own money, while losing most of the primaries I don't see how that helps anyone. He only starts hurting Repub chances for the fall. You can blaming Huck or whomever for this, but it is what it is.
Danbar writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:38 AM
Go Hillobama!!!
Maybe the conservative voice will be heard after four years of Hillobama!
bigkam writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:39 AM
Dreaming
I respect Romney supporters, even if I have little respect for the man himself. But I have more respect for those not living in the dream world where Romney can still win the nomination. He's finished, and it's getting to be the time where we need to start focusing on the general, instead of bickering over something that has already been decided.
blakemusn writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:41 AM
Sad...
... scrambling to trying to spin things for the Romney camp. He's done. He's outspent McCain and Huck something like 4-1 and the people don't like what they see (People know who he is now so don't feed that bs about him being an unknown governor from a blue state).

Sure, Romney says he's more conservative. Look at me... I'm more conservative (forget about my record and my "evolving opinions")... now it must be true. Thompson was the most conservative as far as the base is concerned. However, he's gone and I bet he's gonna support McCain.

Romney's done now. Romney is a good businessman and nothing more. He doesn't understand that running government like a successful business (except for the part about balancing a budget) adds a layer of unnecessary bureaucracy (I really don't want Bain Consulting or any other consulting company running my government) and won't work. His experience record as a governor is lackluster at best.

I know it's hard to admit defeat especially after you've been paid to work for the guy for so long, Hugh. Now you sound like a Clinton though with your triangulation. McCain will the nomination shortly after Super Tuesday (I predict Feb 12 after Virginia and Maryland Repubs convene). McCain is likely to pick up the Maine delegates this week too... add 22 more. Don't forget that Huckabee is more likely to lend his support to McCain than Romney.

And as for all these comparisons between McCain and Dole, here's where they are wrong:
1. Dole ran against a popular incumbent
2. Dole had to compete with Ross Perot for the vote
3. The media loves McCain, never really loved Dole

The only thing they have in common is that they are both war heroes, Purple Heart recipients, and Republican senators who didn't always see eye-to-eye with their party.

Time to move forward...
inchdeep writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:42 AM
Laura Ingraham
Laura digs up an old clip off Russert's show where McQueeg says Hitllery will make a good president. Nice how Captain McQueeg reaches across the isle just not to conservatives. And he is correct he about Hillary. He will loose gracefully to here, and take the country with him.
Jonathan writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:43 AM
Arizona is not winner-take-all
Arizona changed its primary election to a "presidential preference election."

Instead,

"Each presidential candidate receiving a percentage of the votes will win one or more delegates, with the largest share going to the candidate who receives the most votes."

Arizona Capital Times, January 3, 2008.
Angel writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:43 AM
Brett ....
Since when is Huckabee a conservative?

I supported Thompson, then Giuliani ... and since they're no longer in the race, I'll vote for Romney on Tuesday here in California.
B2slim writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:44 AM
McCain is a NEW low for GOP
WE WILL NOT SINK to the bottom with McCain

McCain and Hillary are identical twins:

THIS IS THE REAL JOHN MCCAIN, proven liar

--voted against the Bush tax cuts, one of only two Republican senators to do so;

--twice authored the McCain-Kennedy immigration bill with its Z Visas and path to citizenship;

--has done nothing to accelerate the construction of the border fence;

--stands behind McCain-Feingold even after the Supreme Court has struck down portions of it as unconstitutional;

--defends the Gang of 14 even though a long line of vacancies on the courts of appeal existed at the end of 1006 (and has only gotten longer in 2007);

--worked with Lindsey Graham to destroy the GOP's agenda in September of 2006 by grandstanding over the interrogation and treatment of terrorists bill;

--opposed drilling in ANWR; NOW supports kyoto treaty

--opposed the Federal Marriage Amendment, twice;

--advocates a massive energy tax; (he even dictates why type of light bulbs you can use)

--backed the law of the sea treaty ( which gives control over our SOVEREIGN NATION TO THE UN:

__Hates and punishes success: tells Corporate America to shove it: so Corporate America moves off shore

___supports GOVERNMENT PAID FOR EMBRYO Stem cell research

___Anti alternative energy, then pro alternative energy then anti alternative energy
richard_223 writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:46 AM
You Go, Girl
I am listening to Laura Ingraham too. She is having a total meltdown, approaching the Hillary shrill level, outraged at the stupid voters who did not go with her man Mitt.

Maybe she will do the quote where Mitt said Huck would make a good President.
BMessenger writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:48 AM
Yeah right, Hugh.
"Total at the end of Super Tuesday without a major reversal of fortune for Romney:

McCain 745, Romney 327, and Huck 197"

So when McCain rolls on after Super Tuesday, with even more momentum, into TX, LA WI, MN, WA, OR, OH, IN, VA all states that he has a fairly healthy lead in, somehow, someway Mitt does well here too?

Give it up, Hugh, this race is far, far over.
corimari writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:53 AM
Re: I Have Seen A Vision - In My Vision
Danbar is exactly right in his portrayal of what our nation will experience with a McCain Presidency.
And you know, it is the same experience the nation will have with an Obama or Clinton Presidency.
McCain is following his friend John Kerry's playbook for campaigning: tell the folks in each state what they want to hear, change stance as needed.
Senator McCHAMELEON.

Danbar writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:53 AM
We Get It OK!!!
Romney is history (likely). So I repeat, since a republican liberal is not acceptable to my principles - Go Hillobama. Thats it, finito! Goodbye liberal Republican Party. Go democrats until a conservative is nominated in some political party (third party maybe?).
B2slim writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:55 AM
36% of votes NOT a Presidential win
McCain can never get higher than mid 30's

He cannot win with 36% of the votes

McCain does not have any character or principles

WE DO

WE are so done with Liar McCain who is an
identical twin to Hillary

we may as well have hillary at least we know
what we are getting

backstabbing McCain is too unstable
ColoradoConservative writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:58 AM
Hewitting ... and in a frenetic fashion
Hugh, just stop it. You are embarassing yourself. By the way, you heavily touted the Rasmussen polls for Romney in Florids a couple of days ago. And so you will no doubt tout these new national head-to-head poll results:

McCain 48% Clinton 40%
McCain 47% Obama 41%....
Humbert writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:59 AM
Delusional
Hugh Jardon Hewitt,

Dude. Seriously. You are starting to sounds like some sort of UnaBomber crank slaving away into the small hours and formulating plans to bring down McCain.

Romney is not going to win. He spent $30 Million in FLA and lost. McCain is getting Rudy G's endorsement and money is going to start flowing into his campaign. Game - Set - Match.

Face it. Americans are sick of the hate speech and fanatical silliness coming out of the rabid right wing of the republican party (Coulter, Hannity, You, Limbaugh). Your time has come and gone so pack it in and support McCain or maybe you would prefer Billary?
Joe writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:59 AM
The Outlaw Josie Limbaugh
Re: Two Americas Analysis [Mark R. Levin]


As Rush said to me last night, Romney needs to spend his own money to try to counter all the fawning, free media that McCain gets. http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=MjQyOWQzMzU3ZWQ2N Dc0NDRmMDRjOTc3MzFhNzdiNzA=

Rush and Levin are the equivalent of those Confederates who refused to surrender after Appomattox.
ColoradoConservative writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:59 AM
The judges
Just a reminder for these people now endorsing a Democrat for President; there is apt to be up to FOUR supremes to appoint in the next 4 years.

As long as you are happy with Obama or Hillary being the one appointing then go ahead and throw your infantile fit. Go ahead.
PC writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:01 AM
Bigkam - we are
For many days now these blogs have been inundated with post declaring "I'll never vote for McCain". It's a growing movement.

Conservatives have 3 choices: Hold their nose, Refuse to vote, or gather around Romney is a last ditch effort to save traditional conservatism.

It's not bickering - it's trying to save the ideals that have served the GOP well for a very long time. We don't want to throw them away at the drop of a hat, thank you.

Virginia Patriot writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:01 AM
GOP=WHIG

The Stupid Party

The RNC wants an amnesty candidate.

Don't vote for one.

Another amnesty will result in Democrat majorities for decades, or until they are supplanted by the La Raza Party, why doesn't the RNC know that? How stupid do you have to be to import voters for the opposition at the same time you alienate your own voters? Nominating any of the amnesty supporters is a losing proposition, we will not support them. If the GOP intends to surrender our sovereignty and abandon the rule of law, they will find in November 2008, that they still have their big money/cheap labor donors, but they do not have voters. GOP-RIP
Virginia Patriot writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:02 AM
Dole II ???
Not really. I liked Bob Dole.

Worse than Dole. I wasn't excited about Dole, but I wasn't pi$$ed off at him, so I voted for him. What's the likelihood of anyone who has been called names for wanting the gov't to actually enforce the laws, to vote for those jamming amnesty down our throats?

McCain-Kennedy, McCain-Feingold, McCain-Leiberman. Leadership like this I can do without.

Carbon taxes, constitutional rights for Gitmo detainees and amnesty for illegal aliens await us no matter who wins, whoopee!!!

I will not participate in the dissolution of my country.
PC writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:03 AM
Colorado
McCain is just as likely to blow it on judges as he did on amnesty, taxes, free speech, gang of 14, etc., etc., etc.

Your name is a misnomer. You're not conservative.
beaumandy66 writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:03 AM
The libs are loving McCain!!
For all you people who are excited McCain is going to be the GOP nominee, you have a lot of company.... on the far left.

The radical socialist libs on KOS and other lefty blogs love McCain fooling enough people to get the nomination. They are having a huge laugh about this. They know they just won the election.

So go ahead, slam Hugh, mock Romney, declare conservatism dead. You are responsible for what you get. The conservative base, which is the GOP are not going to support your RINO McCain. Never.

Get ready for president Hillary or Obama. Congrats.
Ted writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:05 AM
Just for the sake of discussion
What would happen, say, if McCain, developed a serious health problem or impediment between now, and say, next week, next month, the convention, November '08???

eddie writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:07 AM
Roney should withdraw
from the race and endorse Huckabee. Huckabee is the most committed social conservative. Romney has been dividing the social conservatives because of his late conversion to their cause. Some believe him and some prefer to go with the guy who had been a social conservative his whole life. Committed pro-lifers, pro-marriage and pro-Second Amendment rights have good reason to question the depth of Romney's committment to pro-life, pro-marriage and pro-Second Amendment. Romney can prove his committment by accepting the VP under Huck. That would convince this social conservative that he is committed to my issues.
ColoradoConservative writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:08 AM
Hugh will love this!
http://abclocal.go.com/kabc/story?section=news/politics/nat ional_elections&id=5923544

Schwarzenegger hints at endorsing McCain

Given that Hugh was fully in Arnie's camp back in 2003 and severely derided those of us who backed Tom McClintock, I am sure that Hugh will tout this endorsement on his website.
Ted writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:08 AM
Virginia Patriot, I agree
No way can I (conservative, GOPer) ever vote for McCain.

I've walked around this question since last night. Still, I can't and won't.
gunlock bill writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:09 AM
DNC Joe
"Let the healing begin."

The scares from getting stabbed in the back by McCain too many times haven't even begun to heal. In fact the bleeding hasn't even been stopped yet.

No vote for McCain from me. I'll vote third party long before I will vote for McCain. He hasn't apologized to me yet and isn't going to. And he hasn't done ANYTHING to make amends for his MANY transgressions.
SEEHAWK writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:10 AM
Politricks
If you are talking about the flood that God sent to destroy the whole wicked earth, and who knows what you really mean... then I think Rush, Laura, and Sean were actually in the ark, and they did not perish as they all profess Christ. But I've only studied the Bible 20 years, so what do I know?
rondooo writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:10 AM
There is no way that I
There is no way that I can even vote for McCain...
I will suport Mit and vote for any Rep. canidate but McCain...There is no way I want to be responable when in the name of the Rep Party he brings down the Rep Party by what he stands for and dose...The only thing I can think to do is pray that the train wreck that he (McCain)would bring , is not to bad...My first hope is that he dose not win... By this piont I would rather have the Dem in the next four years take the fall than a fake Rep.....
sugar writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:12 AM
The New Republican Party
I was a Romney supporter, but I'm not so delusional that I can't see that he's done. As I've said elsewhere, I think there is a part of the Republican party that has wanted to jettison us folks that apparently mistakenly called ourselves conservatives for some time. There's a new conservative now. Once the old conservatives can be purged from the party, the party can be moved left and become more competetive with the Democrats. I think they believe this is for the good of the country. The entire political spectrum has shifted left. There is too much of divide between the parties to get anything done. So GW and Rove gave the nod to McCain to push the amnesty bill last summer. They knew that even if there was blowback, McCain would get credit for it in the immigrant community, and it would push him on to the nomination. GW thinks open borders are compassionate. I think the establishment thinks this is only chance for the life of the party going into the future. It may be. For me, I'm out. Favoring some groups over others for political gain is leftist and offensive. So I wish the new conservatives and the new Republicans luck with that.
kchand writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:12 AM
McCain is a kook.
Even if he were to win the general, which is all but impossible, the country and the party lose.
eddie writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:13 AM
The only chance for social conservatives
is if Romney withdraws and endorses the most committed social conservative, Mike Huckabee. If he does not, he is surrendering the GOP to the McCain wing. To those who say Huck should withdraw and endorse Romney, some of us social conservatives want someone whose record on social issues is steadfast. Steadfastness/loyalty on social issues is a virtue to many social conservatives. Let Romney prove his committment to social conservative issues by withdrawing and campaigning for Huckabee. It is the only chance the social conservatives have of winning. Romney should put his money where his mouth is and support the social conservative who has shown a lifetime of committment to the social conservative cause.
ColoradoConservative writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:14 AM
In response to PC re: McCain and judges
- Back in April at Columbia University McCain called Roberta and Alito “two of the finest justices ever appointed to the United States Supreme Court.” He also made a point by stating that “there may be as many as three vacancies on the United States Supreme Court” in the next presidential term. “It’s going to be a very, very important responsibility of the next president.”

His judges, he implied would be in the mold of Thomas, Alito and Roberts and, he vowed, “would strictly interpret the Constitution.”

- Back in November, to the Federalist Society, McCain spoke of the importance of judges who would strictly interpret the Constitution.

“They should be people who respect the limited scope afforded federal judges under the Constitution,” he said.

He went out of his way last night in Florida to talk about judges who would strictly interpret our Constitution. See http://www.christianpost.com/article/20080130/31022_McCain _Wins_Florida,_Seeks_to_Reconcile_with_Conservatives.htm

If you want to take your chances with an Obama or Clinto presidency by sitting out this election, you must live with the consequences.

Joe writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:15 AM
The Outlaw Josie Limbaugh
Re: Two Americas Analysis [Mark R. Levin]


As Rush said to me last night, Romney needs to spend his own money to try to counter all the fawning, free media that McCain gets. http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=MjQyOWQzMzU3ZWQ2N Dc0NDRmMDRjOTc3MzFhNzdiNzA=

Rush: You, Hewitt, and Levin are the equivalent of those Confederates who refused to surrender after Appomattox.

Unlike you I do not look at McCain winning Florida as Liberals defeating the Conservatives. I look at it as Republicans picking the best canidate available. McCain is far from perfect, but he can be influenced to do the right thing and is hands down better than Hillary or Obama. McCain has been good on fiscal spending control his whole career. McCain is great on defense. If he agrees to no immigration reform his first term until the border is sealed and is watched carefully (especially on judicial appointments) you may find him doing better on conservative issues than George W. Bush. McCain is no Reagan, but neither is Romney (did you catch Mitt attacking McCain over his vote against expanding Medicare entitlements? I thought conservatives opposed expanding entitlements?). Rather than looking at the glass half empty, consider it half full.

Conservatively yours,

Joe
Vorpal writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:15 AM
Joe is determined
to rub salt in conservative wounds after the McCain victorys. A fair preview of McCain's own contempt for conservative principles.

McCain needs to unite the party not keep sticking people in the eye.
inchdeep writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:18 AM
ColoradoConservative dreaming again.
"ColoradoConservative writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 10:58 AM
Hewitting ... and in a frenetic fashion
Hugh, just stop it. You are embarassing yourself. By the way, you heavily touted the Rasmussen polls for Romney in Florids a couple of days ago. And so you will no doubt tout these new national head-to-head poll results:

McCain 48% Clinton 40%
McCain 47% Obama 41%...."

Colorado(FAKE)Conservative is dreaming. The MSM is still propping this Republican traitor. Once they, and the Clinton Machine, start in on him McQueeg's words on Russert's show will come back to haunt him. The little corporal said Hillary "would make a good president." And he will get his wish, another Clinton Presidency. Then he can go back to the Senate and help her pass her liberal agenda and pack the Supreme Court with lefties.
kchand writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:20 AM
The RNC will get no $$$ from me
if it is McCain. I refuse to support a horrific potential Republican president. Not only bad for the country but horrible for the Republican party. Imagine the party in the image of John McCain. I've given thousands in the past but no more. I will support local races and my one good senator, Jon Kyl, as I did last year.

Anyone, explain to me why my, or anyone's, hard earned money should be spent towards a loony presidential candidate and the castration of the Republican party?
luke writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:22 AM
GET OVER IT I AM TOLD.
After last night i did.The republican party told conservatives to leave.I did.I am over it.You can have your new republicrat party.
popsichel writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:23 AM
Huckabee
No one gets it! I really think no one gets it.

I am as conservative as they come. Thus I cannot and will not back McCain.

I am a Christian Evangelical. I cannot and will not vote for a Mormon.

Huckabee is the only guy I can back. He's just as "conservative" as Romney (CHECK HIS WEBSITE)and he's not a johnny-come-lately pro-lifer like Romeny.
beaumandy08 writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:23 AM
Colorado Conservative
Dude, you are the problem. People just like you.

You give McCain a pass for acting like a Democrat and then call yourself a conservative? Your a fool. How many times did McCain need to screw over the party before you " got it "? 30 times? 80 times?

You are no conservative. Your a RINO like so many others in our party today.

The result??? The Democrats are going to roll come November. Hope your happy fool.
inchdeep writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:24 AM
@ flagwaiver
There can no lightening up when we may get McLooser as the nominee. There is to much at stake here. He will lead the conservative agenda into the Clinton or Obama waste land. We will be in the minority for the next 4 to 8 years. And the Supreme court will be packed with Lib or McCain Lib's for the next 20 years.
Knight7 writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:25 AM
Romney-Thompson ticket
I have been tauting a Romney-Thompson ticket for two weeks now. And finally I hear Laura Ingraham talk about it on radio this morning. A Romney-Thompson ticket will bring the conservatives together against the moderate and liberal Republicans. Romney needs to wake up and announce that he will choose Fred Thompson as his vice president.
ColoradoConservative writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:25 AM
Hugh is delusional ...
Hugh writes: "It takes 1,191 delegates to secure the nomination. There are more than 900 delegates left to fight for after Super Tuesday."

By Hugh's own generous calculus, Romney will, at most end up with 327 delegates after next Tuesday. To get to 1,191 he would need to win the remaining 864 of the 900 delegates. And so, Mitt needs to get 96% of the remaining delegates after Tuesday.

Barring McCain keeling over from a stroke or heart attack, McCain is our nominee.
jared writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:25 AM
McCain
current RASMUSSEN:

McCain 48% Clinton 40%
McCain 47% Obama 41%

Anyone who is not on the McCain bandwagon needs to turn of Rush and Hugh for 10 minutes and read Medved's article "Six Lies About John McCain". Also, go to McCain's website and read what he stands for. The guy is a CONSERVATIVE.

And regarding the idiotic comment that McCain SCOTUS judges would look no different than Hillary's...McCain fought for Robert Bork! He supported Clarence Thomas. He supported Alito and Roberts.

ColoradoConservative writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:26 AM
Response to inchdeep
Romney supporters are showing their true stripes by hurling invective.

How very sad. And pathetic to boot.
kchand writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:26 AM
Explain this:
What happens in 2012 with McCain approaching his 77th year and the presidential candidate? (If he lives that long. He touts his mother's age but his grandfather and father died at 61 and 71, respectively.)
ColoradoConservative writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:27 AM
Response to beaumandy08
Ahem ... "Dude" it is spelled "you're" and not "your". Somehow this does not surprise me.
PaulW writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:28 AM
Don't Settle For A Liberal...
If all true conservatives feel helpless because of no real choice...let's mobilize and write-in NEWT GINGRICH for PRESIDENT!!! He's going to run in the next election, so what's four years early? Now, of course, with Newt's almost scary intellect, he has long ago determined that Hillary will be the next occupant of the White House.

(The curtain rises and the light comes up slightly on a well-appointed office walled in by countless volumes of important works on every side)

While sitting in a tall-backed black-leather chair in the shadows of his dimly lit study, Newt, legs crossed, elbows resting on his knee, fingertips drumming together just below his chin, saw it all well ahead of time. He saw four years of Hillary...the train wreck to our economy, healthcare, military and national pride! Newt saw the scandals...the Bill stalking the hallways of whatever wing of the White House Hillary wasn't in...seeking all things young, naive and female... Newt saw America tilt to the edge of chaos, her spirit all but destroyed by a single term of HILLARY!!! (excuse me while I shudder involuntarily) Newt thought to himself...or did he speak the words aloud..."I will save her...America must stand strong again...her people united...her reputation repaired. America will rise again and a man of principle will lead her! I...am...THAT...man!

Cue orchestra..."Fanfare to the Common Man" (by ELP) wafts to the ear...softly at first, then blazing through the stillness--like the unexpected crack of thunder at the start of a storm!

THE TIME IS NOW. Write-In Newt Gingrich 2008!
ColoradoConservative writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:32 AM
Laura Ingraham in full meltdown
As richard_223 writes above "Laura Ingraham ... is having a total meltdown, approaching the Hillary shrill level, outraged at the stupid voters who did not go with her man Mitt."

I'm in total agreement. She was embarrasing herself this morning.

And illogical. She said that McCain MUST reach out to conservatives like her or they were taking their ball and going home. But then, in almost the same breath, she said such a reconciliation effort would have no effect as McCain had done too much damage. Which is it Laura?

I think that she and Mark Levin are simply throwing infantile fits because they are realizing that their non-stop shilling for Romney did not pay off. Nay, it had an opposite effect as it turned off andsent rationale conservatives like me searching elsewhere.
RyanC writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:33 AM
What ever helps you sleep at night Hugh
Why don't you just get it over with and eat that plate of crow.
Joe writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:35 AM
Vorpal
You are wrong about that. No salt rubbing by me. Rather I want conservatives to focus on making McCain more conservative rather than less. I want us to work together to prevent Hillary or Obama from being our next president.

Becasue if you think McCain will be bad, you have no idea how bad it can get. The world is way to screwed up to allow another Jimmy Carter in the White House (and Obama has that Carteresqe do gooder side to him). And Hillary (while certainly no do gooder) has a little tyrant in her heart of hearts.
Jsmith writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:35 AM
Hugh, Laura, Klo
can all take turns grabbing the tail pipe of a running car..i mean what do they have to look forward to..their man lost or will lose big soon and worse - one has a face for a blog that should never be seen in public, one has a voice that should have never been heard my humans and one has brains the size of a pea
Qweenmumof7 writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:37 AM
I will vote Obama
If your going to destroy the country, let a democrate do it, no a republican. I will be voting for Obama i the dirty cheater mccain get the nom. He pulled a clinton trick, and now were either going to wake up and toss the troll out, or vote Obama.

That's my choice, and I'm sticking to it. I was goin to vote Mccain, if he got the nom. But not after his dirty little lies.
kchand writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:37 AM
Response to ColoradoConservative
Ahem ... "Dude" it is spelled "rational" and not "rationale". Somehow this does not surprise me.
eddie writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:38 AM
There is a way to beat McCain.
Hugh just gave us the raw data. However, 64% of the Republican Party voted for someone other than John McCain. It is also true McCain benefited greatly from the Cuban vote and the inordinate number of senior citizens in Florida. Some of the remaining states have different demographics than Florida. If Romney stops attacking Huckabee, it is possible the social conservatives can deny McCain the delegates necessary for the nomination and produce a brokered convention. I suggest it is time the social conservatives stop attacking each other and make sure the Republican electorate knows that McCain is the least reliable social conservative. By uniting the social conservatives, even if it is behind two candidates, may be a victorious strategy. The conservative talk show hosts have hurt the party greatly by attacking Huckabee. They are the ones who have confused the voters about who is the social conservative. They are most responsible for McCain's success to this point.
ttstage writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:38 AM
The Choice
Dear Republican, Now Huchabee gives us McCain and McCain gives us Clinton. Got it!
DocTony writes: Wednesday, January, 30, 2008 11:39 AM
Hugh?
Take a step back from the ledge.

That sound you hear in your head is 'Taps'. Don't you think it is a little peculiar that Romney has chosen it as his new campaign theme? I guess he didn't discus