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Thursday, October 04, 2007
'Neocon' -- The New L Word
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 9:07 AM
Roger Cohen has a thought-provoking column today, titled: The new L-word: 'neocon'.

I've long been disturbed by the number of people (including Townhall commenters) who bandy about the term, "neocon," without really knowing what it means (this reminds me of how leftists often call people "fascist" without really knowing the definition of the word.)

... Historically, neocons were Jewish intellectuals who were Hawks on fighting communism and thus grew disenchanted with the Democrat Party as it became radicalized and anti-war.    Irving Kristol and Norman Podhoretz would be classic examples of neocons.

Today, the term is used derisively, but often inappropriately;  liberals tend to call all conservatives neocons.  Hard-core conservatives sometimes call moderate Republicans -- or "squishes" -- neocons.  Paleocons (old-school Republicans who tend to be isolationist) call anyone who wants to intervene in a foreign conflict a neocon.  Some fiscal conservatives and libertarians think all social conservatives are neocons.  And, sadly, some anti-semites use it as a code word to attack Jewish conservatives -- or anyone who supports Israel as an ally ...

It today's environment, calling someone a neocon is a cheap way to discredit their ideas without really listening to them.  This wouldn't bother me so much if the people making the accusation truly understood what a neocon is ...

Based on my observances, the new definition of neocon may just be anyone who supports George W. Bush or the War in Iraq.  Of course, that means the word has changed its meaning. 

But when enough people misuse a word, the definition eventually changes. 

So much for absolutes ...




Thursday, October 04, 2007
Ron Paul Ramps-Up Staff
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 8:35 AM

Yesterday, I mentioned that Ron Paul has been stingy with spending his campaign resources.  Today's NY Times reports that Ron Paul has begun ramping-up his staff:

The support has allowed the Paul campaign to expand both in reach and in size, and it has planned a second round of television spots (the first were broadcast in Iowa in August). And the campaign staff has been increased to 44 people from 10 over the last 10 weeks.

Update - 10:02:  Reason's David Weigel points out that Paul's "11th hour fundraiser" brought in $1.2 million in a week.  In terms of Paul's spending, he also points out that Paul's burn rate is around 35 percent.



Tags: Paul



Wednesday, October 03, 2007
On Like Donkey Kong
Posted by: Mary Katharine Ham at 6:20 PM
I'm on O'Reilly tonight, same time, same place, talkin' the Internets.







Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Stand with Rush
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 5:22 PM
Rep. Eric Cantor has launched a petition called: Stand with Rush

I urge you to sign it.





Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Now He Has Money, Too ...
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 4:38 PM

From ABC News Political Radar Blog:

It dominated headlines yesterday when Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-NY, announced her campaign juggernaut had outpaced all rivals in the campaign fundraising horse race with a $27 million haul in the third quarter.

Today's fundraising announcement by Rep. Ron Paul, the Republican Libertarian ob-gyn from Texas, doesn't involve quite as much money, but is downright jaw-dropping.

His campaign is revealing today that in the 3rd quarter Paul raised $5,080,000. This is more than double his 2nd quarter figure of $2.4 million and no small sum for an insurgent campaign.

Mike Huckabee is said to be in the second tier, yet Ron Paul just raised five times as much money as him this quarter. If you think of it, the only real evidence that Huckabee deserves to be in the 2nd tier -- and that Paul doesn't -- is that Mike Huckabee did well in the Iowa Straw poll -- and that he has done well in debates. It's hard to measure debate performance, though, so the only concrete metric has been Iowa. Well, now Ron Paul supporters can point to money and excitement as two reasons Ron Paul should be taken seriously ...

Money may give you credibility in politics, but money coupled with enthusiasm gives you a movement. Nobody doubts the energy and enthusiasm of Ron Paul's supporters.  And in a small state like New Hampshire, having lots of enthusiastic supporters on the ground can make a difference.  ... And let's not forget the fact that New Hampshire likes to help revolutionary candidates like Pat Buchanan, for example.

... So how did Ron Paul raise all this money? My guess is mostly mail, and a little internet.

For years now, Ron Paul has had a very sophisticated direct mail fundraising program.  This form of fundraising initially has very high over-head and often loses money in the early stages. But the investments pay off later (in fact, the early stages are actually called "prospecting" because you are spending money to find donors.)

Once a candidate has built up a list of proven personal donors (known in the business as a "house file") it is virtually guaranteed to turn a profit every time the candidate mails the list. In short, unlike other candidates who had to create a fundraising plan from scratch, Paul has been building this infrastructure for years.

In addition to raising money, as John McCain learned, it is also important to keep it. Paul has wisely been miserly with his money. Last time I looked at his report (this Spring), he had only one paid employee.

Is there more to the Ron Paul story?





Tags: Paul



Wednesday, October 03, 2007
The President Just Vetoed the SCHIP bill...
Posted by: John Campbell at 3:10 PM

Today the President vetoed the controversial SCHIP bill that passed the house by a vote of 265-159 last Tuesday.   The House will not take up a provision to override the veto until October 17th as Democrat leadership knows they don't have the votes (at least 15 short) and they hope that liberal groups can take the next 2 weeks to blast Republicans in their districts in hopes of persuading 15 members of Congress to switch their position.

As I have noted in earlier Blogs, no one has argued against the bill because they don’t want children’s healthcare.  In fact, the President has called for a $5 Billion increase in the program and I think children’s healthcare is something we can all get behind and support, but this is simply not a bill to provide healthcare to poor children.

SCHIP will cost the government over $4,000 per year for every newly insured child, compared to $2,300 per year to add a child to a private insurance plan. In order to disguise the $40 billion in spending the Senate proposes to cut SCHIP by 80% in 2013, of course the supporters of this bill do not really intend to cut SCHIP, which would force millions of kids off the program, so the overall cost of the bill is closer to $110 billion, which more than doubles the cost of the current program.

I also did a blog post yesterday on the “sin tax” that would be imposed on smokers in order to fund this vastly expanded version of SCHIP which is just totally unrealistic. 

The nonpartisan Congressional Research Service has indicated that cigarette taxes are one of the most regressive taxes, that is, a tax that falls more heavily on lower income individuals as a percentage of income. Furthermore, this proposal has a faulty premise and will cost taxpayers more. With a shrinking tobacco market, this tax uses declining revenues to pay for an expanding program. According to estimates, it would take 22 million new smokers in the United States in the next 5 years to pay for this program.

In addition and what is becoming true to form  for recent Democrat proposals , this bill makes it easier for illegal immigrants to get healthcare. It weakens requirements to prove citizenship  creating  an “expresslane” provision that allows a mere personal statement of citizenship in order to qualify to receive these benefits.

The Democrat leadership can delay the vote to override for the next two weeks, but as the facts become clearer to the American public, it should just solidify the resolve of those opposed to this terrible piece of legislation.






Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Ron Paul Up, Huckabee Down
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 2:50 PM
Marc Ambinder points out that Ron Paul raised five times as much money as Mike Huckabee:

The Paul movement is probably one part Buchanan bridage and one part fiscal hawk. It is clearly active in ways that most of us haven't adequately understood? Paul may be in a position to be a giant killer now. Imagine if he finishes second or third in New Hampshire ....

... And Mike Huckabee raised a million. Realistically, with so little cash, he can either run a single flight of ads for two weeks or fund his field operations. His volunteer base has to expand at a rapid pace if he wants to remain viable. The political elites will be very hard on Huckabee tomorrow.






Wednesday, October 03, 2007
More Third Party Talk
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 1:03 PM
Jim Geraghty makes the argument that conservatives who abandon the GOP would be blamed -- not rewarded -- if it helps elect Hillary Clinton.




Wednesday, October 03, 2007
A Conversation With Clarence
Posted by: Mary Katharine Ham at 11:53 AM
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Justice Clarence Thomas and I talk Georgia Bulldog football while he signs a book for me. Thomas, a Georgia native, gave the team a pep talk not too long ago. I'm confident it pulled them out of what could have been a post-South-Carolina-loss slump.

I got to have dinner with the Justice on Monday. He's an entertainer and his new book is beautifully, beautifully written. Here's my column on it:
It becomes very clear in listening to Thomas, and in reading his new book, what is really important to the Justice, and it is most certainly not the Anita Hill controversy that has unfortunately come to define him for some Americans.

It is also not the fawning affection of media and D.C. elites:

“Hey, I’d have to become a Middle Eastern dictator with nuclear weapons to be invited to Columbia. I’m just not interested in that."






Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Bush Vetoes SCHIP
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 11:38 AM


As expected, President Bush vetoed SCHIP this morning, and as expected, the Dems are demagoguing the issue.  From the WaPost:

Democrats began blasting Bush with the ink barely dry on the veto. "Today we learned that the same President who is willing to throw away a half trillion dollars in Iraq is unwilling to spend a small fraction of that amount to bring health care to American children," said Sen. Edward M. Kennedy (D-Mass.).






Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Reader Email
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 10:22 AM
I got this email from a former Reagan aide, and thought it was informative ...

I noted your scoop about the third party threat from social conservatives.  You might review the history of the "Manhattan 12," a dozen or so conservatives who "suspended" their support for Richard Nixon in 1971.  The concerns back then were primarily economic and foreign policy as opposed to social.  Also, the candidate who emerged from this, John Ashbrook, ran a marginal race for a couple of primaries against Nixon and then dropped out.  The lesson is:  without a strong candidate, these protest movements can have a limited impact.    I'm not sure how much reach Roy Moore has.  We know Alan Keyes is not a serious candidate.





Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Translating Rudy's New Ad
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 9:58 AM
Listen to Rudy's new radio ad going up in New Hampshire, and it's clear what Rudy's message is:  He's running as the candidate best prepared to keep us safe from terrorism.  But there are some other, subtler messages that he also communicates.  Here's my interpretation ...

1.  "... They're not going to find perfection" - Translation:  You know about the skeletons in my closet.  I'm not gonna try to hide them...

2.  "There are two big things at stake for the country..."  - Translation:  Social issues aren't included in the "big" issues.  And my personal life's not one of them, either.

3.  "If they agree with most of them (his issues) ..." Translation:  Don't get hung up on social issues.  If you agree with most of my positions, vote for me.

4.  "The Republican that Democrats just don't want to run against." - Translation:  I'm electable.  Otherwise, you'll get Hillary!

Video thumbnail. Click to play


Click To Play



Tags: Rudy



Tuesday, October 02, 2007
'The Revenue Raiser', aka Tax Hike
Posted by: John Campbell at 3:56 PM

Recently, there has been much debate over the children’s healthcare proposal.  I personally did not support this legislation for a variety of reasons; however one reason that really caught my eye was the funding mechanism for this improperly named SCHIP bill. 

In order to fund this drastic and fiscally irresponsible expansion of SCHIP, it requires the inclusion of a “sin tax” on smoking.  Now, I personally don’t smoke and have never smoked, but we all have habits or hobbies that someone else might consider a “sin”.  What is happening here is an attempt by the majority of people who don’t smoke to tax those that do.

You will no doubt see many more attempts by Democrats to mandate “sin” taxes. But, even if you don’t smoke, keep in mind that we all have things we like to do, eat, or drink that are not good for us.

We should stand against these punitive taxes on the enjoyment of others.  Here is a list of the proposed taxes on tobacco in order to fund SCHIP:

  • cigars from 20.719% to 53% with a $3 per cigar cap;
  • cigarettes from 39 cents to $1;
  • cigarette papers from 1.22 cents to 3.13 cents;
  • cigarette tubes from 2.44 cents to 6.26 cents;
  • snuff from 58.5 cents to $1.50;
  • chewing tobacco from 19.5 cents to 50 cents;
  • pipe tobacco from $1.0969 to $2.8126; and
  • roll-your-own tobacco from $1.0969 to $8.8889





Tuesday, October 02, 2007
No More Mr. Nice Guy. No more Mister Clean.
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 3:40 PM
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In an article titled: "Expect less Mr. Nice Guy from Fred," Politico's Roger Simon writes:

"Fred Thompson has a folksy, good old boy persona on the stump, but it may not last much longer."
In my estimation, getting tough is just what Fred needs to do. 

Check out this clip of Thompson portraying New York District Attorney Arthur Branch.  

As you'll see, unlike Thompson on the stump, Branch is neither folksy nor affable.  Instead, he is confident and in command.

I think the American public was expecting Arthur Branch, but got Fred Thompson, instead ...  But he's an actor.  He can become Branch.





Tags: Thompson



Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Rudy's 4th Quarter Strategy Memo
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 2:08 PM
... has just been posted.  It's from Strategy Director Brent Seaborn. 

This is part of the "conclusion":

Senator McCain has rebounded from his summer lows but seems to have a limited potential for growth. Mitt Romney has spent tens of millions of dollars, yet has failed to become a significant player on the national stage. And we have yet to see if Fred Thompson will try to compete as a regional or a national candidate.




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