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Tuesday, March 27, 2007
Straight Talk About McCain
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 11:34 AM

Yesterday, when I posted that first humorous McCain video from the bus trip, a few commenters wondered if we were ever going to get to anything substantive.  I hope that the videos we posted today (in honor of the 5 year anniversary of President Bush's signing BCRA), answer that question.  Clearly, McCain was willing to answer tough questions -- and we were more than happy to ask them.

I do have a few thoughts about what this all means ... about what I learned about McCain and the process.

1.  I think we've got to give McCain credit for being accessible to the press.  What is more, I think he deserves credit for treating bloggers the same way he would treat George Will or David Broder.  He truly gets the new media (McCain's blog-outreach guru -- Patrick Hynes -- deserves tremendous credit for this). 

2.  Clearly, John McCain has a strategy of focusing on conservative voters -- not conservative leaders.  The Politico's Jonathan Martin summed it up perfectly on March 12, when he wrote:

What is fascinating, though, about McCain's decision to go his own way on these events is that in some ways it recalls the Bush administration's approach to the media. The principle is the same: Why go through a filter that may put its own spin on things when one can now (almost) go straight to the consumer/voter? McCain's camp knows that, regardless of the senator's lifetime ACU score, they'll not get a fair shake from those "professional conservatives" who loathe both McCain the man and McCain the campaign finance reformer.

So they are taking their candidate straight to the beyond-the-beltway marketplace, banking that his more-consistent record on social issues and ardent support for the President's war policy and re-election will trump conservative suspicisons. It's their conviction -- and I've often said that the entire nomination could rest on this question -- that the disdain for McCain among conservative leaders doesn't trickle down to the grassroots.

3. Yesterday when I wrote that Granite Staters don't care about Campaign Finance Reform (at least the ones who attend town hall meetings, who are presumably the ones who vote in primaries), I was stating an observable fact. (Some commenters took this to mean that I don't think campaign finance reform is important  -- it is).  My real point was that no political analyst can honestly say that: "McCain can't win New Hampshire because of McCain/Feingold."

Yes -- the issue is vitally important, and No -- it won't hurt him in New Hampshire.  It should also be noted that it was President Bush -- not John McCain -- who signed Campaign Finance Reform into law.



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one hot minute writes: Tuesday, March, 27, 2007 2:21 PM
Matt Lewis, McCain, & the deli guy.

Matt,

Here's what you actually wrote about McCain-Feingold & Gang of 14 in your Monday column;
*********************
"During my time in New Hampshire, McCain was never asked a single time (by a regular citizen) about campaign finance reform or the gang of 14. It occurs to me that many of the issues that hurt him inside the Beltway aren’t hurting him out in the states (which, is a good argument for why political analysts should venture out into the states, once in a while)."
**********************

You fail middle school algebraic logic when you assert the fact that none of the New Hampshire folks complained to McCain about campaign finance reform or Gang of 14 "PROVES" that folks in New Hampshire simply don't care about those issues.

The New Hampshire folks who are upset about McCain-Feingold & Gang of 14 are NOT supporting McCain, rather, they're supporting other candidates---thus, you're not likely to find them hanging out chit-chatting about March Madness with the Senator on his bus tour.
That's just basic logic, Matt.

By the same token, you wouldn't go to a Barack Obama rally and say, "Hey, I don't see a whole lot of supporters of the war around here---I guess that means not very many people support the war !"

Truth is, McCain knows that people outside the beltway DO care about McCain-Feingold & Gang of 14.
McCain is pretty confident that Dave Letterman won't ask him to defend his voting record---that's why he goes on his show, as opposed to addressing CPAC.
(But congratulations to McCain for being scheduled to appear on Michael Medved's show, today.)

Matt, you report that McCain is focusing on conservative voters as opposed to conservative leaders.
Obviously, that suggests that McCain's strategy is to avoid conservative leaders because he recognizes they don't support his Senate record---and for good reason.

But if McCain believes he can win with the average "conservative voter," then Matt, perhaps you will step up to the plate and write a column explaining just how McCain's support for the punitive inheritance tax, his failure to support the Bush tax cuts, and his failure to support drilling in ANWAR translates into a Senate voting record which conservatives can trust.

The guy who makes sandwiches at my local deli can articulate to me why he objects to McCain's Senate record.
Matt, you're a professional political operative---can you likewise articulate why you passionately support McCain, despite his aformentioned Senate votes ?
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