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October 10 would be a good day to end it. |
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I say he bows out on August 31, 2007. |
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This Arizonan states that McCain is really a Demo in Republican clothing. Not impunging his Naval Service, I wish I had the Cajones that he had when he was young. Johnny Mac's just become too bitter of late and seems defeated already.
November 10th, 2007... Not scientific in reasoning but Hey, It's already a celebrated holiday by my Marine Corps.....
Semper Fi! |
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McCain bows out early - one of the better birthday presents he could give his nation (and party). |
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Ok, I'll go out on a limb here and make a prediction:
Fred will announce by July 7th.
Rudy will do something bad enough to knock him out of the lead spot before Iowa.
John will hold on until the day after Florida-
BUT...
He's been running for president since, what? 1999? So he will only bow out of the Republican nomination. Being a draw for moderate pro-amnesty voters, John will pull a page out of Joe's play book and pursue the presidentcy as an independant hoping to cash in on those Democrats that just can't stand Hillery but won't vote for a Republican either.
Oh, and Fred takes the nomination and squeeks the presidency thanks to a three way race.
Just a guess.
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07/07/07 then McCain will offer his loyal supporters' votes to someone that has not yet declared! BTW, 07/07/07 the most popular day to get married this year! photographers and churches are booked! slow news day... |
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,John McCain will drop out of the race Friday, September 28, 2007 late in the day so it doesn't make the evening news. He will however assure us that he held firm to his principles and in doing so will imply that the Republican Party was not worthy of him. At the time he departs he'll be in single digits in the polls and will have raised too little money to cover his campaign debts. The field will clear to three serious candidates: Giuliani, F. Thompson and Romney. Some other cranks, nits and lice will still be running but won't be attracting 2% in any poll. The eventual ticket will be Giuliani/Thompson. Rudy/Fred will top Hillary/Bayh although the House will remain (barely) in Dem. hands. The Senate will be 50/50 with Fred Thompson casting tie-breakers. |
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After 9/11 speeches, he still won't be able to raise $$, and he'll fold.
(Boy, Bruce's worst-case scenario [added May 30 @ 9:30ish am] thing was scary... shivers!) |
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It looks like the best days are taken, except for my birthday. November 11, 2007 would be a good day for him to drop out. Veterans day! |
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February 11, 2008 - Just long enough for the results from Super Duper Tuesday to sink in! |
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If McCain is feeling generous, and wants to let donors give the max to other candidates twice - once in 2007 and once in 2008 - he will drop out on Veterans Day, Nov. 11, 2007. He will be able to talk about the significance of his service, in the Senate and the armed forces, and make a bid to be the next SecDef.
If he is NOT feeling generous, he will resign on Feb. 12, 2008 after losing the Super Tuesday primary, and will talk rebukingly about the direction of the nation and the GOP. |
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McCain, originally I was thinking July 14, but looking at all the late blooming predictions, I've amended my thought to November 23rd. For no particular reason. |
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From my perspective, no one wants to take John McCain to task for his absolutely horrendous peformance in the Senate. It's almost as though his heroism in the Vietnam War and subsequent internment as a POW shields him from meaningful inquiry from the MSM.
The bottom line is that John McCain is bad for the Republican Party (not important) - bad for Arizona (important), and really bad for America (really important).
First, Campaign Finance Reform is illegal, unconstituional, unpatriotic, and an unabashed attack on one of the pillars of our strength...freedom of speech. Instead of strengthing the democracy, it undermines it. The law, which should have been ruled unconstitutional by now, amounts to protectionism of government officials from criticism and attack at the expense of the public McCain et al are sworn to protect. I can't be the only one that recognizes that this law is the polar opposite of what McCain and others were fighting for in Vietnam!
Second, This Don't Call It Amnesty Amensty Bill is one of the most heinous attacks on our democracy in the history of the nation. Malfeasance doesn't come close to describing what is nothing less than criminal behaviour by our representatives in the Congress. They (Not WE) are legistlating the legalization of millions of illegals, with nary a care to the American Culture, the impact our our schools, entitlement (???) programs, law enforcement situation, and so on. God God - what are they doing?
I resent the hell out of what McCain specifically and the rest of Congress are doing. They are undermining our Freedom. When questioned - McCain's responses have implied that we are too ignorant, racist, or bigoted.
I can't help but think that these types of responses from Parliament were the catalyst for separation from England. And that, is what baffles me the most. John McCain sat in the Hanoi Hilton for years as a fighter for the very freedoms HE IS PERSONALLY UNDERMINING TODAY!
I wonder if the "unintended consequences" of this bill (if it becomes law) are really unintenional!
McCain has shown a pattern of poor judgement, pettiness, condescension, bad temper, mean spiritness, and dare I say it - cowardice, when he is questioned on any of his policy positions.
I respect Mr. McCain for his service to the country - I doubt I would be able to do what he did. He is not qualified to be President of the Country that I love...he should just go away - please! |
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McCann's campaign run will be over by July 31, 2007. He will try to keep it going after Fred Thompson announces his intended run. But, by the end of July it will be over.
Thank God. Hopefully, the Arizona will elect someone in his place next run for Senator, too. Then we can be rid of this RINO. |
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... on July 9, 2007. Thompson will scare him out. |
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Mitt throws in the towel on Feb 7 2008.
Oh wait you were asking about McCain, he throws his towel in January 2012 after serving two terms as President of the United States. |
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McCain will bow out August 15, 2007, and not a moment too soon! |
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If that was the choice vs Hillbama. But I remember too much stuff with him subverting the efforts of the Republican Party to get some conservative judges - then there is the George Soros, er, McCain-Feingold bill - on & on
I think he is another Republican who sells us on the fact that he is a "conservative" then once the sale has been made, thumbs his nose (or other digit) at us. Seems to be happening a lot these days.
I think the only reason he stays in AZ is the fact that they have an open primary isn't it? All the Dems vote for him.
The Date? I'll go with Feb 6, 2008 - the day after the new California primary - with a lot of other states. Quite frankly I don't thihk he'lkl have the money to hold on that long but I am willing to take a big risk to get that sandwich (or is it the book)
Me, I am hoping for Fred but honestly I'd even vote for McCain if he is the nominee. Thompson, Romney, Rudy are my choices, in that order... |
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I would say Sen. McCain will withdraw from the race on October 31, 2007. |
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...even though there is not a date soon enough for my taste. |
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Fred Thompson's golden moment is right now. The minute he announces it'll all be downhill from there. He'll realize that he can't bust out of single digits once the polling settles down. Then after a non-showing in Iowa and 5th in New Hampshire, he pulls out. That is, if he can raise some cash. If not, he goes down before Christmas.
McCain remains at least through the March 2008 primaries. If he does well, cash continues and he goes to June. But Giuliani or Romney have to stumble big time to help split the ticket evenly enough for doubt to remain by mid-March.
I don't really understand Fred's appeal other than he looks the part. Granted, President Reagan was an actor, too, but he also had two terms leading what became the nation's largest state. He had executive experience, like Romney and Giuliani. (Before sniping that Giuliani was only a 'mayor,' consider he was mayor of a city larger than all but 11 states, including Mass.) Thompson's experience is legislative, and pretty brief at that.
I repeat my daily double prediction: Thompson before McCain; McCain mid-March 2008. |
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If he is smart, and I hope he is, he will choose July 4, 2007. |
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It does not make any difference what day John McCain decides to officially withdraw from the Presidential campaign. HE IS TOAST, NOW.
John McCain is typical of the Political Class.
He is not a "Republican" let alone a Conservative.
I am a Army Veteran and would not vote for McCain. |
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Sorry, Calmom, you beat me to it. I guess I'll take Feb 12. |
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I love McCain, I'll vote for him if I can, but his credentials are not "rock solid conservative." Sure, he is no fish-out-of-water like Romney, flopping this way and that, but McCain's immigration stance alone torpedos your characterization of him.
That said, I'll (ruefully) pick Feb 11, 2008.
If I win, Dean, you can keep your "book." I've got enough kitty litter for now. |
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I guess we should welcome Former Senator Fred Thompson to the race for the Republican Nomination for President.
With 36% name ID, Thompson has his work cut out for him in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and the rest of the country. Sure, Senator Thompson has pockets of support, but it's not nearly enough to make up the ground game needed to win the nomination.
This country needs someone with a rock solid consistent record as a conservative. That person is John McCain.
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After losing all super duper Tuesday primaries, including making a dismal showing in the Arizona primary, McCain drops out of the race and announces that he won't seek another term in the Senate either. |
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I think it will be October 31,2007 |
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The only announcement on April Fool's Day that won't be a joke is the announcement that McCain is dropping out of the race for POTUS. |
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What a great Birthday present that would be. |
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He won't pull the plug till the convention - 9/2/08 |
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But here's my Dead Pool entry- 10pm Eastern, November 4, 2008, after enough states have been called for the Democratic candidate to make Hillary Clinton President-Elect. |
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I'm going with November 21, the day before Thanksgiving. That will keep his sinking name out of the papers during the extended weekend. After that, no one will care. Of course, no one cares right now either, which is kind of the problem. |
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He'll get invited to keep running - as Hillary's running mate. |
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Diogenes, I suppose that’s a possibility for McCain or any candidate, but support engenders money just as much (or more) as money engenders support. Just as all of Steve Forbes’s billions couldn’t push him past a minimal support level (see also Perot), a fairly popular candidate – and McCain is that, DB’s and HH’s wishes notwithstanding – has AFAIK never been forced out of a race early strictly because of money. That’s especially true when so much money comes from corporate and other interests that are covering their bases by donating $2,000 to each of the viable candidates.
Phaedrus, there are low expectations for Arizonan McCain in NH and IA. A defeat can’t be crushing unless it comes as a surprise. A strong third would be good for McCain in one of those states, just as a strong third would be good for Romney in SC. Nothing that happens in IA or NH can force McCain out. Now if Romney were to unexpectedly lose to McCain 35-28 in NH, his home ground where he’s been polling well, that would be crushing.
Anyway, McCain can’t suffer any crushing defeats prior to Florida and SC. A war hero who has consistently polled well in those military-heavy states would be crazy not to at least give the electorate a chance to vote for him. There’s just no way he’s out of the race before the south votes. |
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It's a Monday. And it's about the same time that Phoenix starts to cool down.... notice I said "starts"... (But it's a dry heat) so he'll want to clamp down and spend some time with the wife. |
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Not that I believe it, but it's prime pool space:
January 20th, 2009 -- simultaneous with taking his hand off the Bible and thanking the Chief Justice. |
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for McCain will be February 27, 2008 |
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I'm of the opinion that he'll be forced into an early exit out of financial obligations rather than "quitting". I'm betting this on his money either all tied up in campaign debts or the simple fact that he has no cash on hand to make any noise. |
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I'd say he's out sooner, but he's a stubborn old cuss. |
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I'm not sure how McCain thought he could stay viable after standing behind Sen. Kennedy in support of the immigration bill. Give the guy credit for standing by his convictions - but they are increasingly the wrong convictions.
Go Mitt! |
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I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but here goes:
November 4, 2008.
Its like this, folks. McCain cannot win the Republican nomination. While he has been solid on the War on Terror, he has been the leading voice of dissent on too many issue important to conservatives (Gang of 14, immigration, etc.), and has been rather insulting towards social conservatives.
Unfortunately, McCain will not go gently into the dark night. This is the last year that he could consider himself a viable presidential candidate, as his age is already a factor in this campaign. McCain has not shown any particular loyalty to the Republican party in the past, and now that his political career is at an end, what would stop him from exiting with a bang?
Sometime in the early part of 2008, it will become clear that McCain cannot win the Republican nomination. Once this sinks in, he will have a discussion with his independent friend Joe Lieberman. Shortly thereafter, John McCain will announce an independent candidacy with Lieberman as his VP. The press will eat it up. He'll won't get more than 15 or 20 percent support nation-wide, but his campaign will dominate the mainstream media news cycle until November.
As a result enough Republicans and independents will peel away in the general election to give the election to Hillary. |
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After Thompson officially announces on the 4th of July (see article here on Townhall.com), it will take that long for his funding to dry up. And how about a Thompson/Hunter ticket? Or a Thompson/Rom? |
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He'll take a week to absorb the *stunning* losses in NH, and Iowa. Then he'll be gone. Thank God. |
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It'll take him a day to admit his doom after a crushing defeat in Iowa. |
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Friday, February 1, 2008. Sometime after 5 pm. |
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I don’t know which prediction is worse: this of Dean’s that McCain will be fifth (behind whom? Ron Paul?), or the guy who predicted February 15, 2007 as the day McCain drops out of the race.
McCain will quite sometime in the spring / late winter of 2008, once Giuliani has secured the nomination. He and Thompson and whoever else is left will endorse Rudy for the presidency once Rudy has collected close to half of the overall available votes. I’ll say March 15, 2008 ;)
No one’s dropping out in 2007, and no one whose strength is in the south and west is dropping out just because they come in a close second or third in a five-electoral vote northeastern state like New Hampshire. The race between Giuliani, McCain, and Thompson (and perhaps Romney and/or Gingrich) begins in earnest in Florida and South Carolina next January. |
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down in the "flames" of history on October 23rd which is a Monday because McCain is to ego driven to do it on a slow news day such as a Friday, he will want to let us all know what a mistake we have made. |
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He won't pull out until after he loses a few primaries. McCain isn't going to do anything "for the good of the Republican Party". |
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High noon, September 24, 2007. In case Dean wins the book, I'm sure he already has an autographed copy, so perhaps he would consider gifting it to me?
I'd like the future President Romney to sign it as
well. |
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I think that he is dead wrong. If Romney is nominated so many liberals will vote for him just to anger evangelical right wingers. (Thought process of liberals)These guys voted for Bush. If they aren't voting for Romney that tells us that he is what we want for president. |
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McCains will end his campaign on November 22. Probably due to some thoughless comment that he will be unable to redeem himself from. |
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September 27th, in the late afternoon/early evening, he will make a speech not "dropping out" but "indefinitely suspending" his campaign... |
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I'll join you Angrybob as another AZ resident.
I understand holding my nose to keep a senior senator in play... but the head honcho job... no way.
I also have the book already. I'd take something similarly mentally engaging. |
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2/8/08 After super tuesday. |
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He's stubborn, I'll say Nov. 12, 2007 |
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March 28, 2008
I made that number up off the top of my head, but it seems reasonable. |
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Romney is a nice guy.Hillary?Well,let's just say
the debate will be NY pastrami smothered in cheese, on rye, with Mitt doing the eat'n. He's got class in spades, wit & depth.... and experience to slice up whatever deli meat is offered by the Dem's. For the actual race...?
Many "voters" are vegans & non-deli eaters.
I'm evangelical, and will vote for Granpa Mitt. |
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I'm sorry, but this guy can't get out soon enough for me! I'll say February 7, 2008 as it would be a great excuse to have a BIG celebration on my wonderful wife's birthday. If he would drop out of sight all together, it would suit me just fine ... leave a space for someone we might be able to put at least the tiniest bit of trust in. |
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Upon winning, would it be possible for Hugh to personally make me a corned beef sandwich? |
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Put me down for 30 days after the soon to be Hispanic Holiday known as Amnesty Day. 30 days after Bush puts ink to paper on the Amnesty Bill we should see the flood of provisional visas top out at just over 20 million and quickly rising as every Thomas, Ricardo, and Harry south of the Rio Grande loads up their meager possessions for a full frontal assault on the land with 2 cars in every garage and streets paved with gold. Overwhelmed and incompetent border control, ICE , and Homeland Security Agents will be so busy rubber stamping Visas that no one will even notice McCain slinking back into the shadows as the free-for-all starts whooping into full frenzy mode.
The Great Hispanic Gold Rush of 2007 will doom its chief architect (Juan McCain) for the Republicans nomination for 2008. But watch out when these soon to be legals attain citizenship (or figure out how to vote illegally) cause Juan McCain looks like a shoo-in for the 2016 nomination and presidency as these new voters reward their liberator and hero. |
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I do not think that McCain is dead. If you look at it from a niche marketing standpoint, he still has 4 strong niches who will not abandon him.
1. Independents who like his independence.
2. Moderate Republicans who he shares with Rudy.
3. Military conservatives who support him because he was a POW and has significant War experience.
4. Pro immigration voters
I expect his poll numbers to float lower. He may have trouble raising money. However, he has an experienced organization. On the other hand he has pursued one of the dumbest election strategies in recent history. The timing of the immigration bill is flat out stupid.
How many pro immigration voters are thier among actual primary voters? |
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in 2003-2004, now have McCain ahead - he will plummet faster than Dean in these polls.
Gephardt led some of these polls at this point - it is far too early and the Amnesty for illegals hasn't factored into the polls - it will - big time - and McCain will crash |
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October 29th, 2007
What a great birthday gift that would be for an Arizona resident. |
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How am I supposed to be able to keep a pool straight without a spreadsheet?
Oct 26, 2007. |
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I can't see him leaving before 9/11 but I can't see him getting enough money to hang much past that either.
Sooner wouldn't hurt my feelings much. |
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he is too stubborn to give up after the straw poll, he'll give up after he comes in third in Iowa |
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The latest AMR poll has McCain leading in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina (Liberal Flip-Flopper Mitt Romney "LFFMR" is losing to a guy who hasn't even announced yet in SC).
Mark my words, if our party nominates Romney, Hillary will absolutely destroy him. It will be a mauling the likes of which we haven't seen since Ivan Drago killed Apollo Creed in Rocky IV. She'll beat him 80-20, and it will be the beginning of the Dark Ages of the Republican Party.
I urge you to nominate a winner: John McCain, Rudy Giuliani, Newt Gingrich, or Fred Thompson.
Please, anybody but the liberal flip-flopper and John Kerry wannabe LFFMR.
P.S. - Any Republican who supports Romney owes John Kerry an apology. |
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Have to go with my birthday as the end date for the McCain campaign. This is a slowly sinking ship and it will take a while for the coverage (and the polls) to catch up to reality. |
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If McCain is doing so well, how is the fund-raising going? Should be pretty good for the front runner. |
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Definitely Wyoming. But I'm willing to bet before even checking that it is even worse in Montana. You would think that a place where people hold prairie oyster festivals would have no problem with tongue sandwiches. Doesn't work that way in real life. I find both extreme ends of the bull disgusting. |
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"You're all celebrating the "demise" of a man who is LEADING IN IOWA, NEW HAMPSHIRE, AND SOUTH CAROLINA!!!"
At least according to RCP averages, Romney is leading in New Hampshire and Iowa, and according to latest national poll, Romney is ahead of McAmnesty. |
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I thought it was the lack of Jewish Delis in Jackson Hole, Wyoming? Now Montana?
So where can one get a decent pastrami sandwich along the Northern Rockies?
You guys are all semi-delusional. Yes McCain hurt himself with conservatives with his immigration stance, but it is his stance. Overall he is still alive and has a chance, because he is viable against the competition. Giuliani is fine too.
Romney helped himself a bit, but he alienated his GOP powerbase in Florida and is not gaining traction in South Carolina (which appears to be due to right wing Mormon bias--barring some other explanation).
The winners of all of this will be Giuliani and Thompson. |
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I'm just about burned out on all of the speculation over who's on first. I do know that whats on second and I don't care is third, but I think I don't care will be leading the pack by the time the real politicos get into the race.
Where is Fred? Where is Newt? And then there is Rush. If we had a womanizer and a guy with a DUI then I'm sure we can handle a pill popping guy with good ideas. |
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That gives Senator McCain a chance to give a decent "Good Night, and Good Security" speech. My roll of the dice is Sept 17th, 2007. This begins the week (it's a monday)with McCain in the limelight, and he can be lamented by the MSM to lessen his pain, for at least 7 days. |
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Dan quits September 26, 2007. |
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Dan, my fifth tier candidate WILL secure the border, will yours?
Republican voters still get to decide who their nominee will be. Money only buys elections when people act like sheep. If 80% of Republicans are indeed seeking a conservative, we can nominate one. We can nominate Duncan Hunter. The money players won't like it and are trying to convince us only Rudy, Romney, or McCain can win. Hogwash. 49% of people will never vote for Hillary. Only 60% voted last time and turnout was the difference. My belief is Rudy would push turnout down. There might even be a third party, splitting the vote. Give Americans a chance to vote for a candidate who WILL secure the border and watch what happens to turnout. Americans want their government to fulfill it's most basic responsibility.
The primary responsibility of the U.S. government is to protect the territorial integrity and people of this country. They have completely abdicated this responsibility. Both parties have been complicit in this. We are being told it is not possible to control our borders, enforce our laws, and thereby control our destiny as a nation. Hogwash. We are being sold out by corporations intent on importing workers for jobs that can't be exported with the taxpayers paying the true costs, financial and human. If we act like sheep and don't stop the inundation across our borders, we will lose our country without a bleat.
http://www.gohunter08.com
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You're all celebrating the "demise" of a man who is LEADING IN IOWA, NEW HAMPSHIRE, AND SOUTH CAROLINA!!!
You must be kidding me. I guess when your fifth-tier candidate, extreme left-wing liberal flip-flopper Mitt Romney is getting his behind smacked, all you can do is sit around and dream about McCain's demise.
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McCain might pull a rabbit out of a hat by protesting the lack of Jewish delis in Montana. Don't laugh. No one expected the amnesty bill would kick up so much dust either. |
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Upon seeing his shadow and realizing his campaign will live in perpetual winter, he will drop out on Feb. 2nd, 2008. |
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It is unfathomable that he will be able to keep pace on fund raising and it takes alot of money for a cranky old dud to run against the bases of BOTH parties. As to Hugh's book, I already have a copy and besides, Hugh will probably have written another book by then. How about giving me a copy of THAT? |
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I wouldn't vote for McCain in a primary, but this seems in very poor taste.
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August 5 2007.(two thousand seven)
aka
Lord Whorfin
Bridgewater Corners VT |
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A Valentine gift for us all. |
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He needs a BIG hint that he isn't going to win. I doubt he'd have the good sense to drop out before a few primaries. |
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Hawkeye has the right idea, but I pick All Souls Day, Nov. 2, as a more fitting time to bury the McCain campaign. |
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August 17th, 2007
just wait.....(plus if I lose I can stop paying attention much sooner then the rest of you) |
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either johnnies pr man or teds pr man should have made the strings longer, ted always shows up in the pictures. But I'll give credit where credit is due, I don't see teds lips moving when johnnie "talks". |
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I'd like to amend my date to say that McCain will unofficially withdraw from the race on the Monday before TG, and he will officially withdraw from the race on the same day. I thought the clarity might be needed being that after campaigning since the beginning of the year (well, since 2004 really... and sadly), he has only meant it since April 25. |
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McCain will be out the Monday before Thanksgiving around noon. That looks to be Nov. 19 according to my Windows calendar. |
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still no open defense/debate by "leaders" who are pro "open border/this senate bill".No big picture defence with 10 levels of effects over the next 40 years. I only see quickening the dhimminuation of America ... it's transformation into THE NORTH AMERICAN UNION.
Push Hugh to interview Robert Recter,Heritage
Foundation on air.
McCain's swansong guess: Oct.31,2008 |
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That would be the best birthday present ever.
Anyway, my pick is sometime in September - I'll say the 21st. His money can't last forever, and judging from the amount of anger from the base on immigration, his donations have got to be drying up. |
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...and John Lennon's Feast Day: December 8th, 2007... |
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This is when McCain will report Q3 2007 fundraising. By then he'll see the handwriting is on the wall and judge his cash position is only sufficient to pay off existing campaign debt. |
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Florida might be big enough to turn things around for a candidate, so I'd say the day after Florida's primary, whenever that ends up being.
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"Retirement" date from the presidential race, October 13, 2007. He'll rip his shoulder boards off and throw them aside, all the while blaming those nasty mean Bush-Republican radicals for his disgrace! October 13th will be the 232nd birthday of the Continental Navy; still junior to the Continental Army by 116 days; Hooray!
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I'll say Monday, September 17, 2007 |
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The first Monday after the Thanksgiving holiday and "Black Friday" madness when it's least likely anybody would notice this cranky old man going inside his house after shooting all his spitballs at passersby from the porch.
I'll bring the remote controled car, Dean. |
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If the field stays as it is, McCain drops out January 15th, the day after the Iowa caucus, which are scheduled for January 14th. (If they move the Iowa caucus date I change my prediction to the day after.) He won't have the gas to stay in until New Hampshire the next week and the big national primary of February 5th. |
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I have been predicted this for some time. Shortly after the campaign reheats in September McCain will discover that unfortunately his health prevents him from continuing the rigor of a national campaign ... announced on September 14. |
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We're talking about a guy who constantly defies the base and hasn't been made to suffer for it yet. He thinks this is just another example of when he will get a little bad press and lose a little popularity temporarily but over time the base will forget. He constantly thinks that. That is the whole pupose behind trotting this thing out now, in 2007, versus next year, an election year. This guy has no real understanding of the base and his hacks most likely tell him what he wants to hear. If he is being advised by some internal polling that says he has no way to recover, he probably will just throw a tantrum and blame us, the voters. You know, like when he said that the Senators were trying to move this immigration shamnesty legislation fast before it got exposed to "extracurricular politics" (you and me). Every GOP nominee over the last century has won South Carolina and as long as he is leading the polls in that state (which he still is), he will stay in until that primary is held. After that, if he doesn't show well, he will bow out. |
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I say November 2. Senator McCain will have to deal with an overcrowded field and a relative lack contributions, something that the free pass from the MSM won't continue to make up for. |
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November 7, 2008, with the rest of the Republican dead pool. But McCain might be luckier than the rest of them. I could see President Hillary Clinton appointing him to a top Veterans Administration slot. He'd be good. |
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After losses in the New Hampshire primaries and Iowa caucuses, held in November of 2007, and a stinging defeat in the California primary on January 1st, McCain bows out before any more political damage is done. |
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McCain quits on Feb. 6, 2008. |
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September 1, 2007 or the day Gingrich throws his hat into the ring. |
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Sometime next winter. He will not concede defeat so easily. He still believes himself to be a media darling and a Repulican hero. And maybe he is ... who am I to say? But I think he and Guiliani will both fade to the background ... the first because he's so out of touch with his core constituency, and the other because he can't stand the heat in the kitchen and his personal life makes him vulnerable. That and he's a liberal. :) But when the race consists of McCain, Romney and Guiliani at this point ... which of those isn't at least partially liberal? |
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In a move to get "back to work"... |
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the qualities that made him such a strong survivalist during his POW experience are against him in the political realm. he just doesn't have it in him to give up and see the writing on the wall. i'm tempted to say he'll drop out within 1 month of Fred Thompson entering, but I really think McCain thinks (mistakenly) that the Republican party owes him something.
how many times should your elected representative be able to run for another office unsuccessfully and receive your electoral forgiveness for not focusing on the job you sent them for? |
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But you do know that a McCain dropout primarily helps Rudy, right? |
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Dean takes the Friday before Labor Day, a very slow news day.
I think it might be a little laterwhen things start getting serious in the fall...
October 5, 2007.
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demise from the race. What are the dates for the other GOP contenders? Only one will win the nomination (although) presumably one might get the VP slot.
By the way--an autographed copy of Hugh's book? Seems you could sweeten the prize a wee bit. Why not a copy of The Conservative Soul with a personal note from Hugh Hewitt. Now that would be exciting. |
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Interesting that you didn't report on the American Research Group poll out today that showed McCain leading in Iowa, NH and SC. Perhaps the ARG poll is an outlier; but then perhaps so might the Rasmussan poll. Time and more polls will answer that. But it seems premature at this early stage with such varying polls out there to declare McCain's campaign over. |
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