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Friday, December 08, 2006
Matt Towery :: Townhall.com Columnist
Christmas bells toll for a world facing its biggest potential crisis in world history
by Matt Towery
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While public opinion is all over the board as to what is or is not the most important issue to Americans, I argue that, for the first time, a series of foreign and domestic happenings are converging at once and threaten our nation as never before.

Let's start at home. We all know that illegal immigration, in most polls, remains a hot domestic topic. That's understandable. Yet even as that drama unfolds, the very underpinnings of our economy slowly erode.

Some of us are vaguely aware that the value of the U.S. dollar continues to slip. Fewer know that the situation is actuated by an unholy -- and unwritten -- "alliance" with China. That nation backs our currency by purposely manipulating their own money and guaranteeing ours through an imbalance of trade.

The profitable business flows one way, to China. Worse, the long-term stability of the dollar rests in the hands of an emerging superpower that, alone among nations, has the potential to truly rival America as a world superpower. The value of our currency potentially could be reduced to the value of the paper it's printed on, depending on the whims of Beijing.

At the same time, reports that the housing slump may be ending soon are probably wishful thinking. In fact, a new chapter in that book may be in the writing. A crash of the Sunbelt's crazed condominium fever could be the next real-estate crisis.

Take a drive through downtown Miami, Tampa, Atlanta and other growth cities of the region. You'll see little beyond construction cranes and derricks dotting the skyline. But though they number in the thousands, there are no longer thousands of people to live in them.

Next, let's inventory the mills and manufacturing plants. It won't take long, because there are fewer and fewer. They're all hopscotching their way to China and other, mostly Asian, nations.

And thus come projections for slower economic growth in our nation next year. We may have a bullish stock market right now, but with thousands and thousands of homes being repossessed each week, and with mortgages on them having been used as bricks-and-mortar "credit cards" for so long, the conditions for a significant economic downturn in the coming year are real.

Now throw into the mix the expansion or amplification of President George W. Bush's "Axis of Evil." Ah, for the innocent days of only three enemies!

Iraq, Iran and North Korea now appear to be just the frontline acts in a planet gone wild.

Iran not only seeks nuclear weapons, it's now taken to taunting the world with a menu of terrifying possibilities.

North Korea is even more unpredictable, because more desperate.

All the while, our shaky but supposedly loyal ally Russia is doing Soviet Union impersonations. Its newfound capitalism is a cutthroat business environment Don Corleone would be proud of.

When homebound and expatriate Russians start dropping like flies from radioactive poisons in their sushi, James Bond movies suddenly view more like a personal warning to us all than fantasy entertainment.

And then there's our dazed President Bush. For years I've openly wondered at his astonishing lack of even basic eloquence. Lately it's only gotten worse. The man appears as stunned as someone who just stepped from a car wreck.

And no wonder. Beyond his myopic obsession with Iraq, Bush doubtless is overwhelmed by the combination of economic and geopolitical events that he as the American president must be as painfully aware of as anyone.

I think he knew this time would come. I also think no one person could have prevented it. Among battling terrorism, trying to stabilize the Middle East and prevent every aggrieved nation from becoming a nuclear power, and worrying over monetary stability, the president has more on his plate than a human being should have to eat.

Like him or not, please pray for this man and for all mankind. If you look into the president's eyes, you can see genuine fear, masked as it is by an inner strength.

For the first time since I've been writing this column, I share his fear.

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About The Author
Matt Towery is a former National Republican legislator of the year and author of Powerchicks: How Women Will Dominate America.
 
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Free trade?
"Some of us are vaguely aware that the value of the U.S. dollar continues to slip. Fewer know that the situation is actuated by an unholy -- and unwritten -- "alliance" with China. That nation backs our currency by purposely manipulating their own money and guaranteeing ours through an imbalance of trade."


Free trade advocates like that talking head Fred barnes from the "weekly standard" love to wax rhapsodic about the "unseen hand of the market". We are told that jobs lost in this country will somehow be replaced by other good, high paying jobs. what they don't mention is that there is no "unseen hand" at all. China has rigged the game by artificially de-valuing its' currency and keeping it permenantly pegged well below ours. So much for the free market...and our jobs. Best bet---get a career that requires your actual, physical presence, or get used to wearing that blue smock with the smiley face and singing that inane "squigly" song every day.

Free Trade
Don't care. In my view, no matter what China does with our debt and currency, there will only be positive long term benefit for us. If they hold our notes and funds, we can import more goods for less (acting as a tax cut), and the price of oil drops for us, acting like a tax cut. If they release our notes and funds, we start manufacturing and exporting more goods (acting as an economic stimulant) while importing less and buying more domestic, though the price of oil will go up and act as a tax increase.

Thank God we aren't an Asian country that must always manufacture or perish. We can play any part of this game better than they can.

However
If it makes you feel better, we could add a term to our notes, "FORFEIT in, from, or to China", at any time, and our embargo of Cuba proves we have the stones for it.

Finally to add
that any country in the world needs us more than we need them. And they know it. Hence Blair's speech to the U.N. that the real danger facing the world is that America will say to heck with it, "pull up the drawbridge" and disengage from the world.

Great rebuttal Jerubaal...
...to unAmerican pessimism that is this column.

Monetary stability is a solved problem.
A stable money is a commodity money: usually gold or silver. If monetary stability were truly on the agenda, our political class would be talking up the revival of the gold standard. It isn't happening, and it won't happen, because a politically manipulable currency is very much in the interests of the political class and its backers.

Individuals can protect themselves from currency instability by keeping some fraction of their savings in gold and silver coins. The economy as a whole is more or less helpless.

Get over it
I'm tired of the endless whining. Straighten up and get back to work.

summary
This article can be summed up in one sentence. We need another Ronald Reagan.

Sad but true...
Seeing all of these issues tied together is amazing. Yes, we all know about the various parts of the puzzle, but this puts the puzzle in place. I agree, we need another Reagan. And as for the "UnAmerican" comment, are you nuts? Did you read the column? This guy is trying to warn and save America. I say, thank God we have at least a few credible writers who don't cry fowl every week. If Towery is worried, then I am. He's about the most sane one of these writers I'm aware of.

greese
Have to agree. We are facing the gravest threat and all Americans can worry about is Britney showing her groove thang!

Check my blog (click on my handle) to peruse several articles that eviserate Islam and their Dhimmicratic allies.

America needs to
wake up and smell the coffins.

I'm all for the re-introduction of reason into policy debate and election politics.

However, unless we abolish the public school system, the electorate will never recover from its present stupor sufficiently allow intelligent solutions to be applied to these large, complex problems.

Towery Wets His Pants

Unfortunately, I'm not qualified to weigh in on any of the particular anxiety attacks that is causing Mr. Towery to lose sleep. But in a more general sense my view aligns with Jerubaal's much more optimistic view. Americans are nimble enough to successfully overcome the challenges he mentions.

Scary? Yes. The "biggest ... crisis in history"? Not even close.

I sure
would not want to be in the shoes of GWB. Only he and a few others actually know everything that is going on right now. What kinds of intelligence they are actually getting can only be imagined in our minds. I think I would be shell shocked too if I had to look at what he is probably looking at every day across his desk.
Just what we see in the news on a daily basis is enough to make me zone out. I get chilled each and every time I hear Iran's crazy president call for Israel's destruction, and that is almost on a daily basis.
And, that doesn't even count the other things this writer talks about.

Economically, we're fine......
Matt:

The people in power in China want to stay in power. That is why they have pegged the yuan to
the dollar. If the Chinese GDP wasn't expanding the way it is, the social unrest would be uncontrollable. Half of the Chinese banks are insolvent by U.S. standards. It is attractive
to manufacture there because you can pollute the
environment, pay your employees a pittance and
not have the American legal climate. However, it is the Chinese who are taking the bigger risk.
Hopefully, for them, they can export their way
to developing enough affluence in their indigenous consumer base. But, what if the U.S.
falls into a recession and consumer(American) demand contacts? The bill is also coming due for
the enviromental destruction in China. Look how
poorly workers are still treated there. Remember the mining accident where some 2000 perished? Completely unacceptable in the U.S.

It won't be so easy to dump all of those dollars.
Think about it. There is a good reason they peg the yaun to the dollar. The Federal Reserve Bank
does a good job of managing the currency. If I peg my currency to the dollar and my economy is growing at 8% a year, I can probably avoid forclosing on those insolvent banks. That is, if
the domestic economy catches up. Besides, with the worldwide pool of investment capital estimated to be some $45 trillion(YES) those U.S.
treasury securities yield 7.5% to 9% would be snapped up instantly by every hedge fund manager,
pension manager and insurance company on the planet.

Tall
When reading your post this saying came to mind - If you borrow $10,000 the bank owns you. If you borrow $10,000,000 you own the bank.

Mutual interdependency - is that the phrase I am searching for?
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