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Thursday, December 06, 2007
David Yepsen on IA Mormon's for Mitt
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 2:04 PM
I just returned from the Politico's Early State Countdown Panel at George Washington University. 

Because of this morning's speech, the most timely comment regarded Mitt Romney, and came from the Des Moines Register's David Yepsen.  Yepsen recounted a conversation he had with a Romney Iowa leader about the large number of Mormon's attending a Romney rally in Iowa. 

It went like this:

Yepsen:  "... when did you start working the Mormon network?"

Romney Iowa leader:  "It works itself."
Yepsen's point, of course, is that Romney still has the benefit of a loyal and devoted group of Iowa supporters who, by the way, are sure to actually caucus for him.

Tags: Romney



Thursday, December 06, 2007
A "NO" Energy Bill?
Posted by: John Campbell at 2:03 PM

Upon the assumption of her role as Speaker of the House of Representatives, Speaker Nancy Pelosi stated,

“Bills should be developed following full hearings and open subcommittee and committee markups, with appropriate referrals to other committees. Members should have at least 24 hours to examine a bill prior to consideration at the subcommittee level. Bills should generally come to the floor under a procedure that allows open, full, and fair debate consisting of a full amendment process that grants the Minority the right to offer its alternatives, including a substitute. Members should have at least 24 hours to examine bill and conference report text prior to floor consideration. Rules governing floor debate must be reported before 10 p.m. for a bill to be considered the following day.” 

Today Speaker Pelosi brought forth an energy bill. No one had seen it before then. It has some good things, some OK things and some bad things. I will vote against it because I believe the bad outweighed the good. But the point here is that we need an energy bill to reduce our dependence on foreign oil and petroleum in general. But this bill, although it will pass the House, will not pass the Senate and if it did, the President has said he would veto it.

Again there was an opportunity to accomplish a lot in this area in which there is agreement. I certainly wouldn't get all I wanted, but I would get some. The Speaker and the President would also get some but not all of what they wanted. There is clear common ground.

It seems that the Democrat House leadership is more interested in making political statements than accomplishing anything.

Maybe the Senate can fix the bill.






Thursday, December 06, 2007
Romney speech highlights
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 12:10 PM





Thursday, December 06, 2007
Next topic...
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 11:45 AM
Romney's speech was a good one -- most commentary so far is very favorable.  Whether it will have the desired political effect, we'll have to wait and see.  As is often the case with these kind of speeches, the value is in the extended discussion afterwards that will find its way to the watercoolers and lunch-counters in Iowa over the next few days.  But in the short-term, the nation's ADD kicked in.    The analysis on the cable networks afterward certainly didn't last long.  CNN, MSNBC, and FOX News spent all of ten minutes discussing the speech and then ran off to cover a press conference related to the Omaha shopping mall shooting.

Of Note: On MSNBC Pat Buchanan reacted very favorably to the speech.




Thursday, December 06, 2007
Jennifer Love Hewitt, celebrity privacy Spirit Airlines M.I.L.F. campaign,
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 11:08 AM
Mary Katharine Ham on the O'Reilly show last night

"one viewer caution...sensitive souls may want to click off and come back in five minutes."






Thursday, December 06, 2007
ONE Campaign
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 11:02 AM
The ONE Campaign has asked a few bloggers, including yours truly, to check out their new "On the Record" feature of their website. 

According to a ONE spokesperson, the purpose is as follows:

“By getting every candidate to go on the record, we'll be able to be smart voters as we head to the polls, and no matter whose elected in 2008, we'll be able to hold the next president of the United States accountable to his or her plan.”
So what does the website tell you?  Many of the candidates, including Hillary and Romney, for example, submitted short YouTube video posts focusing on issues such as AIDS and global poverty.

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket 

... From a purely technical standpoint, the web product is pretty cool.  Aside from watching videos, readers can see the responses of two or three of the candidates in a side-by-side comparison.

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Each candidate is compared on issues such as AIDS, eradicating malaria, child and maternal health, universal primary education, and food and clean water.

The comparison helps educate voters on the candidates' stances.  For example, don't expect the compassionate conservative Mike Huckabee to cut spending on this issue -- or to differ too much from George W. Bush on the issue of AIDS:

I support reauthorization of PEPFAR and President Bush's proposal to double our commitment from $15 billion to $30 over the next five years.
While the ONE Campaign was kind enough to give me a sneak-peek, the videos will be posted later today for all to see.  Check them out.

Note:  I'm told Mike Huckabee will be recording videos for this campaign on Friday.  Hopefully the candidates who have not yet gone on the record will also submit their plans ...




Thursday, December 06, 2007
Romney's 'Faith in America' Speech (Updated With Reaction)
Posted by: Mary Katharine Ham at 10:30 AM
I talked to Fred Barnes last night, asking what he thought we'd hear in "the speech."

Fred: "Not much."

Looks like he's right, judging from the excerpts, which are good but bland:
"It is important to recognize that while differences in theology exist between the churches in America, we share a common creed of moral convictions. And where the affairs of our nation are concerned, it's usually a sound rule to focus on the latter – on the great moral principles that urge us all on a common course. Whether it was the cause of abolition, or civil rights, or the right to life itself, no movement of conscience can succeed in America that cannot speak to the convictions of religious people.

"We separate church and state affairs in this country, and for good reason. No religion should dictate to the state nor should the state interfere with the free practice of religion. But in recent years, the notion of the separation of church and state has been taken by some well beyond its original meaning. They seek to remove from the public domain any acknowledgment of God. Religion is seen as merely a private affair with no place in public life. It is as if they are intent on establishing a new religion in America – the religion of secularism. They are wrong."

Jim Geraghty rightly fears the "Barney the Dinosaur" effect: Romney can't get into the specifics of his religion, and won't call people out for religious bigotry, so you end up with a recitation of the wonders of faith in America, and how many faiths work together to comfort and lead this great nation through times good and bad.

Bob Novak was just on Fox saying this is a panic move on Romney's part-- a response to Huckabee's surge in Iowa:

Two weeks ago it was settled policy within Mitt Romney's campaign that his speech dealing with his Mormon faith would be delivered much later -- if at all -- and only after primary election victories. Romney suddenly overruled his advisers to undertake that risky venture today [Thursday] in College Station, Texas, for one reason: Mike Huckabee's ascent in Iowa.

Romney had been told by campaign strategists that flooding television screens with ads financed by his ample funds could win the critically important Jan. 3 Iowa caucuses for the former governor of Massachusetts in a state where Mormons comprise 0.5 percent of the population. That was working as Romney led the state's polls until former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, an ordained Baptist minister, came from nowhere to challenge Romney for first place. Surveys detect substantial anti-Mormon bias.

Matt challenges Novak's sources, here.

Here we go. Best of luck, Mitt.

Update: I like this part: "There are some who say my religion could sink my candidacy, but I think they underestimate the American people. The American people do not respect believers of convenience, people who would jettison their own beliefs even to gain the world."

I wish his tone were a bit less sing-songy and more serious, but I'm enjoying parts.

Update: Thought this was touching:
These American values, this great moral heritage, is shared and lived in my religion as it is in yours. I was taught in my home to honor God and love my neighbor. I saw my father march with Martin Luther King. I saw my parents provide compassionate care to others, in personal ways to people nearby, and in just as consequential ways in leading national volunteer movements. I am moved by the Lord’s words: ‘For I was an hungered, and ye gave me meat: I was thirsty, and ye gave me drink: I was a stranger, and ye took me in: naked, and ye clothed me...’

My faith is grounded on these truths. You can witness them in Ann and my marriage and in our family. We are a long way from perfect and we have surely stumbled along the way, but our aspirations, our values, are the self-same as those from the other faiths that stand upon this common foundation. And these convictions will indeed inform my presidency.
And, the part about state-run religion in Europe and religion-by-coercion in radical Islam was effective.

Mona Charen calls it the "best political speech of the year," citing particularly the part about empty cathedrals in Europe. I liked it, but wondered that there was no mention whatsoever of those with no faith at all. They're not a huge voting block, but many of them are patriotic Americans who respect their religious neighbors (not you, Michael Newdow). It would have been nice to hear that they make up part of the symphony as well.

All in all, I think he looked Presidential, sounded serious and hit a lot of good refrains about faith in America that will play well with plenty of voters. I can't imagine the snippets on the evening news could hurt him, and it will likely serve to make questions about his religion seem petty from here on out. Plus, we've been talking about Romney's speech non-stop all week, sometimes to the exclusion of the illegal landscaper story, while Huckabee's been taking a lot of bad press.


Tags: Mitt   Mormon   speech



Thursday, December 06, 2007
Bloggers Often Ahead of Mainstream Reporters
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 9:40 AM

Bob Novak begins his column today with this:

Two weeks ago it was settled policy within Mitt Romney's campaign that his speech dealing with his Mormon faith would be delivered much later -- if at all -- and only after primary election victories.  Romney suddenly overruled his advisers to undertake that risky venture today [Thursday] in College Station, Texas, for one reason: Mike Huckabee's ascent in Iowa.

... Wrong.  Way back on October 16, I wrote:

Columnist Bob Novak recently reported that a speech would likely happen after Iowa -- but before the New Hampshire primary.  According to my sources, Novak is probably right about the speech, but probably wrong about the timing ...
"It's likely to happen sooner rather than later," one senior Republican aide allied with Romney confides in me. 
The reason?  There will most likely be only a short period of time -- possibly only a few days -- between the Iowa Caucuses and the New Hampshire Primary.  That would leave little time to get a message out, and zero time to do crisis control if a message delivery were botched.

As you can see, it was far from "settled policy" that the speech would occur later ("after primary election victories").  In addition, while I have no doubt that the advisor Novak spoke to told him this, the senior Romney advisor I spoke to was actually urging Romney to give the speech weeks ago -- before Huckabee over-took him in the polls.

My main point here is that it truly fascinates me that an obscure blogger (yours truly) had more accurate information regarding this major campaign speech, than did The Prince of Darkness, whom I really do revere and admire.

This, of course, demonstrates the fact that the establishment media is often wrong, while blogosphere is often more correct.  Yet the MSM story is treated as more reliable and credible.

Of course, having been a top-notch journalist for forty years, Bob Novak has certainly earned his credibility.  Still, I can't help but see this as an example of how the establishment media -- though slow and often inaccurate -- continues to be better respected than the red-haired step-child known as the blogosphere...

Two recent events, involving new media outlets, really drove this home to me ... 

First, the CNN/YouTube debate used bloggers for publicity, but when it came to who they trusted to analyse the debates, they turned to the same old establishment types

More recently, MySpace/MTV invited bloggers to cover a John McCain event they were hosting.  While they invited bloggers to attend, the moderator was Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post.  (In fairness, Cillizza does have a blog, the FIx, at the WaPost).  But why couldn't one of the conservative bloggers they invited also be asked to help moderate?

If anyone were to take bloggers seriously, you would think it would be YouTube or MySpace. 

It's time for so-called mainstream outlets to start taking bloggers as professionals and equals, rather than merely using us as props to generate PR for them ...



Tags: Romney



Thursday, December 06, 2007
Huckabee's Plan for Immigration Enforcement and Border Security
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 9:17 AM
Today Governor Mike Huckabee is releasing "The Secure America Plan: A 9-Point Strategy for Immigration Enforcement and Border Security."  For your reading pleasure, here it is:

1.      Build the Fence

 Ensure that an interlocking surveillance camera system is installed along the border by July 1, 2010.

Ensure that the border fence construction is completed by July 1, 2010. 
Read More...


Tags: huckabee



Thursday, December 06, 2007
If you're stuck at your office desk and don't have a TV...
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 8:30 AM
The Romney speech will be broadcast via the Internet at Ustream.tv




Thursday, December 06, 2007
Early Excerpts From Romney's Speech
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 7:48 AM
I received the following excerpts from the Romney campaign:

Excerpts Of Governor Romney's Remarks (As Prepared For Delivery):

"There are some who may feel that religion is not a matter to be seriously considered in the context of the weighty threats that face us.  If so, they are at odds with the nation's founders, for they, when our nation faced its greatest peril, sought the blessings of the Creator.  And further, they discovered the essential connection between the survival of a free land and the protection of religious freedom.  In John Adam's words: 'We have no government armed with power capable of contending with human passions unbridled by morality and religion... Our constitution was made for a moral and religious people.' 

"Freedom requires religion just as religion requires freedom. Freedom opens the windows of the soul so that man can discover his most profound beliefs and commune with God.  Freedom and religion endure together, or perish alone." 

"When I place my hand on the Bible and take the oath of office, that oath becomes my highest promise to God.  If I am fortunate to become your president, I will serve no one religion, no one group, no one cause, and no one interest.  A President must serve only the common cause of the people of the United States." 
Read More...


Tags: Romney



Wednesday, December 05, 2007
"Compass" Points in Wrong Direction
Posted by: Michael Medved at 8:11 PM
The new movie “The Golden Compass” is a slick, expertly crafted and captivating piece of pop culture entertainment but it goes out of its way to convey aggressive anti-religious messages. The bad guys in the fantasy film are involved with an international conspiracy called “The Magisterium,” headquartered in imposing cathedrals, and trying to force free-spirited children to follow its rules. Unlike the Harry Potter series, the movie is based on books by an author who’s proud of his atheist, anti-Christian agenda. Some commentators say that children should be allowed to reach their own conclusions about the messages of the movie, but parents who make big sacrifices for religious education should think twice before exposing their kids to such seductive propaganda for allowing emotion to triumph over authority. After all, how many religious households would welcome the idea that the word “daemon” applies to cuddly, protective animal companions that accompany each child—until the mean, fun-killing Magisterium tries to remove them?  




Wednesday, December 05, 2007
Winners and Losers
Posted by: John Campbell at 6:15 PM

House Democrats are busy scurrying around the halls trying to drum up support for their new Energy bill.  Their new Energy bill has 31 new tax provisions that create new winners and new losers in the energy industry.  Here are some of the included tax provisions:

Winners:

Fringe Benefit for bicycle commuters.  The bill allows employers to provide employees that commute to work using a bicycle limited fringe benefits to offset the costs of such commuting (e.g. bicycle storage).  This proposal is estimated to cost $10 million over 10 years.

Income averaging for Exxon Valdez litigation amounts.  The bill would allow commercial fisherman and other individuals whose livelihoods were negatively impacted by the 1989 Exxon Valdez oil spill to average any settlement or judgment-related income that they receive in connection with pending litigation in the federal courts over three years for federal tax purposes.  The bill would also allow these funds to make contributions to retirement accounts.  This proposal is estimated to cost $215 million over 10 years.

Long-term extension and modification of renewable energy production tax credit.  The bill extends the place-in-service date for four years for qualifying facilities: wind; closed-loop biomass; open-loop biomass; geothermal; small irrigation hydropower; landfill gas; and trash combustion facilities.  It also includes a new category of qualifying facilities—facilitates the generate electricity from marine renewables  The bill would cap the aggregate amount of tax credits that can be earned for qualifying facilities place in service after December, 31, 2008 to an amount that has a present value equal to 35% of the facility’s cost.  This proposal is estimated to cost $6.626 billion over 10 years.

Losers:

Denial of section 199 benefits for certain major integrated oil companies (freeze current benefits at 6%)  The bill excludes gross receipts derived from the sale, exchange or other disposition of oil, natural gas, or any primary product thereof from the domestic production deduction for large integrated oil companies.  The bill would freeze the domestic production deduction for income of other taxpayers that is with respect to oil, natural gas, or any primary product thereof at 6%.  This is estimated to raise $9.992 billion over 10 years.

7-year amortization of geological and geophysical expenditures for certain major integrated oil companies.  The bill increase the amortization period for geological and geophysical expenditures(G&G costs) from 5 years to 7 years for large integrated oil companies.  Estimate to raise $103 million over 10 years.

Clarification of foreign oil and gas extraction income.  The tax code limits the ability of oil and gas companies to claim foreign tax credits with respect to foreign oil and gas extraction income.  Because of this limitation, there is a potential for oil and gas companies to manipulate their extraction income in order to achieve beneficial result under U.S. foreign tax credit rules.  This bill eliminates this potential, and would expand the present-law foreign oil and gas extraction income rules to apply to all foreign income from production and other activity related to the sale of oil and gas.  Estimated to raise $3.187 billion over 10 years.






Wednesday, December 05, 2007
No Huckaboom in New Hampshire but one seems to be happening nationwide
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 4:03 PM
Rasmussen's daily tracking has Huckabee in the lead by 3%.   20% represents the highest Mike Huckabee has ever been in the daily tracking poll.   Giuliani's 17% is the lowest for the former Mayor since Rasmussen began collecting data in July.

20% Huckabee
17% Giuliani
13% McCain
13% Romney
10% Thompson

Don't misunderstand.  As things sit right now, it's not a good thing....

On Monday, Patrick Ruffini had this to say:

Giuliani and Huckabee are the ying and yang of the GOP field. One is strong on fiscal issues and weak on social ones. The other is... the opposite. Unlike discerning minute differences in the shades of gray between Clinton and Obama, a Giuliani-Huckabee final would give Republican voters a real choice about the future direction of the party. (emphasis mine)
A good choice?  Real choices? -- or just different choices?

Is that what we're headed for? ... a battle-royale between two candidates  -- "one is strong on fiscal issues and weak on social ones. The other is... the opposite."

Is a candidate going to present himself as a credible choice for people who want both sides of the conservative coalition in ONE person?




Wednesday, December 05, 2007
Attacks on Huck Seem Transparent
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 3:19 PM


I've been a Mike Huckabee critic for literally years. 

But even I am surprised at the level of animadversion he has received in the past week from other campaigns, reporters, and bloggers. 

Sure, you could argue that when you're in the big leagues, as he now is, you have to be ready to hit fast balls.  But much of the recent criticism seems a bit petty to me.   I'm all for attacking him for being a fiscal liberal, but much of the criticism this week has not been on the issues, but rather on somewhat contrived stories.

It also seems a bit transparent and "convenient" that Huckabee was generally well-liked until he became perceived as a threat to the other candidates.

Tags: huckabee


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