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Monday, December 31, 2007
Huck Vs. Russert
Posted by: Michael Medved at 3:19 PM

On MEET THE PRESS on NBC on Sunday, Mike Huckabee received an appropriately aggressive grilling from Tim Russert --- and showed, once again, why those who write him off as a country-bumpkin/religious zealot/political-flash-in-the-pan utterly underestimate the guy and his appeal.

Yes, he couldn't defend his own stupid "plan" on immigration-- no one could -- but he was no more embarrassing on that issue than is Romney or Thompson (they're all pathetic -- and Rudy isn't much better. Only McCain speaks with anything like credibility on immigration).

Meanwhile, I've attached some of the excerpts of the transcript where Huckabee is hit hard-- and hits right back, effectively it seems to me. The selections begin with his response to Romney criticism about his foreign policy...

-----------------------------------------------------

 

And it's interesting to me that while a few weeks ago on this program Mitt Romney was very critical of me for making that statement, a few months earlier on MEET THE--rather, on "60 Minutes," he himself had talked about the major mistakes that had been made by the administration.  He demanded of me an apology, but he did not demand of himself an apology for also being critical, as have most Republicans.  Now, I think Republicans are big enough and maybe wise enough that we can be in disagreement with certain policies and still be behind our president and behind this administration in many of the things which they have done right.  And I've been very complimentary of the president on the issues where I think he's been right.  I stood by him in the war, I stood by him in the surge.  I wasn't a latecomer like Mitt Romney was to believing that the surge was effective.  And we've seen 76 percent decline in civilian deaths, 62 percent decline in military casualties since the surge began.  It is working.  We are finally beginning to see those signs of victory in Iraq.

MR. RUSSERT:  You're suggesting that Mitt Romney's not running an honorable campaign.

GOV. HUCKABEE:  I've been very clear about it.  Mitt Romney is running a very desperate and, frankly, a dishonest campaign.  He's attacked me, and, and yesterday--or Friday, I guess it was, he launched then just a broadside attack against Senator McCain.  Now, Senator McCain and I are rivals for the presidency, but I've said on many occasions, I'll say it again here today, Senator McCain is an honorable man, and I believe he's an honest man.  I believe he's a man of conviction.  And I felt like that, when Mitt Romney went after the integrity of John McCain, he stepped across a line.  John McCain's a hero in this country.  He's a hero to me.

And I just felt like that when Mitt Romney gets on your show and says that he had the NRA endorsement when he didn't; when he comes on and says he's pro-life and yet he signed a bill that gives a $50 co-pay for an elective abortion in his state's health care plan; when he claims that he's really for the Second Amendment, but he--on this show he talked about how he supported limitations and restrictions on lawful, law-abiding citizens having gun ownership rights, those are not the marks of a person who's pro-life and pro-Second Amendment.  And then the things where he's made up these visions that he's had of marching with Martin Luther King and his dad marching with him.  You know, Tim, what I've said, and I've been pretty blunt about it, if you aren't being honest in obtaining a job, can we trust you to be honest if you get the job?.....

------------------

MR. RUSSERT:  Do you think some of the commercials that have been on the air talking about your record have hurt?

GOV. HUCKABEE:  Well, they may have.  I mean, people in Iowa have been bombarded.  I mean, bombarded.  Not only on commercials, but in the mail, at a time when most people were kind of looking forward to going out to the mailbox and picking up some nice Christmas cards, instead they were finding out what a bum Mike Huckabee is.  And I don't know what kind of effect it has.  People of Iowa, I think, like a positive campaign.  But the relentless attacks--and they have been relentless.  And when you're outspent 20-to-1, as I have been here in Iowa, you know, I think it's pretty amazing that I'm where I am.

MR. RUSSERT:  But has Mitt Romney said anything that's untrue about you?

GOV. HUCKABEE:  How long do we have on the program today?  He's said many things that are untrue.  He said that I reduced methamphetamine sentences in Arkansas.  Truth is I signed a bill in 1999 that doubled those sentences.  We did not reduce them.  Our sentences were four times harsher than they were in Massachusetts.  He said that I supported special breaks for illegal aliens. That's not true, Tim.  We supported simply giving children who had earned a scholarship the same--it never happened, it didn't make the legislature.  He made allegations that our increased spending by ridiculous amounts, and The New York Times came back and defended that, and said that's just simply not true.  And they took him apart and showed that the increases in spending were, frankly, the same if not a little better than his if you took into consideration the accounting methods we changed in Arkansas, very modest gains in spending.

He made claims about things like tax increases, but he failed to mention that some of those were either court ordered or they were voted on by the people and approved by the people for things as roads.  And I left my roads in great shape, took them from the worst in the country to what Truckers magazine said were the most improved.  He left his roads in a mess in Massachusetts, with huge problems in the infrastructure.  He claimed that he didn't raise taxes, but, in fact, he did raise taxes by half a billion dollars.

MR. RUSSERT:  Fees.

GOV. HUCKABEE:  Fees.  It's a tax.  If you're a small business person and you pay more money than you paid last year to the government, you can call it a fee, call it a tax, it's a three letter word that means the same.

..



--------------------------

On faith as central to America...

 

MR. RUSSERT:  But where does this leave non-Christians?

GOV. HUCKABEE:  Oh, it leaves them right in the middle of America.  I think the Judeo-Christian background of this country is one that respects people not only of faith, but it respects people who don't have faith.  The, the key issue of real faith is that it never can be forced on someone.  And never would I want to use the government institutions to impose mine or anybody else's faith or to restrict.  I think the First Amendment, Tim, is explicitly clear.  Government should be restricted, not faith, government.  And government's restriction is on two fronts:  one, it's not to prefer one faith over another; and the second, it's not to prohibit the practice of somebody's religion, period.

MR. RUSSERT:  So you'd have no problem appointing atheists to your Cabinet?

GOV. HUCKABEE:  No, I wouldn't have any problem at all appointing atheists. I probably had some working for me as governor.  You know, I think you got to realize if people want--say, "Well, you were a pastor," but I was a governor 10 1/2 years.  I have more executive experience running a government.  I was actually in a government position longer than I was a pastor.  And if people want to know how I would blend these issues, the best way to look at it is how I served as a governor.  I didn't ever propose a bill that we would remove the capitol dome of Arkansas and replace it with a steeple.  You know, we didn't do tent revivals on the grounds of the capitol.  But my faith is important to me.  I try to be more descriptive of it.  I just don't want to run from it and act like it's not important.  It drives my views on everything from the environment to poverty to disease to hunger.  Issues, frankly, I think the Republicans need to take a greater leadership role in.  And as a Republican, but as a Christian, I would want to make sure that we're speaking out on some of these issues that I think we've been lacking in as a party and as, as a nation.

-----------------------------------------------

on homosexuality....

 

MR. RUSSERT:  But this is what concerns people.  This, this is what you did say about homosexuality:  "I feel homosexuality is an aberrant, unnatural and sinful lifestyle." That's millions of Americans.

GOV. HUCKABEE:  Tim, understand, when a Christian speaks of sin, a Christian says all of us are sinners.  I'm a sinner, everybody's a sinner.  What one's sin is, means it's missing the mark.  It's missing the bull's eye, the perfect point.  I miss it every day; we all do.  The perfection of God is seen in a marriage in which one man, one woman live together as a couple committed to each other as life partners.  Now, even married couples don't do that perfectly, so sin is not some act of equating people with being murderers or rapists...

MR. RUSSERT:  But when you say aberrant or unnatural, do you believe you're born gay or you choose to be gay?

GOV. HUCKABEE:  I don't know whether people are born that way.  People who are gay say that they're born that way.  But one thing I know, that the behavior one practices is a choice.  We may have certain tendencies, but how we behave and how we carry out our behavior--but the important issue that I want to address, because I think when you bring up the faith question, Tim, I've been asked more about my faith than any person running for president. I'm OK with that.  I hope I've answered these questions very candidly and very honestly.  I think it's important for us to talk about it.  But the most important thing is to find out, does our faith influence our public policy and how?  I've never tried to rewrite science textbooks.  I've never tried to come out with some way of imposing a doctrinaire Christian perspective in a way that is really against the Constitution.  I've never done that.

MR. RUSSERT:  But you said you would ban all abortions.

GOV. HUCKABEE:  Well, that's not just because I'm a Christian, that's because I'm an American.  Our founding fathers said that we're all created equal.  I think every person has intrinsic worth and value...

MR. RUSSERT:  But many Americans believe that that would be, that would be you imposing your faith belief...

GOV. HUCKABEE:  But, no.  It's not a faith belief.  It's deeper than that. It's a human belief.  It goes to the heart of who we are as a civilization. If I believe that your intrinsic worth is not changed by your ancestry, your last name, by your IQ, by your abilities or disabilities, if I value your life and respect it with dignity and worth because it is human, then that's what draws me to the inescapable conclusion that I should be for the sanctity of every and each human life.  That's why we go after that 12-year-old boy in the woods of North Carolina when he's lost, not because he has greater worth than someone else, but because we believe he has equal worth as everyone else.  I like it that in this country we treat each other--at least we should--with that sense of equality.  Our founding fathers penned that in the Declaration of Independence when they declared...

 

MR. RUSSERT:  Some Americans believe that life does not begin at conception, and that it's...

GOV. HUCKABEE:  Well, scientifically I think that's almost...

MR. RUSSERT:  But...

GOV. HUCKABEE:  ...a point that you couldn't argue.  How, how could you say that life doesn't begin at conception...

MR. RUSSERT:  Right.  Do you respect that view?

GOV. HUCKABEE:  ...biologically?

MR. RUSSERT:  Do you respect that view?

GOV. HUCKABEE:  I respect it as a view, but I don't think it has biological credibility.

---------------------------------------------------------------

I hope that Huckabee does well on Thursday. A strong showing in Iowa for the former Arkansas governor would constitute an appropriate rebuke to the negativity and saturation advertising by the Romney campaign. Even if Romney goes on to win the nomination (still a very real possibility) he will help himself, the party and the country if he turns away from the idea of spending millions of dollars to distort the records of his opponents. Surely, the Mittster has a more positive message to offer the nation about his own vision and leadership abilities (both of which command respect) than concentrating all his resources on sliming Huckabee and McCain. 

Meanwhile, good luck to all our candidates and heaven protect us from the Democrats.....






Monday, December 31, 2007
Huckabee's Positively Going Negative ...
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 2:28 PM
Jonathan Martin reports this from the trail:

In a surprise move, Mike Huckabee said today that he won't air negative ads against Mitt Romney.

Claiming that he changed this mind this morning, Huckabee told reporters gathered in anticipation of seeing the spots that he would no longer attack Romney off the air, either, and would run a positive campaign in the final days before the caucuses.
This, of course, is a political move made for one of two reasons:

1.  A campaign doesn't have enough money to run their ads, so they hope the media will run the ads for them -- if they are controversial enough.

2.  A candidate wants to be able to advance a negative narrative about his opponent without "going negative" himself.






Monday, December 31, 2007
Is Wicker the Trippi of '08?
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 1:52 PM
A couple weeks ago, I noticed that one thing missing from the political reporting this cycle was the emergence (and promotion) of a celebrity consultant. 

According to the Wall Street Journal, this year's "celebrity consultant" might just be Huckabee ad man, Bob Wicker:

Every presidential election makes stars out of a few political consultants. In 2004, Joe Trippi won a reputation for harnessing the Internet to help his candidate, Democrat Howard Dean. In 2000, Karl Rove's reputation as a political master was sealed with the election of George W. Bush. Should Mr. Huckabee continue his climb, Mr. Wickers and his team would earn similar reviews.



Tags: huckabee



Monday, December 31, 2007
Romney's Iowa Operation
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 11:49 AM


It's easy to forget, but not long ago, Mitt Romney's front-runner status was anything but a foregone conclusion.  Over time, though, he met -- and surpassed -- many goals, thus elevating his campaign into the top-tier.  Some of this was the result of good fortune, some of it was his disciplined and organized campaign, and some of it was his ability to bank-roll his campaign.

In four days, Mitt Romney faces his first real test, the Iowa caucuses.  Heretofore, he has met every challenge, and exceeded every metric.  He is undefeated in pre-season, but now the real season begins...

So how will he do in Iowa?  Anyone who pretends to know the answer to that is pulling your leg.  But if I were a betting man, I would put my money on Mitt Romney to prevail on Thursday.  Here's why:  For one thing, Mike Huckabee seems to have peaked about a week too soon.  And because Huckabee was not terribly well known to begin with, Romney's campaign ads were able to define Huckabee, and introduce many caucus-goers to the negative side of Mike Huckabee.

But the key to Mitt Romney in Iowa is his organization.  People don't just go to caucuses.  A well-run turn-out operation can increase a candidate's votes by 3-5 percent.  My guess is that Romney will be able to make up a 5 point deficit in the polls because of his turnout operation.

Luck also has something to do with it, too.  Forecasters are calling for it to be unseasonably warm weather (if 17 degrees is unseasonably warm).  Huckabee, whose supporters are die-hard Christian activists and hunters, would benefit from bad weather, and low voter turnout. 

Assuming Mitt Romney does prevail in Iowa, he will ironically owe Mike Huckabee for having made Iowa a worthwhile victory.  Remember, candidates like Giuliani and McCain were hoping to render Iowa irrelevant by ignoring the state.  

A close victory over a tough challenger would demonstrate Mitt Romney is a tested candidate who has overcome difficult obstacles. 

To continue over-extending football metaphors, Mitt Romney is playing a series of "road games":  He's playing Huckabee on his Iowa turf, McCain on his "home turf "of New Hampshire, and arguably, Rudy on his "home turf" of Florida. 

Winning these road games would give him the credibility and confidence to unite the Republican Party behind him.

Again, anything could happen.  It's hard to quantify Mike Huckabee's support.  Some of his voters may be first-time caucus-goers.  No doubt, Huckabee's supporters have intensity on their side. 

Still, if you're playing the percentages, the person who has run the smartest campaign -- based on using history to guide his strategy -- is Mitt Romney.






Sunday, December 30, 2007
Wild Card Watch ..
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 4:09 PM
Ok, the Saints just lost, so they're done.  A Vikings loss or a Redskins win, gets the Skins in the Playoffs (though obviously, a win is preferable). 

... By the way, even if you don't like football, Michael Wilbon's WaPost Friday column on Joe Gibbs' leadership is inspiring ...




Sunday, December 30, 2007
In NH, Ron Paul Might Surprise
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 2:24 PM
Ron Paul has a real chance to influence who wins New Hampshire, as well as to steal a bit of the story away from the winner of New Hampshire, thus minimizing the momentum a primary winner might otherwise expect.

Writing at the Wall Street Journal, Andrew Cline explains why:
For starters, he appears to be drawing new voters. Polls that screen for "likely" voters might screen out many Paul supporters who haven't voted often, or at all, before. Many of Mr. Paul's supporters appear to be first-time voters. They will be able to cast their ballots because New Hampshire allows them to register and vote on the day of an election.
But a strong New Hampshire finish won't just hurt other candidates. It might also mean Paul finally gets the credibility and attention from the media that even his astonishing fundraising prowess has, thus far, not been able to buy him.

Tags: Paul



Sunday, December 30, 2007
Priorities.
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 1:29 PM
Iowa can wait 'til later...

New Orleans at Chicago 1pm
Minnesota at Denver 4:15pm
Dallas at The Redskins 4:15pm




Sunday, December 30, 2007
Huckabee's Excellent Defense of the Pro-Life Cause
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 12:32 PM


Just four days before the Iowa caucuses, Mike Huckabee's appearance on Meet The Press this morning included one of the most coherent and persuasive arguments in favor of the Pro-Life cause that has ever been voiced on national television.

Regardless of whether or not he ultimately wins, there is no doubt that -- because of the forum his candidacy has afforded him -- Mike Huckabee has used his exceptional rhetorical ability to persuasively explain the Pro-Life position to the American public in a compassionate -- and compelling -- manner.



Tags: huckabee



Sunday, December 30, 2007
If it's Sunday...
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 11:05 AM
...it's Meet the Press.

Mike Huckabee's campaign scored a huge win by scheduling a half-hour MTP interview three days before Iowa.   The candidate held up his end of the bargain with a seemingly strong appearance.   Maybe Tim Russert was up too late last night but he seemed a little sleepy and wasn't his usual combative self.

The other half-hour was taken up with Barack Obama in what was probably the most boring MTP interview yet.  Obama looked tired -- and not the vibrant candidate of change he is trying to be. 

Did you watch the interviews?  What did you think?




Sunday, December 30, 2007
Tsk Tsk...
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 11:04 AM
Someone's playing dirty in South Carolina.

Many South Carolina Republicans got a bogus holiday greeting card this week, purported to be from White House hopeful Mitt Romney, that cites some controversial passages of the Book of Mormon.





Saturday, December 29, 2007
Rollins: Reagan Coalition is Done
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 10:39 PM
The NY Times reports that Huckabee adviser Ed Rollins has declared an end to the Reagan coalition:

"It’s gone,” said Ed Rollins, who once worked as President Reagan’s political director and recently became Mr. Huckabee’s national campaign chairman. “The breakup of what was the Reagan coalition — social conservatives, defense conservatives, antitax conservatives — it doesn’t mean a whole lot to people anymore.”

“It is a time for a whole new coalition — that is the key,” he said, adding that some part of the original triad might “go by the wayside.”

The very fact that the GOP has not settled on a front-runner yet, almost confirms we are in danger of losing the coalition.  In fact, the candidates themselves seem to represent disparate segments of the splintering coalition, with Huckabee, of course, representing the social conservative sphere.

Still, I can't help but wonder if Rollins isn't a bit too premature.   This is typical Rollins; very quotable, but not necessarily helpful to his client.

All along, Mitt Romney has wisely run as the only candidate who represents all three legs of the "three legged stool" that is the Republican coalition.  For those of us who believe it is imperative to preserve the Reagan coalition, Rollins' pronouncement is almost an argument to vote for Mitt Romney.





Saturday, December 29, 2007
The Battle for 3rd In Iowa
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 6:34 PM
In the movie, Talladega Nights, Ricky Bobby's daddy famously said, "If you ain't first, you're last." That maxim certainly doesn't hold true this year in politics (or in football, for that matter).

In fact, almost as exciting as the battle for first-place in Iowa is the battle for third.  Here's why:

We can almost presume that Romney and Huckabee will finish in one of the top two spots.  As such, the third-place spot -- the wild card -- becomes very, very important. 

Should John McCain, a candidate who famously opposes Ethanol subsidies -- and didn't even campaign in Iowa in 2000 -- come in second, it would give him a boost heading into New Hampshire.  This would be especially important if Huckabee were to win Iowa.  McCain would benefit greatly by coming in third in Iowa.

Of course, Fred Thompson is also campaigning hard in Iowa, and has essentially moved there (and his FredHeads are joining him).  A third-place finish keeps Fred in the game.  To put it in context, Fred Thompson needs a third-place finish on Thursday almost as much as the Redskins need a win tomorrow.  His entire season is on the line.  He needs this "wild card berth."

Lastly, don't count out Rudy Giuliani.  Operatives from several competing campaigns tell me he is campaigning much harder in Iowa than he is letting on.  Rudy can't afford to finish fifth or sixth in Iowa.  He won't win Iowa, but to remain relevant until February 5, he  can't afford to be a joke, either ...







Friday, December 28, 2007
McCain/Romney, Round II
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 6:04 PM
Time has McCain's response ad.







Friday, December 28, 2007
Misled in NH and NY?
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 3:49 PM
NRO has posted this editorial, criticizing the The Manchester Union Leader for endorsing McCain, and for bashing Mitt Romney:
The Union Leader’s advocacy of John McCain has become so fierce and lopsided that it has practically transformed itself into a pro-McCain 527 organization. It has not formalized the arrangement, which is lucky for it: If it had, McCain would, on his campaign-finance principles, have to try to shut it down.

There is a lot to like about Senator McCain, and we do not fault the Union Leader for endorsing him. We do fault its double standards. The newspaper counts it as a damnable “flip-flop” every time Romney has changed his position or even his emphasis. McCain can switch his views on the very same issues without a disparaging word from the Union Leader
Of course, the fact that two conservative publications are going at it over McCain and Romney shows just how messy this entire race has gotten.

NRO is correct to decry double standards, but the double standards are certainly not exclusive to the Union.

And while they are entitled to their opinion, I did find this line extremely concerning:
For us, the most important question about a flip-flop is whether the movement is in the right direction.
I fundamentally disagree with this line of thinking.

Here's why:  Conservatives have been burned by candidates who run as conservatives, only to "squish out" when they are in office.  As such, we must insist on someone deeply rooted in a governing philosophy.  While primaries have a centrifugal affect, actually serving in office is quite the opposite:  Once in office, the temptation and immediate rewards will always encourage conservatives to become more liberal (and thus, be more popular with the media, etc.).  So having strong moorings is essential.

Simply put, if someone is willing to flip for you, they will also be willing to flip on you.






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