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Tuesday, August 05, 2008
Zogby: Obama Losing Support
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 8:41 AM
Yesterday, I noted that Rasmussen had McCain up by one point.  Today, Zogby confirms.  Granted, I don't think national polls matter -- and it's really "likely" voters -- not "registered" voters -- that we should be worrying about, in my estimation.  I'm also not a big fan of Zogy's polling.  Still, it's a good sign that McCain is narrowly winning multiple polls, especially considering it is on the heels of Obama's trip abroad.  As David Brooks asks today:  Where's the landslide?

While the horse race aspect of a campaign is fun to talk about, it's not the head-to-head numbers that really tell us the most about the state of a race.  No doubt, the most interesting -- and telling -- thing to note from the new Zogy poll is that Obama seems to be losing support among what should be his strongest supporters:
- McCain gained 20% and Obama lost 16% among voters ages 18-29. Obama still leads that group, 49%-38%.

- Among women, McCain closed 10 points on Obama, who still leads by a 43%-38% margin.

- Obama has lost what was an 11% lead among Independents. He and McCain are now tied.

- Obama had some slippage among Democrats, dropping from 83% to 74%.

- Obama’s support among single voters dropped by 19%, and he now leads McCain, 51%-37%.

- Even with African-Americans and Hispanics, Obama shows smaller margins. 


View in ascending order View in descending order
londongrl writes: Tuesday, August, 05, 2008 9:16 AM
Nope
it's Obama's to lose and he's starting to do a fine job of it. So the second half of the country is naive, childish, arrogant, self-serving, manipulative and closed-minded to any other opinion than their own. Hmmm...difficult choice to make, no wonder so many are talking about staying home on election day.
Joe, Don't Hate Me 'Cause I'm Right writes: Tuesday, August, 05, 2008 9:19 AM
Kimbicile is partly correct
Don't jinx it Matt. Still, it is interesting the narrowing in those demographics. I did not think it possible, but it shows the American people have more common sense than people give them credit for.
Brianbnc writes: Tuesday, August, 05, 2008 10:19 AM
It's interesting
that someone the left and the right both think that moving to the middle is the wrong strategy.

Yet, election after election that's exactly what the candidates do.

Except, of course, Reagan... who won in a landslide.

I guess every other candidate just wants to "keep it close" for ratings?

Goes to show that anyone with brains stays out of politics.
RASHUM writes: Tuesday, August, 05, 2008 11:50 AM
Obama
Obama is slipping! Bottom line is he is starting to come across more and more like John Kerry. John Kerry is an arrogant pr-ck who thinks he can run everyone life better than they can. Although Obama has a long was to go to being as despicable as John Kerry, Obama is starting to come across the same way. His European trip was a total disaster! The trip sat well with the press and all the liberals who run the media, as well as the anti-American Europeans; however it came across REALLY bad to those who votes actually count i.e. America's heartland!
Fat Man writes: Tuesday, August, 05, 2008 12:16 PM
Perfect Storm

Between Obama's transformatin from The Messiah to the Emporer with No Clothes and the Democrats' refusal to address the energy issue, I hear rumblings of a coming storm.

paddy o'furniture writes: Tuesday, August, 05, 2008 12:28 PM
Kimber is crying election fraud....
.....in August! Priceless!

There's a word for people like you Kimber: it starts with an "L," and end with "OSER."

I'm sure you'll figure it out in an hour or so.....
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