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Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Erasing the Distinction Between Innocence and Evil
Posted by: Michael Medved at 9:06 PM
On November 1st, HBO presented a new documentary called “To Die In Jerusalem: Two Daughters Lost in Conflict.” According to promotional materials, the film portrays two seventeen year old girls as they “die in a Jerusalem market, their mothers confront each other, revealing a microcosm of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and the complexity of reconciliation.” Like the infamous Newsweek cover that inspired it, this documentary treats both girls – Palestinian Ayat al-Akhras and Israeli Rachel Levy – as victims of “faith or fate that brought each of them to the end of her life in such a tragic manner.” Appallingly, the filmmakers blur the distinction between murderer and victim, evil and innocence. The Israeli girl went to the market to buy Sabbath supplies; the Palestinian girl went there to murder strangers in a homicide bombing. The publicity for the film also downplays the security guard killed alongside the girls, and the thirty bystanders wounded in the blast. The real reason for the “complexity of reconciliation” is that the mother of the bomber, encouraged by a society that praises her murderous child as a heroine with posters and commemorations,  now feels “hesitant pride” in her heinous act. Ignoring the gigantic moral gulf between crazed killer and blameless target doesn’t advance the cause of peace, but perpetuates the ignorance and blindness that faciliates continued terrorism.




Wednesday, October 31, 2007
SCARY Taxes
Posted by: John Campbell at 4:58 PM

In honor of Halloween, I want to take this opportunity to present the some of the scariest Tax facts, proposals, and possibilities:

-  As of 2001, IRS Regulations contained over 6,752,000 words—a 10% increase since 1995 and over 8 times the total number of words in the King James Bible.

- In 2002, businesses spent an estimated 2.75 billion hours complying with the federal tax system—that’s the equivalent of 1,000 employees working 40-hour weeks for more than 132 years.

- Democrats are on a crash course to increase taxes on dividends from 15% to 44.2%. If the Democrats have their way, be prepared to see more of your retirement savings whisked away by these increased taxes.

- Essentially every part of Charlie Rangel’s (D-NY) “Mother of all Tax Bills” is frightening and bad for America; except of course the repeal of the AMT.

- Democrats have tried three times to triple taxes on tobacco.  This is a punitive measure to pay for the introduction of socialized medicine and make it easier for illegal immigrants to get healthcare in the United States.

- The Phantom Income tax- Businesses of all sizes and sectors could be required to discontinue the use of LIFO (Last-in-First-Out).  They would have eight years to pay the taxes resulting from the forced revaluation of their inventory, even though they would have had no economic income.  The income might be phantom, but the $106 billion in taxes that will be paid and the associated impacts on businesses certainly won’t be.

-The scare on Small Business- First, they will be hit with the 4% surtax on a portion of their income.  Second, many of them will lose the Section 199 manufacturing deduction that lowers taxes on their business income.  And third, this is happening at the same time as incorporated businesses get an across-the-board rate cut, making it even tougher for these small business engines of job-creation to compete. 






Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Symposium: Top GOP Strategists on Hillary
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 4:35 PM


I had a chance to catch up with three top GOP strategists to get their take on Hillary's performance last night ...

Terry Nelson, who has served as political director for Bush/Cheney '04, as well as campaign manager for John McCain, believes Hillary's front-runner status may be a burden because it means she is essentially in a "prevent defense":

Hillary has a classic front-runners dilemma: how does she avoid messing up a good thing?  That is the reason she is not answering important questions on issues like Social Security reform and drivers licenses for illegal immigrants.  In the dynamic of the campaign, she knows the answers on these issues for the primary voters is different than for general election voters, which puts her in a terrible bind.  Either way, it will harm her campaign. 
Republican Strategist Dan Hazelwood believes Hillary's failure to successfully answer the question regarding illegal aliens receiving driver's licenses just might have legs today, as well as other long-term implications:

This will be remembered as the moment where the flawless campaign could not protect Hillary from herself. This not only revealed her deep liberal roots, but also her evasiveness when caught making a flub. The really critical part is it just made Drivers Licenses for illegal aliens a pivotal issue in next year’s general election. Just as they have in the past two Presidential elections the Democrats are looking at a nominee who is fully capable of handing the election back to the Republicans. Thank you.

And Glen Bolger, one of the Republican Party's leading political strategists and pollsters, believes Hillary's slickness last night may remind voters of some the negative qualities of her prevaricating husband:

This is what to expect out of a Clinton campaign -- and another Clinton White House -- refusal to answer difficult questions.  She'll say one thing to one group, and then carefully nuance an answer that's slightly different to a different group.  It does highlight the issues the Democrats are afraid of, however, and they are certainly afraid of the impact their support for giving government benefits, like a drivers license, to illegal immigrants.

As you can see, it's clear that Hillary's front-runner status is perceived as being both a blessing and a curse.  There also appears to be a consensus that Hillary stumbled last night, and may be in danger of allowing a negative narrative (that she is less than truthful, and avoids answering tough questions) to take root ...





Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Hillary's "Live-Blog" is Neither
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 2:35 PM
Yesterday at 3:19, HillaryClinton.com's Crystal Patterson wrote:
Join me here at 8:30 p.m. Eastern as we post live reports from the debate watch event with President Clinton, John Grisham and the winners of our debate watch contest. The debate begins at 9 p.m. Eastern tonight. Watch it on MSNBC.
Anyone foolish enough to believe they would be receiving any "inside information" or truly "live reports" was indeed naive.  I couldn't find anything that could even be loosely defined as "live-blogging."  Instead, what readers got was PR propaganda which had probably been cleared by a dozen or so staffers before being published. 

Of course, in fairness, this is why campaign blogs are rarely interesting.  The best blogs tend to be daring, controversial, and a bit sardonic.  Campaign blogs, by definition, are vanilla.






Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Strange Days
Posted by: John Campbell at 2:24 PM

Last night, on national television, Warren Buffett made the extraordinary announcement that he would like to pay more taxes. According to Mr. Buffett, he currently pays a 17.7% payroll and income tax and claims his situation proves that our tax system favors the rich. Unfortunately, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce had facts to counter that theory, showing that the top 1% of U.S. earners account for 39% of the tax revenue.

Now, this isn’t the first time we’ve heard wealthy entrepreneurs and celebrities volunteer for higher taxes. You may remember prominent celebrities making comments in the past advocating that those with means should be able to pay more taxes per year. Regrettably, as of yet, these altruistic individuals haven’t been able to back these grand intentions up.

Well, I have good news.

I will be introducing legislation whimsically titled the “Tax Me More” Act. This bill is very simple. It would allow anyone who wants to pay higher taxes to add the desired amount (no limits!) they would like to pay to their annual tax form. Under the “Tax Me More” Act, Warren Buffett and his friends will have the unique opportunity to pay as much tax as they want without forcing anyone else to continue to feed the beast.

I believe it is high time we allow those individuals that think higher taxes are the answer to America’s problems to put their money where their mouth is.






Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Former ND Gov to be Ag Secretary
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 2:05 PM
From the Fargo Forum:

WASHINGTON - President Bush on Wednesday will nominate Edward Schafer, a former two-term Republican governor from North Dakota, to be his next secretary of agriculture, a senior administration official said.





Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Mukasey to be Borked?
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 12:37 PM
I'm hearing talk among conservative leaders that they now regret the fact that former solicitor general Ted Olson was not nominated to be Attorney General, and that many now believe Mukasey will be "Borked."

Mukasey was initially widely praised, but his comments regarding waterboarding may have sunk his chances of picking up the support of enough Dems.  Should his nomination be blocked, it would be a stunning turn of events.

More to come...




Wednesday, October 31, 2007
A New Hillary Narrative?
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 10:27 AM


Obviously, Hillary Clinton is up in the polls in a major way.  Still, I can't help but think the driver's license thing (which she called a "gotcha" question) may have hurt her last night.  As John Edwards (and to a lesser extent, Barack Obama) pointed out, she literally was on both sides of the same issue in a two-minute span. 

And while the number of people who watched last night's debate was probably minuscule, the real problem for her comes when this is shown on YouTube and in today's media cycle. 

Simply put, it's in the media's best interest to keep this race interesting -- and that means knocking Hillary down a peg. 

Was last night the beginning of a new narrative about Hillary?

Update - 11:21: Rudy talks to Glen Beck about the driver's license question.

Update - 11:27: The RNC is hoping to drive the narrative that Hillary has a "Strategy of Avoiding Direct Answers to Questions."

Update - 11:44: Marc Ambinder has video up of Clinton Chief Strategist Mark Penn talking about the driver's license question.




Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Dems Debate Iran
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 8:55 AM






Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Hillary's 'Just a Girl' Sputtering Over Spitzer
Posted by: Mary Katharine Ham at 8:50 AM

The most important minutes of the debate?


The couple in which Hillary really sounded like a fool over the Spitzer license fiasco. She was flustered, she was incomprehensible, she was exceptionally shrill, and transparent enough in her clumsy dodging that she had the entire audience laughing at her by the end of the question.

Where was the vaunted Clinton calculation, the suave political acumen? As with many things about the Clintons, it's always been a bit overblown.

Now, in defense mode, and surprised by Tim Russert's tough questioning (which I wrote about in my column), Hillary advisers are now crying foul, saying Russert was "borderline unprofessional" in his attempts to get Hillary to actually answer questions. Yesterday, her website was posting missives from Obama's campaign, trying to stick him with the "going negative" label before the debate even started.

Newsflash, Hill. You're a front-runner, and if you can't take the occasional hard question the liberal MSM manages to wring from its agenda-driven coverage, you're in over your head. And, you look it.

Is she really gonna play the "I'm just a girl" card so obviously? I've never liked her, but I figured she was tougher than that. Not when the going gets rough, apparently. And, it's rough, even according to the media.

Time sticks her behind Edwards, Obama, Biden, Dodd, and Richardson in their assessment. Ouch. C- for the lady:
The failure of her performance was cumulative, however, so only those watching the whole debate would see how weak her evening was. If she loses the nomination, tonight will go down in history as the first step to her defeat — no fatal "Dean Scream" catastrophe, but far from her finest moment, to say the least.
Hill showed tremendous potential for crumbling under pressure last night, and the Democrat field as a whole was largely strident, stilted and mostly humorless. I'm now feeling kinda pumped to see her up against a Republican nominee.
This is for you, Hill.






Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Are You Chipping In?
Posted by: Mary Katharine Ham at 8:46 AM
Help us out with VALOUR-IT!





Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Rudy Won Last Night?
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 8:35 AM
From a press release:

New York City – The Rudy Giuliani Presidential Committee released the following statement from Communications Director Katie Levinson:   

“As the pundits work to figure out who won the debate tonight, it’s pretty clear Rudy Giuliani was the real winner.  It is increasingly apparent Rudy is the one the Democrats are most worried about running against in the general election.   

“Senator Biden’s comments were of particular interest.  The good Senator is quite correct that there are many differences between Rudy and him.  For starters, Rudy rarely reads prepared speeches and when he does he isn’t prone to ripping off the text from others.  And, Senator Biden certainly falls in to the bucket of those on the stage tonight who have never had executive experience and have never run anything.  Wait, I take that back, Senator Biden has never run anything but his mouth.   

“Such a desperate attack from Senator Biden is to be expected considering I – Katie Levinson – have a better chance of becoming President than he does.”  





Tags: Rudy



Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Losing Third Parties Don't Change History
Posted by: Michael Medved at 4:41 AM

For third party purists, rejection by the general public confirms their sense of moral superiority and martyrdom: winning 0.03% with uncompromising principles feels somehow nobler than winning an election through the normal compromises and actually changing the direction of politics. In this sense, fringe party activism represents the ultimate in masturbatory politics: giving intense pleasure and passing thrills to the individual participants but exerting no impact whatever on anyone else.  

On those rare occasions when third parties play some decisive role in close elections, they almost always damage the candidates who more closely resemble the independent contenders. Former Republican Ross Perot, for example, destroyed Republican President George H.W. Bush, leftist Ralph Nader damaged Al Gore, and “limited government” Libertarian Senate candidates in Montana, Washington, Georgia and other states recently swung elections to big government Democrats (and in 2006 tilted at least three close elections to give Harry Reid his one-vote Senate majority). 

By taking votes from the major party contender who’s ideologically most similar, and rewarding those opponents who agree with them the least, independent candidates move the political process away from their professed goals, not toward them. 

Most Americans have come to understand this cruel and dangerous game, so that even the most ballyhooed fringe candidates fail to live up to their promising poll numbers. In 1980, moderate Republican John Anderson believed the surveys and pundits who said he could establish himself as a middle-of-the-road alternative to the outspoken conservative Ronald Reagan and the failed liberal standard-bearer, Jimmy Carter. In the end, Anderson drew only 6.6%, fading fast in the last days before the election as the American people began to focus on the true stakes in the choice before them. 

This pattern repeats itself in almost every election: even the most intriguing third-party flirtations abruptly turn sour in the “getting serious” phase that precedes a final decision. With an evenly divided electorate providing see-saw victories for Democrats and Republicans, an individual can change history far more readily by voting for one of the major candidates than by giving his support to a laughably irrelevant fringy. A shift of 0.5% can alter the outcome of many elections, but it changes nothing if a Constitution Party candidate gets 0.7% vs. 0.2%. 

In this context, the American people remain too sensible to accept the fulminations of brain-dead blowhards like Lou Dobbs. “All that seems to remain of the Republican and Democratic parties is their partisanship, their labels, and their records of intransigence and ineffectiveness over the past forty years.” Over the past forty years, Mr. Dobbs? Since 1967? The Reagan Revolution, which won the Cold War and slashed top tax rates from 70% to 28%, represented only “intransigence and ineffectiveness”? Welfare reform and balanced budgets, achieved by the Gingrich Congress in collaboration with the administration of Bill Clinton, amounted to nothing more than “partisanship”? 

Third party purists say they refuse to accept a choice between “the lesser of two evils” – a wretchedly misleading line that suggests that any public servant with whom we disagree is, indeed, evil and not merely wrong. In truth, very few working politicians, Republican or Democrat, honestly qualify as “evil”: the need for winning and retaining office won’t eliminate all mediocrities, but almost always rids us of any truly malevolent individuals. The notion that electoral opponents constitute “evil” of any kind – either the lesser or greater variety – serves only to poison our politics, and to prevent mature choices between major party candidates who, while invariably flawed, give us a chance to serve our country by selecting the better of two imperfects.   






Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Dem Debate: The Good, the Bad, and the Hillary
Posted by: Mary Katharine Ham at 1:10 AM
I wrote a Democrat debate wrap-up as a column this week because the whole two hours were so very ridiculous, it just warranted a little awards ceremony.

A taste of the superlatives I handed out:
Most Grating Intonation-Control Problem:

Does Hillary Clinton ever know her mike is on or has some clever double-agent infiltrated and convinced her that the American voter equates diaphragm strength with national security credibility, so she must project her way to the presidency with a little Tippecanoe-and-Tyler-Too mike-less nostalgia? We all understand that she can only communicate in one tone, but must it be so loud?






Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Who the Heck is Watching These Debates?
Posted by: Mary Katharine Ham at 3:42 PM
It's gotta be just me, right? And, Instapundit. And, Stephen Green. Insty and Stephen and me, and Allah. And, Ace. All of us sitting around, blogging and drinking Stephen's vodka to numb the pain of the Democrats' rhetorical idiocy.

We were drinking every time they mentioned a tax hike, but we quit that game after it sent Ace to the hospital with alcohol poisoning before the first commercial break.

Nnnnnyway, here's who is watching, according to Nielsen: Far fewer than even the lowest-rated sitcoms pulls, but still a couple million. A couple million of the nerdy proxy-voters cleverly recruited by sitcom-watchers to keep up with this stuff until a couple months before the election, so that they can just King-of-Queens it up while we're bored out of our skulls.

Sneaky guys those American voters. Here are the Top 3 rated debates so far:
N.H. DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE- MANCHESTER, N.H.
06/03/2007
CNN
2,783,000

THIS WEEK’ DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE- DES MOINES, IOWA
08/19/2007
ABC
2,866,000

N.H. REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE- DURHAM, N.H.
09/05/2007
FOXNC
3,141,000 people






Tags: 2008   debates


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