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Tuesday, October 23, 2007
Over on the Senate Side
Posted by: John Campbell at 2:30 PM

Recently, Sen. Hillary Clinton’s earmark for the Woodstock Museum has gotten a lot of attention courtesy of the Republican Presidential Debate. 

Sen. Clinton and Sen. Schumer both Democrats from New York, included this million dollar earmark in the Labor, Health and Human Services and Education spending bill.  This earmark was destined to create a museum honoring the 1969 Woodstock music festival.  Thankfully, Senator Tom Coburn (R-OK) managed to kill this earmark by a voice vote on the Senate floor.

As we have seen time and time again, USA Today uncovered that Allen Gerry, the owner of the Woodstock site, where the museum would have been constructed, made large contributions to Schumer’s and Clinton’s campaigns after the earmark was included in the bill.

On another note, an earmark I questioned on the House floor by Rep. Charles Rangel (D-NY), managed to slip by once again on the floor of the Senate. Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.) offered an amendment to strike Mr. Rangel’s infamous “Monument to Me”, a $2 million dollar earmark to create the “Charles B Rangel Center for Public Service and the Charles Rangel Library at the City College of New York”, from the bill.

After his amendment failed, Sen. DeMint commented that, “Washington has reached the point of absurdity when a member of Congress can create a monument to himself at taxpayer expense,” I’m embarrassed that my Senate colleagues didn’t have the courage today to stand up for taxpayers.”

I couldn’t have said it better myself.






Tuesday, October 23, 2007
Hillary's a Hawk & a Dove
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 12:06 PM
Hillary tries to have it both ways. "Talk about a wide stance."





Tuesday, October 23, 2007
Three cheers for Philly
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 9:57 AM
Our sincerest thanks go to the people of Philadelphia who saved us in D.C. from being named the ugliest city in America.  On that note, I've got tickets to the Nov. 11 Redskins game against the Eagles.  I'm sure a few Philly fans will show up.  See you there.  I'll be the one wearing burgundy and gold.  h/t to Lindsay B.




Tuesday, October 23, 2007
Around the Net
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 8:12 AM
... The "Deaning" of John EdwardsChris Cillizza writes that former Howard Dean manager Joe Trippi has become an Elizabeth Edwards confidant. 

... RedState has a Fred intervention.

... Dwayne Horner says Chuck Norris is more popular in Texas than Rick Perry.

... A Boston Herald editorial today says of Mitt Romney:  "... the one thing we will not let the former governor do is to rewrite history. So when he says, as he did Sunday night, I fought to make sure we kept our taxes down. I fought for pro-growth strategies. I cut taxes.'  Well, we would have to add that the man had hardly found his way to the Corner Office when his fiscal team came up with a scheme to raise $500 million in fees."

... I'm told ABC News (TV) just did a piece on Rudy Giuliani's friend and business associate, Alan Placa.  This story has been around a long time, but I believe I was the first in the conservative blogosphere to bring it up this election cycle (back in February).

... Katharine Seelye over at the Caucus asks:  "If Rudolph W. Giuliani is leading the Republican field in the national polls, and Mitt Romney is leading the field in the early states, why is John McCain running closer to Hillary Clinton than the rest of the pack?"

... Marc Ambinder has the scoop on why Evangelicals aren't fully supporting Huckabee.

... And lastly, the Las Vegas Business Press reports: "Mayor Oscar Goodman's 'Mob Museum,' a $30 million tribute to the mafia's role in shaping Las Vegas, will certainly be a must-see for the city's tourists. But the mob culture is hardly a thing of the past ..."




Tuesday, October 23, 2007
Re: Where's Romney's Bio?
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 6:55 AM
Patrick -- You make a good point.  I think Romney could play up his business abilities a bit more than he has.

However, I've got to disagree with your take on the FRC straw poll (not sure if you saw my post yesterday). 

You wrote that once you, "Filter out the online votes ... you have a pretty organic (and one sided) protest vote for Mike Huckabee."

The probelm is; why should we filter out online votes?

According to Romney's conservative coalitions director Gary Marx, Romney's team encouraged their social conservative supporters -- even the ones who were attending in person -- to vote online (this is consistent with traditional campaign strategy which says you encourage your base to vote absentee or early).

Moreover, the Romney campaign was not aware there would be a distinction made between online votes and in-person votes.  

I've not been a Romney apologist, by any stretch, but should we punish the campaign for utilizing technology?

Tags: Romney



Monday, October 22, 2007
Interview: Steve Forbes on Rudy
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 3:09 PM
I had a chance to interview Rudy Giuliani supporter Steve Forbes about ...

Last night's debate, his support of Rudy Giuliani, the Flat Tax, the Line Item Veto,  Abortion, and more ...

In terms of the Flat Tax, he told me: "I think (Giuliani has) made a lot of progress on that."  He admits Giuliani isn't where he is on the flat tax, but says he's, "moving in that direction." 

I asked him about his support of Giuliani, in lieu of the fact that in 2000 he criticized then-Governor George W. Bush for not making abortion a litmus test, saying at the time: "The front-runner will not promise to appoint pro-life judges, but I have and will ..."

He points out that Giuliani, "created an environment where the abortion rate fell faster in New York City than it did nationwide."

Listen to the rest ...




Tags: Rudy



Monday, October 22, 2007
Is McCain back?
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 2:26 PM
With lines like this one, don't count him out.






Monday, October 22, 2007
More on the Mitt Machine
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 2:09 PM
Following up on my previous post about how Mitt Romney won the Value Voters Straw Poll, I had a chance to talk with Romney conservative coalitions director Gary Marx.

Marx told me that the Romney campaign focused on internet voting, as opposed to in-person voting.  He explained that any smart campaign should focus on getting their supporters to vote early or by absentee ballot. 

The reason is simple: A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush, meaning that a potential voter who waits to vote on election day may get sick -- have a flat tire -- or just change their mind.   The bottom line is that it's wise to have your supporters vote early.  Romney accomplished this with the internet:  "We didn't care to focus on voting in person -- it was irrelevant to us," Marx told me.

Marx was not aware that FRC would distinguish between -- and report -- the numbers of voters who voted in person vs. the number who voted online. 

Another reason the campaign focused on internet voting is that Romney's speech took place Friday night at 7:30 PM, but the Straw Poll closed at 6 PM.  "He's done very well in his evening speaking engagements," Marx told me. 

(My guess is that there's a better vibe at night, especially if the speech follows a reception.)

According to Marx, 1600 people attended the event and voted online.  As such, the perception that Huckabee dominated among people who attended the event, may not be accurate because a disproportionate number of Romney's supporters who attended had already voted on the internet.




Monday, October 22, 2007
Some Family Time
Posted by: Mary Katharine Ham at 11:45 AM
I've been offline and out of politics for a couple days, hanging out with my family in Virginia and North Carolina. It's a beautiful place, outside the Beltway, where reactions to the Republican debate last night range from "eh" to "they're already having debates?" to "as long as we can beat Hillary..."

I missed the Values Voters Summit on Saturday because I needed to be with my family to celebrate my grandma's 85th birthday. It was a great time. About 50 folks from all sides of the family came together to honor the woman who ties us all together. It was a blessing to see fellow grandkids and distant cousins we hadn't seen in years. We made and decorated a cupcake for each year of her life-- one bore a tobacco leaf for the year she and her husband tried tobacco farming; one had a lunch pail for her first day of school; an American flag for her work at the USO and in the Navy; and, each grandkid's birth year was marked (and there are plenty!).

We held the party at an old house we call The Cumby Place (I'm not sure why. I think the family who owned it before us might have been the Cumbys.), out in the fields of my aunt and uncle's farmland. It's got running water and electricity, but not much else, and the family uses it as a hunting club during the season.

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I played volleyball with my younger cousins out front while my little brother (on the opposite team) talked junk about my form. So, that's what I was doing while politics moved on...

Sounds like Rudy was as good as could possibly be expected for the Values Voters. I never doubted they would greet him politely, even enthusiastically. Once you get out of the immediate circle of the Dobsonite third-party folks, you'll find that almost all evangelicals express immense respect for "Mayor Giuliani," as I usually hear him called, before politely pondering whether some of his views allow them to vote for him. I run in a few evangelical circles and have heard praise-- though sometimes qualified-- much more often than criticism.

N.Z. Bear had quotes from Rudy's speech
and it sounded like it hit just the right notes, even evoking enthusiastic applause at places. As I've said before, Rudy has an uncanny ability to exude respect for values voters even while disagreeing with them sharply on very important issues. That's part of what's kept him up top in national polls this long, I think, and if he ever loses it, he's dead in the water with these folks.

Unsurprisingly, Mitt took the top in the straw poll. The Romney campaign had a strong contingent on hand at the conference Friday and, as Justin Hart notes, the campaign has been methodical and effective in its courting of evangelical endorsements. There's also no doubt that, while not always electrifying, Mitt comes off polished and extremely knowledgeable in appearances.

Huckabee finished second-- a testament to his fabulous public-speaking skills and true passion about the issues these voters care about. He's a great communicator, and it's a speech I would have liked to have seen live. His star is rising but I, like Erick Erickson, am worried about a guy so charming carrying the conservative mantle, and also carrying a torch for nanny-statism in his heart. It doesn't sit well. Fred's third-place finish has gotta be a disappointment, and was undoubtedly brought on by Huckabee's Saturday-morning performance.

As for the debate, McCain had the line of the night, Fred sounds like he revved it up a bit, but could stand a little more, and Rudy and Huckabee shined, as usual. Oh, and what's with the Fred campaign live-blogging in Spanish? Show-offs. Does that about sum it up? A good debate wrap-up, with special praise for Fred, here.

And, is Bobby Jindal a ray of sunshine or what?
Perfect for getting you out of your pre-election year funk if you're a GOP pessimist, as most of us are these days. I'm putting a HamNation together today (shot it this weekend with my family's help), so it can run later in the week, and then I'm taking the week to go visit my other brother in Arizona and just relax. I may check in now and then, but I'll be mostly non-bloggy.


A parting shot. This is me at The Cumby Place with a giant fly-swatter, which my little cousin claims is for bopping mice and rats that run across the floor, but I can't tell if he's yanking my chain. At any rate, nuthin' says festive like a giant rat-swatter, so I took a picture.

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Monday, October 22, 2007
The Romney Machine
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 11:10 AM
Whether you like Mitt Romney, or not, there is no doubt that his is a very well-organized campaign (see my previous post about his Ames Straw Poll operation).  Like any good business, Romney, Inc. sets metrics and achieves them.  Today, MyManMitt does a great job of describing how the campaign prepared for the Value Voters Conference.  Based on his observations of this one event, it is clear that nothing in Romney-Land happens by accident ...

Tags: Romney



Sunday, October 21, 2007
GOP Candidates Mix-It-Up
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 8:17 PM

Here are my initial post-debate thoughts ...

Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney both did well, but they always do well.  Mike Huckabee is still the best debater, but there's nothing new there. 

I think Fred Thompson did quite well.  Once again, he ended strong.  People tend to remember the first thing and the last thing they see, and if this is true, Fred Thompson had a very good night.

Tonight, John McCain "the Statesman" showed up.  He was energetic enough to show his virility, yet calm enough to demonstrate gravitas.  He did a terrific job of balancing humor with seriousness, and his classy brand of humor served to underscore his serious points. 

A few months ago his campaign seemed to be starring at the abyss.  Tonight, John McCain may take solace in Winston Churchill words (about the ability to speak) that: “Abandoned by his party, betrayed by his friends, stripped of his offices, whoever can command this power is still formidable.”  McCain may not have as much money as some of the other frontrunners, but this debate demonstrates he is still, indeed, formidable.

______________________________________________________________

9:30 - Finishing strongly, Fred Thompson's biography seems to refute charges that he is lazy:  "If a man can do all that and be lazy, I recommend it to everybody."

9:21 - This seems to be the opposite of the last debate, in the sense that tonight Fred Thompson started strong and (unless he turns it around in the next 9 minutes), he seems to be finishing slow ...

9:16 - John McCain on whether or not Bush misjudged Putin:  I don't know about naive, but I do know when I looked into Mr. Putin's eyes, I saw three letters:  KGB. 

9:08 - Who is winning???  It's always hard to pick a winner when there are 8 or 9 people in a debate.   

9:02 - BoSox up 2 to 0

8:55 - Steelers and Broncos are tied at 7.

8:50 - Chris Wallace
points out that John McCain is running closest to Hillary Clinton.  McCain hasn't gotten the credit for this that he deserves, and he should be happy Wallace has helped spread the word.  Regarding Woodstock, and Hillary Clinton's wanting to build a Woodstock Museum, McCain says: "I was tied up at the time."

8:49 - Rudy quotes Hillary: "I have a million ideas; America can't afford them all."  Referring to Al Gore, he says:  "Thank you Florida."

8:47 - Mitt Romney on why his business background is important, and why Hillary Clinton isn't ready for the job: "... She hasn't run a corner store.  She hasn't run a state.  She hasn't run a city.  She hasn't run anything."

8:43 - Red Sox 1 / Cleveland 0

8:41 -
When pressed about teachers not liking him, Rudy has a great line about how he cares about teachers, but he cares about the kids more.

8:40 - Pittsburgh 7 / Denver 0

8:36 - Mike Huckabee
has a good line, saying, "... when all the old hippies find out they get free drugs, just wait to see what that's going to cost ..."

8:34 - Duncan Hunter hits Romney on the mandates in his health care plan. 

8:29 - Cleveland 0 / Boston 0 -- Denver 0 / Pittsburgh 0

8:25 -
It feels like John McCain is "on" tonight. 

8:22 - Mike Huckabee is, indeed, a skilled debater. I think that he scored some points when he refused to attack the other candidates.  It may be that McCain now needs to attack Romney -- or that Thompson now needs to attack Rudy.  But I don't think Huckabee gains anything by going on the attack and becoming a "politician." 

8:16 -

Chris Wallace
seems committed to making this debate newsworthy.  The questions, so far, have challenged the candidates to draw sharp distinctions between themselves and their opponents.

Kudos to Fred Thompson for coming out swinging tonight.  He wasted no time mixing it up with Rudy Giuliani about abortion and sanctuary cities.

Rudy responded by saying Fred's not perfect, either: "Fred was the single biggest obstacle to tort reform in the U.S. Senate."

John McCain is coming on strong tonight, too.  He seems to be finally making the case in a very eloquent way that his background qualifies him to be president.

Mitt Romney wisely clarified his comment during the last debate about consulting lawyers before a unilateral military action.






Sunday, October 21, 2007
Fred's Second Debate ... Tonight
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 6:07 PM
Let's see, between game 7 of the ALCS -- and Sunday Night Football -- I figure like 3 or 4 people in America might watch tonight's debate ...

My assumption is it will just be me -- and I'll be flipping back and forth ...

Still, this is Fred Thompson's second debate, and I guess that's the story.  During Friday's conference call with bloggers, Thompson's campaign manager Bill Lacy discussed their expectations for the debate:

"Our expectations are that Fred will begin Sunday night where he ended in Michigan," Lacy told me.  He also mentioned something about Fred, "getting his sea legs" in the last debate.

Maybe Fred will rock, but I'm skeptical ...

... Here's how he performed in Florida on Saturday night:

When it came time for Fred D. Thompson, the crowd was primed, having listened to his rivals deliver speeches, lasting about 20 minutes each, that the candidates each obviously thought played to their strengths.

Mr. Thompson walked slowly onto the stage, kissed his wife, Jerri, on the cheek, made a joke or two, claimed to be a “consistent conservative” — and said good night. He spoke for four minutes.

“I was really kind of shocked,” said Linda Hoffman, 47, who wore stickers for all the candidates on her blazer, reflecting her indecision. “We were all hoping he would say something we could get behind, but there was nothing.”

That should be a devastating quote, but the truth is it is entirely consistent with almost everything Fred has done since entering the race.

(Did I mention he paid $100,000 for those 4 minutes?)

For Fred's sake, he better open and close tonight the way he finished in Michigan.  

That is, if anybody's watching, anyway ...

As for the rest of the candidates, I am struck by how quickly they are running out of time.  It's almost like an NFL game where one second you have things under control, and then the next second there is like 1:10 left on the clock.  Time is slipping away for the non-frontrunners.  My belief is that it is now time to start pulling out all the stops.

For example, one operative was emailing me today about a recent story in which Mitt Romney actually had the audacity to refer to himself as the "consistent conservative."  (Romney may be a true convert and a great guy, but consistent???)

This operative was offended that I didn't think Romney's audacious claim was particularly newsworthy, since Romney's flip-floppery has been widely covered, already.  He was incredulous that we would allow Romney to get away with this. 

My response to him was that his candidate could make this a story by actually calling Romney a "phony" -- as opposed to merely implying it all the time.  While that would make it newsworthy, my guess is the candidates are afraid to "go negative."

So far, candidates on both sides of the aisle have avoided direct attacks, preferring instead to have surrogates or leaks do the attacking (they've also probably been hoping one of the other candidates would do their dirty work for them).  But it hasn't worked.  The frontrunners have profited from this strategy.  At this point, it seems to me that whether you want to take down Hillary Clinton -- or Mitt Romney -- or Rudy Giuliani -- the other candidates are running out of time. 

Of course, "going negative" could create a backlash (this happened to Dick Gephardt and Howard Dean in Iowa last time).  But sometimes you've got to throw the Hail Mary when nothing else is working and time is dwindling ... 

Whether or not it happens tonight, time is running out.  In the immortal words of the Doors, "The time to hesitate is through."






Saturday, October 20, 2007
FRC Straw Poll Results Are In
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 4:42 PM
Philip Klein reports:
The Values Voter Summit Straw Poll results are in. Here's the deal. Mitt Romney just slightly edged out Huckabee when you include Internet votes, by less than a half a percent.

No doubt, there is  a dichotomy among conservative opinion as it relates to Mike Huckabee.  Social conservatives, such as those at FRC obviously love him, while he would probably have finished dead last if the Club for Growth had held a Straw Poll last week...

When it came to social conservatives who actually heard the speeches live (not internet voters), Huckabee easily won (one wonders what Huckabee could have been if he were only willing and able to raise the necessary money).

Also interesting is that John McCain finished behind Rudy Giuliani (read Rudy's speech here).  This underscores the point that in politics, logic leads to conclusions, but emotion leads to action.  McCain has been pro-life his entire life, while Giuliani has always been pro-choice.  But that doesn't seem to matter when it comes to perception and likeability.

This is from an FRC Action press release:

Nearly six thousand votes - 5,775 -  were cast in the first-ever Values Voters Straw Poll at FRC Action*s 2nd Annual Washington Briefing.  FRC Action members had the choice of voting on-line, by mail, or at electronic voting stations during this weekend*s event.  All presidential candidates from both parties were listed on the ballot.  

Candidate Name          Total Votes     Percentage
1.  Mitt Romney                 1,595                   27.62 %
2.  Mike Huckabee               1,565                   27.10 %
3.  Ron Paul                               865                  14.98%
4.  Fred Thompson                  564                   9.77 %
5.  Sam Brownback                  297                  5.14 %
6.  Duncan Hunter                  140                  2.42 %
7.  Tom Tancredo                   133                  2.30 %
8.  Rudy Giuliani                      107                1.85 %
9.  John McCain                              81                 1.40 %





Saturday, October 20, 2007
FRC's Straw Poll
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 10:03 AM
I think it's safe to predict Mitt Romney will win the Value Voters straw poll, today. 

The real question is:  Who comes in second?

My guess is it won't be McCain or Giuliani.  I would even go so far as to predict it won't be Thompson -- though who knows?

We will know sometime after 3 pm ...




Saturday, October 20, 2007
Rudy Addresses Differences
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 9:50 AM
As predicted, Rudy doesn't ignore the elephant in the room.  He addresses areas of difference with the FRC audience ...
"You know we have some areas of disagreement. We have many many areas of agreement... I'll always be honest to you. I come to you with an open heart and open mind, and I hope you will do the same... You have nothing to fear from me."




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Jail the AMISH too ?
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